Texas VS (4) TCU - Opening Line And VERY QUICK MOVEMENT. Need Your Input

[TheMoneyShot]

I just wanted to get posters opinions on this...

And this would be a very good example on input either way.

The WYNN in Vegas opened up with TCU -19.5 and currently has dropped to TCU -15.5

Pinnacle Offshore opened up with TCU -17.5 and currently has dropped to TCU -15


First of all... here are my questions.

1. Usually vegas is right about an opening line. TCU -19.5 is extremely high. So did Sharps or the Public in general bring the line down to TCU -15.5? I would suggest the Sharps did. They are typically the ones quick on the draw.

2. How in the hell can a line drop nearly 4 points in just 24 hours?


This isn't the only game on the board like this so far. I've counted 3 games with 4 point movements already. Either the sharps know what their talking about. Or they will get smoked come Saturday afternoon?

What's odd about these games... they are all NATIONAL BROADCASTS. RANKED college teams.

Like I said... it's just very interesting... vegas never misses a line. These games are getting hit hard early. Very odd.

[shaunovery]

Sometimes lines makers make mistakes people quick to jump line becoming close to try for the Middle

[BigdaddyQH]

Let me explain this to you. First, you could NOT wager on those openers. Those openers are reserved for the High Rollers at those respetive casino's. By noon on Monday (Vegas time), the line was down to 15 1/2 at many shops. Do not beieve the numerous wanna-be's in here to claim to get those lines. To be blunt, they are LIARS! Plain and simple. Unfortunately there are a lot of them in here. Most do not even wager at all.

When sports books put out openers for their high rollers, it does not take much to change the line. TCU has looked like caca the past two weeks and was very lucky to win last Saturday. Texas had to find ways to lose the past two Saturdays, and those games were at home. Many think that a change in scenery may help them.

If you are a shopper, the line is between 14 1/2 and 16 now in Vegas. It will probably settle around 16 to 16 1/2. Texas is also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against TCU, and the sharps know this. The one thing to remember. Texas gets OU next week. Texas is 1-5 ATS in the game prior to the OU game. GL if you bother playing this game, I am not.

[Buffalo Nickle]

SBR has 59% of bets on Texas so don't think this was sharp action and UT's defense is not something for any sharp to bet on nor their offense.

Vegas is not sharper than offshore. Vegas takes it lead from offshore. Vegas tends post lines a little on the square side and likely thought people would be betting TCU after they scored 55 points. But they got it wrong, the public thinks TCU's defense stinks and can't stop Texas enough to cover.

[Renegades]

RAS steamed the line

[Renegades]

RAS #155 Texas +17.5
Rating: 1.00
RAS Side

[manny24]

yeah they almost won those last two games but the program is a dumpster fire

TCU or no play

[BIGDAY]

People look to movement too much imo.

#PoundTheWinners

[frogsrangers]

Texas is also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against TCU, and the sharps know this.

Wrong... TCU covered in 2012 and 2014 vs. TEX

[jjgold]

Vegas moves many lines on $500 wagers

never forget that

[Ralphie1412]

TCUs defense was so penetrating pathetic last Saturday Im staying away from them.

[coitus_maximus]

Texas needs a win in an awful way. Expect Texas to come out with everything.