Soccer Picks

smithah2 · 06-05-15, 06:53 PM

haha thanks rude

Rudeboy · 06-06-15, 08:50 AM

6/6

Serbia U20 (World Cup) +153 2u Play +3.06
Qatar U20 (World Cup) Over 3 +110 2u Play 0.00

YTD W274-L254 +27.45u

thetrinity · 06-06-15, 10:02 AM

you betting womens world cup at all

Rudeboy · 06-06-15, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by thetrinity

you betting womens world cup at all

Doubt it...I might throw a play out there

Rudeboy · 06-06-15, 05:59 PM

6/6

Juventus (UCL) +518 3u Play -3.00
Juventus (UCL) +½ +142 3u Play -3.00
Juventus wins UEFA Champions League +260 3u Play -3.00

YTD W274-L257 +18.45u

Sorry fellas

Rudeboy · 06-06-15, 06:12 PM

6/6-6/7

Fiji U20 (World Cup) +2½ -128 2u Play
Germany U20 (World Cup) Over 3½ -105 2u Play
Honduras U20 (World Cup) +1½ +134 2u Play
Nigeria U20 (World Cup) -1 +248 3u Play

smithah2 · 06-06-15, 06:56 PM

cheers rude

Rudeboy · 06-07-15, 09:15 AM

6/6-6/7

Fiji U20 (World Cup) +2½ -128 2u Play -2.56
Germany U20 (World Cup) Over 3½ -105 2u Play +2.00
Honduras U20 (World Cup) +1½ +134 2u Play -2.00
Nigeria U20 (World Cup) -1 +248 3u Play +7.44

YTD W276-L259 +23.33u

Rudeboy · 06-07-15, 09:33 AM

6/7

England U22 (Toulon) +143 2u Play
Croatia (Friendly) -4½ -171 2u Play

Rudeboy · 06-07-15, 02:51 PM

6/7

England U22 (Toulon) +143 2u Play -2.00
Croatia (Friendly) -4½ -171 2u Play -3.42

YTD W276-L261 +17.91

fitguy67 · 06-07-15, 04:59 PM

ruder, my personal experience with the last several weeks of your picks (a handful have been missed along the way cuz couldn't find them at any of my books, or i simply missed the start of the game etc...) is as follows...

note: i play everything to WIN exactly 1u (NOT risk eg. for +128 i'd risk just 78 .13 to win a hundo-dollar unit)...meaning I just ignore any varying play-strengths you post...it's a variance-minimizing way to size bets for those who are "super chickens" with the their bankrolls, like me...

anyhow: 65-60, +15.42u...

Note: even tho' wins outnumber losses by only 5 and each win nets exactly 1u, i've done much better than just +5u...cuz your average play is plus money (and in the cases of betting on a DRAW, big plus money)...my typical losses are less than single units...very often it's stuff like 2-2, +0.47u or 1-2, -0.37...etc.

_________

LOVE your picks...they're solid...for those who want the same degree of "excitement" as you, I see that you post the units you're playing...but i consider bet-sizing to be the responsibility of each player...and for the player who wants to ride the ruder train up the hill with a minimum of bumps i suggest they consider flat units...the smoothest path being provided by aiming to WIN a single unit on each play...

so next time you see a 2u play on a draw +300, you don't have to risk 2u to win 6u, or 1 unit to win 3...you're free to risk just a third of a unit to win 1u...or any other damn play-size you and your bankroll are comfortable with...

take (or fade) the posted play exactly as YOU want to...and risk/target as much as YOU want to on what YOU decided...and take the result of that play (that YOU submitted) as it comes...like a man...not a goddam whiny twat
______________

anyhow, just thot' i'd chime in here and let people know how your PICKS straight up, without any variations in bet-sizing are performing...and the answer is very very well

if anyone loses tons of units following your picks and play-sizes on one day, i say fukk'em...can't stand the heat get out of the kitchen...use your own common sense and tolerance-to-$-swings to guide your own bet-sizes...bet sizes ain't nobody's business but your own

always ask yourself before submitting plays on a card...can i handle going "oh-fer" (a losing-sweep) today?...if not, lighten up, and if you do get buried on the card "grow up"=don't snap at someone who simply shared what THEY were playing..

