Under Might Be The Strong Play Tonight: Cincy@Denver

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Under Might Be The Strong Play Tonight: Cincy@Denver
    Two average QB's
    The Game is relevant
    Excellent defenses
    Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


    Under 40 might be the angle

    Vegas Pro Gambler
  • KSmooth4U
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-01-13
    • 588

    #2
    Doesnt your weather arguement only apply if you were trying to convince us to take the over?
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #3
      Okay. I'll pound it.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        BIGDAY I WANT TO POUND YOU

        Pros play like it is 75 degrees every game no matter if -10 or 100 degrees
        Comment
        • MoMoneyMoVaughn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-08-14
          • 14988

          #5
          JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

          Oldest trick in the book.
          Comment
          • DiggityDaggityDo
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-30-08
            • 81450

            #6
            Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
            JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

            Oldest trick in the book.
            Coach is sharp, Mo.
            Comment
            • Wolfpackofone
              SBR Rookie
              • 03-03-15
              • 30

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              Two average QB's
              The Game is relevant
              Excellent defenses
              Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


              Under 40 might be the angle

              Vegas Pro Gambler
              You're such a joke... Weather doesn't play a factor?? Yet every professional handicapper says to factor it in. And obviously it does, if it's pouring rain, guess what, the ball is harder to catch so deep passes won't be as frequent.. Only a moron, like yourself, would make a statement like that.
              Comment
              • no1here
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 5914

                #8
                one can make a lot of money betting strictly bad weather games
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Originally posted by no1here
                  one can make a lot of money betting strictly bad weather games
                  I doubt any statistical proof to back that up
                  Comment
                  • MarcusPaige
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-16-14
                    • 272

                    #10
                    Bad weather also leads to sloppy turnovers which can throw a game over in a matter of minutes. Most players say the player who actually knows where he is going (i.e. the wide receiver or runner) have a significant advantage on a wet field as well. Perhaps a driving, blinding snow might make a game more likely to go under. The rest of it, just doesn't matter.
                    Comment
                    • Jeep_Life 42
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-28-15
                      • 1388

                      #11
                      anybody have the weather report for Denver tonight?
                      Comment
                      • paco
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-07-09
                        • 62873

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MarcusPaige
                        Bad weather also leads to sloppy turnovers which can throw a game over in a matter of minutes. Most players say the player who actually knows where he is going (i.e. the wide receiver or runner) have a significant advantage on a wet field as well. Perhaps a driving, blinding snow might make a game more likely to go under. The rest of it, just doesn't matter.
                        Few years ago it was a over a foot of snow blizzard between lions and Eagles, total dropped significantly everyone took under and it end up being the highest scoring game on the whole board that day
                        Comment
                        • PorkChop
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-18-08
                          • 8193

                          #13
                          McCarron puts up 20 tonight minimum
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30060

                            #14
                            They both suck on offense and have rough defense.
                            Under is right.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Men keep hitting it

                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-30-08
                                • 81450

                                #16
                                I'm on the Under.

                                Denver also.
                                Comment
                                • Manny0825
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-09-15
                                  • 1452

                                  #17
                                  Under is the play IMO. Both offenses are shaky. You got AJ McCarron at QB. Hes a rising star, but still a rookie. He will make mistakes. He made mistakes playing against a terrible San Fran D. Just imagine the problems he will have against Denvers D. Brock is a little better, but not much. So he will struggle as well because Cincy's D is good too. So i say Under is the play.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jeep_Life 42
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-28-15
                                    • 1388

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Manny0825
                                    Under is the play IMO. Both offenses are shaky. You got AJ McCarron at QB. Hes a rising star, but still a rookie. He will make mistakes. He made mistakes playing against a terrible San Fran D. Just imagine the problems he will have against Denvers D. Brock is a little better, but not much. So he will struggle as well be ause Cincy's D is good too. So i say Under is the play.
                                    Broncos for the win!
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30060

                                      #19
                                      i can't play it
                                      too low now.
                                      just one of my rules.
                                      gl.
                                      Comment
                                      • lilpete
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-03-15
                                        • 1598

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Two average QB's
                                        The Game is relevant
                                        Excellent defenses
                                        Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


                                        Under 40 might be the angle

                                        Vegas Pro Gambler
                                        u39.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Albabbie
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-02-15
                                          • 242

                                          #21
                                          Man 39.5 is low. Gonna pass.
                                          Comment
                                          • vividjohn45
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-21-10
                                            • 6331

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
                                            JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

                                            Oldest trick in the book.
                                            Haha.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dollars2Donuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-07-13
                                              • 8803

                                              #23
                                              Ok, my thoughts.

                                              This weekend was full of unders. Both teams have suspect QB play and both D's are excellent. The teams matchup well for a low scoring game, but.....

                                              Cold weather with no wind is a recipe for points for a few reasons. Tacklers tend to go a little easier unless they are certain that they will take down the runner. The ball is harder and tougher to catch so will will see more deflected balls, which easily turn into points the other way. The ball is also tougher to hold onto for the backs, and the backs should see the ball a lot deep in their own end.

                                              Also McCarron throws the ball more often than not, and Cincy is going to have a real issue running the ball against this Denver D.

                                              Maybe be even more importantly....most of SBR is on the under.

                                              Now, take into account that I have had the worst three weeks of my betting-life these last three weeks....I still like the over here.
                                              Comment
                                              • Shafted69
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-04-08
                                                • 6412

                                                #24
                                                faded
                                                Comment
                                                • JMon
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-11-09
                                                  • 9800

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                  Two average QB's
                                                  The Game is relevant
                                                  Excellent defenses
                                                  Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


                                                  Under 40 might be the angle

                                                  Vegas Pro Gambler
                                                  good usage of the word 'might'
                                                  Comment
                                                  • paco
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-07-09
                                                    • 62873

                                                    #26
                                                    Lock it up along with Denver
                                                    Comment
                                                    • teaserpleaser
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-14-08
                                                      • 26015

                                                      #27
                                                      AJ looks good ....everybody and their mother in this under including me. Serious though bengals should stick with AJ at QB.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JMon
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                        • 9800

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                                        AJ looks good ....everybody and their mother in this under including me. Serious though bengals should stick with AJ at QB.
                                                        don't they have choice this year do they?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KalouKalou
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-14-11
                                                          • 1848

                                                          #29
                                                          The weather isn't that bad
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MarcusPaige
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 02-16-14
                                                            • 272

                                                            #30
                                                            I like the over.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • teaserpleaser
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-14-08
                                                              • 26015

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by JMon
                                                              don't they have choice this year do they?
                                                              Don't they have a choice? Typo? Dalton will be back for the playoffs but we all know how that ends. If they want to save face I guess they could say he can't go. Don't care how they do it but AJ should finish out the season.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JMon
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-09
                                                                • 9800

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                                                Don't they have a choice? Typo? Dalton will be back for the playoffs but we all know how that ends. If they want to save face I guess they could say he can't go. Don't care how they do it but AJ should finish out the season.
                                                                Ya, that was pretty bad..they don't have a choice do they? Don't think Dalton will be back. I see what you are saying.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • teaserpleaser
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-14-08
                                                                  • 26015

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by PorkChop
                                                                  McCarron puts up 20 tonight minimum
                                                                  Good call chopper
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    going to be close
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • paco
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                                      • 62873

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Another clutch call by Coach
                                                                      Comment
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