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  • chargers4222
    SBR MVP
    • 01-16-10
    • 4702

    #36
    Originally posted by KVB
    JJ could be right about the defense. Thus far, I have a predicted score 27-27 with perhaps a slight edge to Washington. While the Giants don't want to lose two in a row at home to go 0-3, we all now they aren't afraid to do just that so I'm not sure how "due" they are relative to perception. After all, they covered their first game, at night in front of the nation.

    Combining this early season perceived due factor with certain unnamed market metrics leads me to believe certain groups of unsophisticated bettors may be lining up towards the Giants.

    If you've already booked it Twist, then good luck but I believe +4 triggers a buy for certain groups of money and expect to see downward pressure. That buying could continue through +3.5, maybe enough put it back to the early opener of 3.

    I would exercise caution going against the money that moves that line, though of course it is not always right. For now I am taking a reduced vig position in Washington +4.

    With my predicted score of 54 points I like the Over 43.5 and would probably buy it up 48. While the line has dropped from the early opener, it could find its way upward, toward my line.

    Shit, felt like I was in the CFL thread for a minute with the market analysis.

    Good Luck Twister and glad to see you excited about posting some plays.


    lol this guy is the worst
    Comment
    • sourtwist
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-10-12
      • 9364

      #37
      Time for a nice win.... I'm getting paid tonight
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #38
        Originally posted by chargers4222
        lol this guy is the worst


        Really? It seems like this guy nailed the market movement exactly. He usually does.
        Comment
        • sourtwist
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-10-12
          • 9364

          #39
          Here we go baby
          Comment
          • sourtwist
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-10-12
            • 9364

            #40
            Thread is quiet...
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #41
              looking good now
              Comment
              • boeing power
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-10
                • 9698

                #42
                Lookin good southwest.
                Comment
                • High3rEl3m3nt
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-28-10
                  • 8022

                  #43
                  sourtwist is bailing PT out. Good stuff.
                  Comment
                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 19734

                    #44
                    good call. washington sucks horse cokk.
                    Comment
                    • Jeffie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-06-12
                      • 3428

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Da Manster!
                      I'm on skins (+4)....I think skins win outright.......HAIL!......don't say I didn't warn you guys...
                      I respect your homerism.
                      Comment
                      • sourtwist
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-10-12
                        • 9364

                        #46
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        looking good now
                        All game looked good
                        Comment
                        • GT21Megatron
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-20-13
                          • 10818

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Jeffie
                          I respect your homerism.
                          Hes clueless
                          Comment
                          • sourtwist
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-10-12
                            • 9364

                            #48
                            Cake walk
                            Comment
                            • sourtwist
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-10-12
                              • 9364

                              #49
                              Good start to week 3
                              Comment
                              • recon1
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-13-12
                                • 2579

                                #50
                                Good call sour!
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #51
                                  Sourhead can you loan me $500
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #52
                                    Nice call Twist. The Over came too, but it was a bit tougher to get.

                                    Comment
                                    • sourtwist
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-10-12
                                      • 9364

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                      Sourhead can you loan me $500
                                      Of course, three points per week
                                      Comment
                                      • sourtwist
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-10-12
                                        • 9364

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                        Nice call Twist. The Over came too, but it was a bit tougher to get.

                                        Shouldn't have even happened
                                        Comment
                                        • Da Manster!
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-13-07
                                          • 17720

                                          #55
                                          congrats sourtwist......no hard feelings here...you guys whooped our ass in all three phases of the game...offense, defense, and special teams...you deserved to win and no excuses, and's, if's, or but's about it......on a sidenote, I had the skins (+17) so I am very happy that my teaser is still alive!...
                                          Comment
                                          • sourtwist
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-10-12
                                            • 9364

                                            #56
                                            Manster, good luck this weekend, hope you hit your teaser
                                            Comment
                                            • Da Manster!
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-13-07
                                              • 17720

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Jeffie
                                              I respect your homerism.
                                              not tonight, Jeffie...we shit the bed...oh well, 10 more days to get ready for philly!...
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26068

                                                #58
                                                I had wash as well sorry bout that monster really thought skins turned it around
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by sourtwist
                                                  Shouldn't have even happened
                                                  lol...Sure it should have happened. That's why it did happen...lol. Plenty of missed points, field goals instead of TD's, fumbles into the endzone, etc. to have put that game over.

                                                  The second half Over brought the game Over and I had projected 54 points.

                                                  You sound surprised.

                                                  Comment
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