This bet is a lock!!!

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  • MiDNiTe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-11-13
    • 7684

    #1
    This bet is a lock!!!
    muguruza +3.5 games also some on ml, lucic will win also. Ok ****** up with struff guy had no bps against him and was in quite a few games having bp and lead 3-0 tb then lost his head bad bet my fault, ppl say locks dont win but i dont think anyone could jinx this mugs game suits woz and she will easily cover hc all week she has been fighting really hard and she will overpower woz, has won last 3h2h and worst outcome would be a tight loss but she should win this
  • MiDNiTe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-11-13
    • 7684

    #2
    going big on this match as this is the type of player woz struggles against and the fight mugs has shown has been very impresive cant see her not covering hc
    Comment
    • Jd305
      SBR Rookie
      • 06-30-16
      • 1

      #3
      What sports is this
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #4
        tennis
        Comment
        • MiDNiTe
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-11-13
          • 7684

          #5
          sometimes you need to take a leap of faith if you guys bet this i wont let you down this bet is lock worthy and worth a huge bet, ive gone big and dont want to let anyone who bet this feel that i let them down
          Comment
          • MiDNiTe
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-11-13
            • 7684

            #6
            i said i took gamecocks and kentucky with +pts so won big yesterday, got lucky with kentucky i admit but im betting all that money won on this as when you have the chance you go for the kill against your book, going for it as mugs broke pliskova pretty easy but lost 7-6 7-6 since then she has played alot better and plskova alot better than woz
            Comment
            • w@lt
              SBR MVP
              • 10-08-10
              • 2594

              #7
              I hate threads like this, but it does seem like Mug has a good shot today.
              Comment
              • bettingmosquito
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-07-17
                • 227

                #8
                Well she leads the head-to-head 3-1 indeed (2-1 on hard court) so I would even bet on her to win the match @2.50.
                Comment
                • jtoler
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-17-13
                  • 30967

                  #9
                  Mattek prob win, she's in good form, more variety. Itll be first strike tennis whoever gets their power shot off first, but Mattek is in the form where she handles moving and hitting better, I watch these matches. Unless she plays worse today which is possible and players pull bad performances out of nowhere sometimes then she could lose, but otherwise. As far as Woz/Muggy what matters is how theyre playing right now, the past matters less. Yes she looked better last match, but had this been the match before last Woz would win, McHale had her but McHale is a mental midget who couldnt get the ball over the net on her serves in the 3rd set.
                  Last edited by jtoler; 03-27-17, 09:54 AM.
                  Comment
                  • w@lt
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-08-10
                    • 2594

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bettingmosquito
                    Well she leads the head-to-head 3-1 indeed (2-1 on hard court) so I would even bet on her to win the match @2.50.
                    I did. Also parlayed her +1.5 sets with Fed ML
                    Comment
                    • bettingmosquito
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-07-17
                      • 227

                      #11
                      By the way, no play on the WTA is a lock, Wozniacki could win 6-2 6-2 that it would not surprise me either.
                      Comment
                      • w@lt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 2594

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bettingmosquito
                        By the way, no play on the WTA is a lock, Wozniacki could win 6-2 6-2 that it would not surprise me either.
                        Accurate.
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30042

                          #13
                          +3.5 is a dangerous bet in tennis, you never should go big on a +3.5
                          because 2 breaks is -4 games.

                          also current form favors Woz, along with the slower surface (Miami considered
                          the slowest hard court in major tour) and historic Woz success there.

                          I don't like the bet, even if it wins.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388189

                            #14
                            Going off very soon
                            Comment
                            • NYRin09
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-12-09
                              • 466

                              #15
                              Couldn't look worse lmao
                              Comment
                              • w@lt
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 2594

                                #16
                                FUK. Mugu retired, of course after the first set so it lost my ML bet. Spreads canceled.
                                Comment
                                • MiDNiTe
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-11-13
                                  • 7684

                                  #17
                                  yeah couldnt look worse, match was on mugs racquet, another push
                                  Comment
                                  • cankid
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-22-08
                                    • 7210

                                    #18
                                    I love locks
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388189

                                      #19
                                      Tennis is so tough

                                      Women much more than men
                                      Comment
                                      • sweethook
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-21-07
                                        • 12667

                                        #20
                                        now , i need a winner
                                        Comment
                                        • MiDNiTe
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-11-13
                                          • 7684

                                          #21
                                          mugs served for set but said she was getting dizzy and sick so played on and retired after losing tb, aus books refund no matter score if ret and lucic won so better than nothing
                                          Comment
                                          • bettingmosquito
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-07-17
                                            • 227

                                            #22
                                            bookies voided the handicap games, but lots of them paid the ML (pinnacle, betfair for instance)
                                            Comment
                                            • MiDNiTe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-11-13
                                              • 7684

                                              #23
                                              tab etc only pay if match is complete, i can only imagine mugs not retiring right away as she was close to winning set so if she wins 1st and retires ml mugs would still lose?
                                              Comment
                                              • gorwin068
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-16-16
                                                • 920

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                tab etc only pay if match is complete, i can only imagine mugs not retiring right away as she was close to winning set so if she wins 1st and retires ml mugs would still lose?
                                                Yes I believe Mugs should still be counted as lost if she won the 1st set and then retired, which would be the worst scenario for bettor. But it should be very rare that a player has won the 1st set and then retired afterwards. It is common to see a player has lost the 1st set and then retired only.
                                                Comment
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