posted plays may be 100% attributed to your following Ruder...but the $ you risk on 'em is 100% attributable to the dipstick that you see in the mirror...so if you're whining and getting all potty-mouthed about prison sex etc...you've just identified yourself as an irresponsible dolt...
___________

carry on, ruder...win or lose tonight, your plays are always appreciated...and if you go on an 0-8 spell, i'm not going to stop playing them and start nominating posts by pimply-faced idiots (with suspiciously too-much detail in their fellatio references)...

Rudeboy · 06-07-15, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

ruder, my personal experience with the last several weeks of your picks (a handful have been missed along the way cuz couldn't find them at any of my books, or i simply missed the start of the game etc...) is as follows...

note: i play everything to WIN exactly 1u (NOT risk eg. for +128 i'd risk just 78 .13 to win a hundo-dollar unit), just ignore any varying play-strengths you post...

it's a variance-minimizing way to size bets for those who are "super chickens" with the their bankrolls, like me...

anyhow: 65-60, +15.42u...

Note: even tho' wins outnumber losses by only 5 and each win nets exactly 1u, i've done much better than just +5u...cuz your average play is plus money (in the cases of betting on a DRAW, big plus money)...my typical losses are less than units...very often it's stuff like 2-2, +0.47u or 1-2, -0.37...etc.

_________

LOVE your picks...they're solid...for those who want the same degree of "excitement" as you, I see that you post the units you're playing...but i consider bet-sizing to be the responsibility of each player...and for the player who wants to ride the ruder train up the hill with a minimum of bumps i suggest they consider flat units...the smoothest path being provided by aiming to WIN a single unit on each play...

so next time you see a +300 on a draw, you don't have to risk 1 whole unit to win 3...you're free to risk just a third of a unit to win 1

anyhow, just thot' i'd chime in here and let people know how your PICKS straight up, without any variations in bet-sizing are performing...and the answer is excellent

if anyone lost tons of units following your picks and play-sizes on one day, i say fukk'em...can't stand the heat get out of the kitchen...use your own common sense and tolerance-to-$-swings to guide your bet-sizes...

always ask yourself before submitting plays on a card...can i handle going "oh-fer" (a losing-sweep) today...if not, lighten up..

posted plays may be 100% attributable to your following Ruder...but the $ you risk on 'em is 100% attributable to the dipstick that you see in the mirror...so if you're whining and getting all potty-mouthed about prison sex etc...you've just identified yourself as an irresponsible dolt...
___________

carry on, ruder...win or lose tonight, your plays are always appreciated...and if you go on an 0-8 spell, i'm not going to stop playing them and start nominating posts by pimply-faced idiots (with suspiciously too-detailed descriptions of fellatio)...

I understand you completely...a very smart approach you have undertaken

Rudeboy · 06-07-15, 07:21 PM

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play

smithah2 · 06-07-15, 09:26 PM

my kind of day. pounding those overs rude.

camelbreath$ · 06-07-15, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Rudeboy

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play

KTP is on a streak of 7 straight games Under 2.5 away from home in FIN-V.

Guess you think time to break the streak. GL.

smithah2 · 06-07-15, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by camelbreath$

KTP is on a streak of 7 straight games Under 2.5 away from home in FIN-V.

Guess you think time to break the streak. GL.

