Should I hedge this?

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:10 PM

is live betting plus working for anyone? hasnt worked for me in 2 weeks.

on 5Dimes.

live betting extra works but they dont have many games

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:12 PM

I can get MSU +2.5 (-111) and try to middle

or

MSU ML (+134)

Confident Duke wins, they are up 7 5 minutes into the 2nd hlaf

Bigbill365 · 03-27-15, 10:18 PM

Take Msu Ml for $100 gurantee a $200 profit

Bigbill365 · 03-27-15, 10:19 PM

or $100 profit

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:21 PM

Leaning towards a middle honestly, I like to have a chance to win both bets. I really think Michigan State is going to win, or at least make it come down to last possession.

Yeah, just put $111 to win $100 on MSU +2.5... need to break this slump Im in and promise myself a winner. Might win them both too!!!

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:22 PM

watch me middle the shit out of this and Utah ends up wining... haha thats how my luck has been lately,

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:23 PM

Duke was up 11 with 10 minutes left when i made the bet FWIW

Bigbill365 · 03-27-15, 10:24 PM

or wait see if you cant get MSU a little higher like +4 or 5 little better chance for middle

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:24 PM

SO, I either win $85, win $220, win $431, or lose $115... only way I lose is if Utah comes back... good spot to be in

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by Bigbill365

or wait see if you cant get MSU a little higher like +4 or 5 little better chance for middle

already made the bet at halftime.... I may put a little more on it later if I think Spartans still have a chance

The Kraken · 03-27-15, 10:40 PM

Oklahoma is toast

Put the jelly on them

STAX · 03-27-15, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by The Kraken

Oklahoma is toast

Put the jelly on them

i agree, Im glad I hedged... only chance OU has is to hit a mriacle at the buzzer and win by 1 or 2...

The Kraken · 03-27-15, 10:47 PM

existential · 03-27-15, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by STAX

300374036-1	3/24/15 4:42am	$15.00	$331.80	Pending	8 Team Parlay
				Win	3/26/15 9:45pm College Basketball 804 Kentucky -1300* <small>vs</small> West Virginia
				Win	3/26/15 7:15pm College Basketball 806 Notre Dame +110* <small>vs</small> Wichita State
				Win	3/26/15 10:15pm College Basketball 808 Arizona -750* <small>vs</small> Xavier
				Win	3/26/15 7:45pm College Basketball 810 Wisconsin -255* <small>vs</small> North Carolina
				Pending	3/27/15 7:35pm College Basketball 878 Louisville -145* <small>vs</small> NC State
				Pending	3/27/15 10:00pm College Basketball 880 Oklahoma U +115* <small>vs</small> Michigan State
				Win	3/27/15 7:15pm College Basketball 882 Gonzaga -425* <small>vs</small> UCLA
				Pending	3/27/15 9:45pm College Basketball 884 Duke -225* <small>vs</small> Utah U

obv Louisville needs to hang on... I really dont feel great about Oklahoma... I think they are more talented but Izzo will coach circles around that old man scrub at OU. Had a horrible week and if I hit this parlay Ill regain almost my entire weeks losses.

Ill prob end up waiting and trying to get MSU +something in game. Obv keep an eye on Duke as well, but I feel very confident in them winning...

let it ride or hedge in game on MSU????

another 8-team Parlay loss!

you're literally broke and live in Section 8 housing

don't you think it's time for another 50 cent 20-Team parlay to win $2.59?

BUAHAHAHAHAHHAAHAHHAAHA

STAX · 03-27-15, 11:21 PM

hedged it you dumb --

newguy · 03-27-15, 11:22 PM

Nice hedge stax. Smart hedge

STAX · 03-27-15, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by newguy

Nice hedge stax. Smart hedge

yeah the coaching was the difference, was even more evident as the game went on... thanks

existential · 03-27-15, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by STAX

hedged it you dumb --

he's a racist too guys. typical white trash.

guy lives in Section 8 housing and bets 50 cent 20-Team chalk parlays to win $2.59 so he can finally buy himself a cheeseburger.

and still loses.

BUAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHA

STAX · 03-27-15, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by STAX

Yeah, just put $111 to win $100 on MSU +2.5... need to break this slump Im in and promise myself a winner. Might win them both too!!!

bother to read the whole thread dikkbag? hope your grandma gets raped and murdered

existential · 03-27-15, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by STAX

bother to read the whole thread dikkbag? hope your grandma gets raped and murdered

awwwww the white trash racist is so mad he lost his cheeseburger parlay.

someone's going hungry again tonight fellas. LMFAO

now go dry your eyes, your tears could fill a bathtub.

Bigbill365 · 03-28-15, 05:35 PM

Good hedge most will say dont hedge its -EV But i always hedge if i can gurantee money.Now you have some money to through it all on 1 game and start stacking that paperrr

The Kraken · 03-28-15, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by Bigbill365

Good hedge most will say dont hedge its -EV But i always hedge if i can gurantee money.Now you have some money to through it all on 1 game and start stacking that paperrr

-/+EV is independent of what you think the right thing to do is and also what you would do. Basically, it's an independent variable in this sense.

It's is also independent of what is right for each gambler. Our risk aversion is different. Sticking out a +EV 8 team parlay may not be the best thing for you, depends on your goals.

Sometimes the -EV bet is actually the right one depending on the individual.