Patriots and Carolina -3 are both early heavy public plays

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  • frostno98
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-07
    • 9769

    #1
    Patriots and Carolina -3 are both early heavy public plays
    There's no way Vegas is going to lose both of these plays. Yesterday Carolina was the only heavy public play that covered, because the Broncos the other heavy public got backdoor. The same will happen on Sunday, I don't see both Carolina and the Patriots covering if Vegas has a say in this.
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
    How many threads you wanna start on this game? Christ.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Originally posted by t-wizzle
      How many threads you wanna start on this game? Christ.
      How come both #2 seeds got 1 extra day rest before title games?

      Yes I know both 1 got it for div rd.
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        How come both #2 seeds got 1 extra day rest before title games?

        Yes I know both 1 got it for div rd.
        Because CBS had the late game on Sunday and they wanted Denver.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Who really knows who the public is on as far as the Carolina/Arizona game
          Comment
          • JayDr3am
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-06-14
            • 18260

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            Who really knows who the public is on as far as the Carolina/Arizona game
            you never know percentage wise or stasticically but you can get a rounded idea by what teams are playing..
            Comment
            • RavensFan2k3
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-12
              • 17378

              #7
              I have Patriots losing straight up
              Comment
              • new era
                SBR MVP
                • 07-28-13
                • 1470

                #8
                Dumb logic.

                Vegas doesn't control the results... one or two games don't matter. Patriots and Carolina covering wouldn't be a miracle. They know that they will have the majority of the money by the end of the season. Simple math (Gambler's Ruin - wiki).
                Comment
                • MoneyLineDawg
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 13253

                  #9
                  Denver and Carolina Superbowl is my prediction

                  I can't believe how people are giving Denver no shot as if it's just Manning vs Brady and nothing else matters or counts.....It's hard to win in Denver and the Pats are historically bad here. Refs also will favor Denver overall if I had to guess for a few different reasons. They also have the defense to limit the Patriots, not stop completely, but limit. I mean I get people liking the Pats to move on but many are just saying no chance for Denver at home....Just wrong to me. Give me the contrarian home dog in this spot all day
                  Comment
                  • sandyw123
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-28-11
                    • 307

                    #10
                    At this time, 79% are on New England, and 71% on Arizona. according to "the Spread." If these percentages don't change too much, count on one (if not both) to pay big for the books.
                    Comment
                    • BankrollMafia
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-30-15
                      • 654

                      #11
                      Originally posted by sandyw123
                      At this time, 79% are on New England, and 71% on Arizona. according to "the Spread." If these percentages don't change too much, count on one (if not both) to pay big for the books.
                      Theres no way, i bet a lot more ppl are on carolina -3. Pats i agree, majority will play that. Me included. Haha
                      Comment
                      • thellama
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-27-15
                        • 899

                        #12
                        I'm on both and if I push, I push. I don't think I'll lose both of em tho, but I might win them both.

                        Sincerely,
                        John Q. Public
                        Comment
                        • new era
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-28-13
                          • 1470

                          #13
                          Originally posted by sandyw123
                          At this time, 79% are on New England, and 71% on Arizona. according to "the Spread." If these percentages don't change too much, count on one (if not both) to pay big for the books.
                          71% is on Carolina.
                          Comment
                          • Ra77er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 06-20-11
                            • 10969

                            #14
                            These games are tough this round without a doubt. I feel the most confident in Brady but even that is not as close to how I felt about Carolina or even Denver last week. The worst part is I have a futures and that makes this all the worse. I need serious marination this week.
                            Comment
                            • POISON
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-30-08
                              • 429

                              #15
                              Cardinals and Patriots both win and cover, no brainer
                              Comment
                              • Statman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-04-10
                                • 1212

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                Denver and Carolina Superbowl is my prediction

                                I can't believe how people are giving Denver no shot as if it's just Manning vs Brady and nothing else matters or counts.....It's hard to win in Denver and the Pats are historically bad here. Refs also will favor Denver overall if I had to guess for a few different reasons. They also have the defense to limit the Patriots, not stop completely, but limit. I mean I get people liking the Pats to move on but many are just saying no chance for Denver at home....Just wrong to me. Give me the contrarian home dog in this spot all day
                                Agree with you on this. I recall the public was all over on NE when they went into Denver earlier this year and faced the Denver backup QB. Game went into OT I believe but NE still lost. Now you have Manning back in with some rust shaken off and the line is still Denver +3 ? Seems like value IMO on Denver. Good luck in your plays.
                                Comment
                                • Grits n' Gravy
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-10-10
                                  • 13024

                                  #17
                                  2 great games. All I have heard about early action is that it is spread out fairly even. I don't think the refs will make any major fuk ups so the better overall teams, Pats and Panthers will win. Not sure yet if I will lay the 3+ or just shop for best ml.

                                  I'm sure a segment of owners and league officials would be more than happy to see Pats get sent home for the deflate bs. Another segment may want to see Denver get beat because the Manning HGH story will be highlighted for 2 weeks and that isn't good for anybody. So no conspiracy will effect either side. Bet who you think the better team is.
                                  Comment
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