KTP is home in this fixture

camelbreath$ · 06-08-15, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by smithah2

KTP is home in this fixture

I meant IFK away matches and typed KTP on accident. Anyhow, they have seen 7 straight unders away (IFK)

Courtesywipe · 06-08-15, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by Rudeboy

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play

A few few months ago I jumped aboard and was playing your winners. Lately however I seem to tail you on the day you have losers....today included. My strategy should be to tail you everyday! Then I won't miss out on winners. Bol.

dreamlanding · 06-08-15, 11:21 AM

I'm on that Finland over also... Here's to a crazy 2nd half. I had an over 3.5 hit in Australia recently that was scoreless at the half, but no one plays defense in Australia apparently.

Sheer Gambling · 06-08-15, 11:24 AM

lol believe it or not I am in the same boat..I should keep his picks without miss everyday

Originally posted by Courtesywipe

A few few months ago I jumped aboard and was playing your winners. Lately however I seem to tail you on the day you have losers....today included. My strategy should be to tail you everyday! Then I won't miss out on winners. Bol.

Rudeboy · 06-08-15, 12:43 PM

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play -2.00
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play +3.54

YTD W277-L262 +19.45

mikey87 · 06-08-15, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by Rudeboy

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play -2.00
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play +3.54

YTD W277-L262 +19.45

Thanks Ruder!!! Tailed Ya on the Egyptians

Sheer Gambling · 06-08-15, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by Rudeboy

6/8

KTP (FIN-V) Over 2½ +129 2u Play -2.00
Egypt (Friendly) Over 2½ +118 3u Play +3.54

YTD W277-L262 +19.45

smithah2 · 06-08-15, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by Courtesywipe

A few few months ago I jumped aboard and was playing your winners. Lately however I seem to tail you on the day you have losers....today included. My strategy should be to tail you everyday! Then I won't miss out on winners. Bol.

Today was a winning day. When talking ruder or honestly anyone you have to take all their picks to make it worth while our yeah you'll end up picking the lists even though the poster could have a winning day

Rudeboy · 06-08-15, 07:23 PM

6/9

Japan W (World Cup) Over 2½ -148 2u Play
Pescara (ITA-B) pk +175 3u Play

Rudeboy · 06-09-15, 09:08 AM

6/9

Ukraine U21 (Friendly) Over 2½ -110 3u Play

jihadvillager · 06-09-15, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by Rudeboy

6/9

Ukraine U21 (Friendly) Over 2½ -110 3u Play

Edit- nevermind i see it is vs Czech Rep. u21

BrickShotShawn · 06-09-15, 10:57 AM

Was just about to play Ukraine total....5dimes took it off board when I was submitting. WTF. Good luck Ruder

BrickShotShawn · 06-09-15, 02:20 PM

And of course it hits. Nice ruder

intermission · 06-09-15, 03:35 PM

Pescara played really good..they had so many chances.

Rudeboy · 06-09-15, 03:38 PM

6/9

Japan W (World Cup) Over 2½ -148 2u Play -2.96
Pescara (ITA-B) pk +175 3u Play 0.00
Ukraine U21 (Friendly) Over 2½ -110 3u Play +3.00

YTD W278-L263 +19.49

Rudeboy · 06-09-15, 06:06 PM

6/10

Serbia U20 (World Cup) -140 2u Play
USA U20 (World Cup) +322 3u Play

cogiditopapa · 06-09-15, 06:10 PM

USA should get it done today homie!

cogiditopapa · 06-09-15, 06:12 PM

I really like the Serbia play, the opening price was around 2.0 + odds, it has dropped a lot. I don't know much about them but I read they did extremely well in the U19 European Championship. Do you think Hungary can score? BTTS is priced @ 1.98, Serbs had had wicked defense so far.

Rudeboy · 06-09-15, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by cogiditopapa

I really like the Serbia play, the opening price was around 2.0 + odds, it has dropped a lot. I don't know much about them but I read they did extremely well in the U19 European Championship. Do you think Hungary can score? BTTS is priced @ 1.98, Serbs had had wicked defense so far.

It's not Serbias defense that has impressed me lately, its there attack we should see them outscore there opponents by a few today

Hungary have a goal in them...if +ev then worthwhile.