Oklahoma vs Oregon poll

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  • jtoler
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-17-13
    • 30967

    #36
    Its alot tougher call after beating Duke, I know Duke isnt really good this year but beating the name alone can cause some letdown. Like Oregon's team much better, just hope Oregon doesnt fall in love with the 3 too much, they have a better team if you ask me and more aggressive. Think OU has been battle tested more though, not an easy call. Smart play is prob OU.
    Comment
    • rake922
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-23-07
      • 11692

      #37
      Originally posted by jtoler
      Its alot tougher call after beating Duke, I know Duke isnt really good this year but beating the name alone can cause some letdown. Like Oregon's team much better, just hope Oregon doesnt fall in love with the 3 too much, they have a better team if you ask me and more aggressive. Think OU has been battle tested more though, not an easy call. Smart play is prob OU.
      you going large?
      Comment
      • l7ustin
        SBR MVP
        • 10-09-08
        • 3914

        #38
        I think a big xii team and a big east team will win tonight
        Comment
        • jtoler
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-17-13
          • 30967

          #39
          Originally posted by rake922
          you going large?
          Still debating who I want, its a tough call because of that itll be a small bet, but Im sure Ill hit some numbers live also. Matter of fact since Im undecided as of now Imma wait for a bigger number on either live, if I see some 5 or mores, no sense taking a stab if I think it could go either way depending on a few variables.
          Comment
          • l7ustin
            SBR MVP
            • 10-09-08
            • 3914

            #40
            100 hundo on my buddy
            Comment
            • rake922
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-23-07
              • 11692

              #41
              Originally posted by l7ustin
              I think a big xii team and a big east team will win tonight
              you cold or hot
              Comment
              • TheMoneyShot
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-14-07
                • 28672

                #42
                Originally posted by jtoler
                Its alot tougher call after beating Duke, I know Duke isnt really good this year but beating the name alone can cause some letdown. Like Oregon's team much better, just hope Oregon doesnt fall in love with the 3 too much, they have a better team if you ask me and more aggressive. Think OU has been battle tested more though, not an easy call. Smart play is prob OU.
                Coach K blamed the loss on a "young team."

                Look at every game Grayson Allen had 25+ points all year. The lane was wide open. Zero shot blockers. There was always an outlet pass.

                Oregon took EVERYTHING AWAY. Too much size, strength, aggressiveness..... everywhere. Clearly Allen was frustrated.

                Duke's excuse all year.... "We're young." It was just a cover up.

                Oregon took away Duke... and they took away Coach K.

                That's phenomenal coaching by the Oregon staff.

                This game tonight will show you if Oregon is a fraud or not.
                Comment
                • TheMoneyShot
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-14-07
                  • 28672

                  #43
                  Oh sh#$ Charles Barkley likes the DUCKS TONIGHT.

                  Man...
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #44
                    This is a tough one. Many forecasts have this game pretty close but I give Oregon the win by over 10 points.

                    For many broader reasons and from a market perspective I believe both of these teams have been recently put in situations making it favorable for them to advance further but see a more likely candidate in Oklahoma.

                    I'm passing on this game as Oregon looks good on the sheet but the market analyst in me likes Oklahoma to win.

                    Many things lead to indecision but whatever the cause, it means one should pass.

                    If you like to gamble, then, in my opinion, OK is the play.

                    Comment
                    • BigDofBA
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-30-09
                      • 19313

                      #45
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      This is a tough one. Many forecasts have this game pretty close but I give Oregon the win by over 10 points.

                      For many broader reasons and from a market perspective I believe both of these teams have been recently put in situations making it favorable for them to advance further but see a more likely candidate in Oklahoma.

                      I'm passing on this game as Oregon looks good on the sheet but the market analyst in me likes Oklahoma to win.

                      Many things lead to indecision but whatever the cause, it means one should pass.

                      If you like to gamble, then, in my opinion, OK is the play.

                      You have Oregon to win by 10 but you're not betting the game at -1???

                      Lol

                      Whatever dude.
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #46
                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                        You have Oregon to win by 10 but you're not betting the game at -1???

                        Lol

                        Whatever dude.

                        I often use an extended market analysis to make an already sharp line even sharper, often taking me off of losing bets and sometimes putting me onto winners.

                        Remember, from both a betting and bookmaking perspective, the single biggest advantage we bettors have is our ability to pass on games; books usually have to play them all.

                        Comment
                        • jtoler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-17-13
                          • 30967

                          #47
                          Still early but OU play a little smarter as a team I think. They just got my money on the ML.
                          Comment
                          • NardVa
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-02-07
                            • 8325

                            #48
                            Oklahoma rolls. Just give the ball to Buddy. He's out scoring the whole Oregon starting 5 by himself.
                            Comment
                            • jtoler
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-17-13
                              • 30967

                              #49
                              Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                              Coach K blamed the loss on a "young team."

                              Look at every game Grayson Allen had 25+ points all year. The lane was wide open. Zero shot blockers. There was always an outlet pass.

                              Oregon took EVERYTHING AWAY. Too much size, strength, aggressiveness..... everywhere. Clearly Allen was frustrated.

                              Duke's excuse all year.... "We're young." It was just a cover up.

                              Oregon took away Duke... and they took away Coach K.

                              That's phenomenal coaching by the Oregon staff.

