Oscars - Red Carpet plays

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  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #1
    Oscars - Red Carpet plays
    Tough year for oscar betting. Too many big faves not worth the juice.

    Personally, I thought Singstreet & Lion were the best movies of the year. Singstreet not even nominated.

    LA LA land seems poised to fill the trophy case, not surprising since it's a musical/rom-com about struggling musicians/acting in hollywood & oscar voters likely identified strongly with its themes.

    I have a feeling Moonlight may take a couple surprise awards.

    Here are my bets based on either personal preference or hunch.

    Best film - Moonlight +520

    Best Director - Barry Jenkins Moonlight +950

    Supporting actor - Mike Shannon Nocturnal Animals +3000

    Best actress - Natalie Portman Jackie +725

    Supporting actress - Naomi Harris Hidden figures +2500

    Cinematography - Moonlight +1600

    Editing- Arrival +1400

    Visual effects - Dr Strange +1375

    Adapted screenplay - Lion +1425


    $10 each

    Probably money down the drain but it's all fun.
  • jayc88
    Restricted User
    • 12-30-07
    • 6785

    #2
    Did any of these bigger dogs ever hit in the past? It seems like most of them are sucker bets.
    Comment
    • trobin31
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-09-14
      • 9854

      #3
      Last year Stallone was big fave and lost, but yeah, I agree usually juiced for a good reason. Watch line movement.

      Forgot to post

      best actor - Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea -115
      Comment
      • biggie12
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-30-05
        • 13792

        #4
        i would love some +1400 on lion adapted screenplay what site.

        I have some on them at +1000 only
        Comment
        • trobin31
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-09-14
          • 9854

          #5
          Originally posted by biggie12
          i would love some +1400 on lion adapted screenplay what site.

          I have some on them at +1000 only
          5dimes, played this morning.
          Comment
          • Cuse0323
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-09-09
            • 30169

            #6
            Denzel will win Best Actor. Pound all the black movies, and actors. Is what it is. They will make up for the perceived racism the past two years. Affleck should win though. How anyone likes La La Land is beyond me. Manchester by the Sea was the best in my eyes, but no chance. Odds skyrocketed since last night. Think Moonlight could take it because the above mentioned. Plus, it's better than whatever La La Land was.
            Comment
            • trobin31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-09-14
              • 9854

              #7
              Originally posted by Cuse0323
              Denzel will win Best Actor. Pound all the black movies, and actors. Is what it is. They will make up for the perceived racism the past two years. Affleck should win though. How anyone likes La La Land is beyond me. Manchester by the Sea was the best in my eyes, but no chance. Odds skyrocketed since last night. Think Moonlight could take it because the above mentioned. Plus, it's better than whatever La La Land was.
              I liked LA LA land, but I also liked it 15 years ago when it was called Moulin Rouge, only at least had Kidman in lingerie. They usually try to pick movies that were different from anything before it or an enduring thought provoking message. In my mind Moonlight has both and wouldnt be surprised to see win more than initially thought.
              Comment
              • gummo
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-04-06
                • 6297

                #8
                Originally posted by Cuse0323
                Denzel will win Best Actor. Pound all the black movies, and actors. Is what it is. They will make up for the perceived racism the past two years. Affleck should win though. How anyone likes La La Land is beyond me. Manchester by the Sea was the best in my eyes, but no chance. Odds skyrocketed since last night. Think Moonlight could take it because the above mentioned. Plus, it's better than whatever La La Land was.
                I agree. It will also be like a lifetime achievement award type thing.
                Comment
                • trobin31
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-09-14
                  • 9854

                  #9
                  Adding

                  best animated - Moana +1900
                  Comment
                  • reigle9
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-25-07
                    • 17879

                    #10
                    Originally posted by trobin31
                    I liked LA LA land, but I also liked it 15 years ago when it was called Moulin Rouge, only at least had Kidman in lingerie.
                    Plus it had that slutty song.
                    Comment
                    • wikkidinsane
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-30-10
                      • 13799

                      #11
                      here are ,y one-two-three dollars bets


                      Odds to win Best Documentary FeatureI Am Not Your Negro +1600


                      Odds to win Best Supporting ActressNicole Kidman (Lion) +3300


                      Odds to win Best Supporting ActorJeff Bridges (Hell or High Water) +1600

                      Odds to win Best ActorAndrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge) +5000

                      Odds to win Best PictureArrival +10000

                      Odds to win Best PictureHacksaw Ridge +12500
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9854

                        #12
                        Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                        here are ,y one-two-three dollars bets


                        Odds to win Best Documentary FeatureI Am Not Your Negro +1600


                        Odds to win Best Supporting ActressNicole Kidman (Lion) +3300


                        Odds to win Best Supporting ActorJeff Bridges (Hell or High Water) +1600

                        Odds to win Best ActorAndrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge) +5000

                        Odds to win Best PictureArrival +10000

                        Odds to win Best PictureHacksaw Ridge +12500
                        I like the Jeff Bridges pick, that was a great performance.

                        Loved Hacksaw Ridge, but felt Gibson's film getting nominated was the best Hollywood would offer him.
                        Comment
                        • gummo
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-04-06
                          • 6297

                          #13
                          Lala Land wins Under 8.5 categories +220
                          Comment
                          • Cuse0323
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-09-09
                            • 30169

                            #14
                            I can't pull the trigger on Denzel. Love him, but Affleck should win. Just think he won't. Money, or my heart. Like betting against my own team. I need to find some obsure pick to root for.
                            Comment
                            • Cuse0323
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-09-09
                              • 30169

                              #15
                              Denzel the favorite now. It's a wrap.
                              Comment
                              • Cuse0323
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-09-09
                                • 30169

                                #16
                                Kind of like the field over Emma Stone. Think the French chick, or Portman could steal it.
                                Comment
                                • Capybara
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 11803

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by trobin31
                                  Tough year for oscar betting. Too many big faves not worth the juice.

                                  Personally, I thought Singstreet & Lion were the best movies of the year. Singstreet not even nominated.

                                  LA LA land seems poised to fill the trophy case, not surprising since it's a musical/rom-com about struggling musicians/acting in hollywood & oscar voters likely identified strongly with its themes.

                                  I have a feeling Moonlight may take a couple surprise awards.

                                  Here are my bets based on either personal preference or hunch.

                                  Best film - Moonlight +520

                                  Best Director - Barry Jenkins Moonlight +950

                                  Supporting actor - Mike Shannon Nocturnal Animals +3000

                                  Best actress - Natalie Portman Jackie +725

                                  Supporting actress - Naomi Harris Hidden figures +2500

                                  Cinematography - Moonlight +1600


                                  Editing- Arrival +1400

                                  Visual effects - Dr Strange +1375

                                  Adapted screenplay - Lion +1425


                                  $10 each

                                  Probably money down the drain but it's all fun.
                                  Nice call on Moonlight, bud. Don't feel like checking your others, did you come out ahead?

                                  I'd like to see Moonlight, but hate paying extra to "rent" when I already give Comcast an arm and a leg. I generally use the library for DVDs of stuff I can't see on HBO or Netflx.
                                  Comment
                                  • trobin31
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 9854

                                    #18
                                    Only other winner besides Moonlight was Casey Affleck. Came out a little in the negative.
                                    Comment
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