                              This game tonight will show you if Oregon is a fraud or not.
                              Itll show they dont play as smart as OU, Oregon more athletic but OU is a better team I think itll show tonight, think the lead builds and builds.
                              Comment
                              • spro23
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-17-15
                                • 1129

                                #50
                                lon kruger is the better coach. something most ppl ignored
                                Comment
                                • jtoler
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-17-13
                                  • 30967

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                  This is a tough one. Many forecasts have this game pretty close but I give Oregon the win by over 10 points.

                                  For many broader reasons and from a market perspective I believe both of these teams have been recently put in situations making it favorable for them to advance further but see a more likely candidate in Oklahoma.

                                  I'm passing on this game as Oregon looks good on the sheet but the market analyst in me likes Oklahoma to win.

                                  Many things lead to indecision but whatever the cause, it means one should pass.

                                  If you like to gamble, then, in my opinion, OK is the play.

                                  Bro you speaking with a double tongue or what lol?
                                  Comment
                                  • Plaza23
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-29-13
                                    • 7392

                                    #52
                                    Oregon looks awful so far. Like they don't even want to be there.
                                    Comment
                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-12
                                      • 17378

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                      Oh sh#$ Charles Barkley likes the DUCKS TONIGHT.

                                      Man...
                                      Yeah game over
                                      Comment
                                      • NardVa
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-02-07
                                        • 8325

                                        #54
                                        That was quick. This game is over. Oklahoma moves on. Going down by double digits has been a death sentence in the tourney. 99% of the teams win once they go up double digits early.
                                        Comment
                                        • jtoler
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-17-13
                                          • 30967

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Plaza23
                                          Oregon looks awful so far. Like they don't even want to be there.
                                          They prob on a little high after beating Duke, while OU was watching that game and was like man we gotta be ready lets focus and come prepared.
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by jtoler
                                            Bro you speaking with a double tongue or what lol?
                                            I'm giving you a sharp long term forecast then giving you the results of a market analysis that show that, in the short term, that isn't a good bet.

                                            These are give and take markets, surely you understand that.

                                            Comment
                                            • NardVa
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-02-07
                                              • 8325

                                              #57
                                              20 point lead on deck...Oregon about to quit...lol....this is supposed to be the best of the Pac 12...lol....
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                                              • funnyb25
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 07-09-09
                                                • 39663

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by NardVa
                                                20 point lead on deck...Oregon about to quit...lol....this is supposed to be th bestvif the Pac 12...lol....
                                                this will be a close game before its over
                                                Comment
                                                • jtoler
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                  • 30967

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  I'm giving you a sharp long term forecast then giving you the results of a market analysis that show that, in the short term, that isn't a good bet.

                                                  These are give and take markets, surely you understand that.

                                                  So far laying off o Oregon was smart, you bet live or halftimes?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Plaza23
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-29-13
                                                    • 7392

                                                    #60
                                                    Oregon has an explosive offense, but I don't think Oklahoma will blow a 45-26 lead.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • funnyb25
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 07-09-09
                                                      • 39663

                                                      #61
                                                      Will be close..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by jtoler
                                                        So far laying off o Oregon was smart, you bet live or halftimes?
                                                        Sometimes but the vig can be expensive. I need to see the line before I can determine a play. It seems like Oregon is a good halftime bet for a tourney like this, especially since Oklahoma is on fire, but I sense more indecision coming...lol.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Plaza23
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-29-13
                                                          • 7392

                                                          #63
                                                          Game over. 48-30
                                                          Comment
                                                          • astro61200
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-15-07
                                                            • 4843

                                                            #64
                                                            Boomer fkn Sooner!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #65
                                                              The earlier teams in the tournament gave Sooners harder time than Oregon and A&m
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                                                              • The Kraken
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-25-11
                                                                • 28918

                                                                #66
                                                                Lon Kruger loves slowing it down and playing to not lose with big leads

                                                                Ore and Under for second half
                                                                Comment
                                                                • champlain
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-19-14
                                                                  • 713

                                                                  #67
                                                                  If this score holds up, i'll argue they had the two most impressive wins this year. Neutral sites blowouts of villanova and oregon.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Kraken
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-25-11
                                                                    • 28918

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Probbably the most impressive lost as well up in Kansas

                                                                    It was a 2OT thrilla
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                                                                    • NardVa
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-02-07
                                                                      • 8325

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by champlain
                                                                      If this score holds up, i'll argue they had the two most impressive wins this year. Neutral sites blowouts of villanova and oregon.
                                                                      Oregon might make a run, but the game is over. Oklahoma is to go give up a win after having a 20 point lead. Oregon was happy to beat a bad Duke team. Oklahoma want be happy unless they win it all.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #70
                                                                        From a market perspective and position, in my opinion, OK has the recipe for a championship team. They are in the best position to make such a run. This is one reason I passed on Oregon.

                                                                        North Carolina and Villanova seem like a couple of giant obstacles for sure.

                                                                        As far as second half, my metrics indicate a pretty sharp line with early money hitting an intentionally low -4.5 line.

                                                                        I think the books anticipate Oregon money and played into it a bit, thus far. I would consider a +6 or so from a value perspective (which is a quite a bit harder to gauge in the tourney halftimes) but otherwise am passing on the second half.


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