The Lions (+7) are getting too many points @ New England

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    The Lions (+7) are getting too many points @ New England
    This line seems inflated. Probably because the Patriots seem unbeatable at the moment and the Lions haven't been so impressive of late.

    I think Detroit's front 7 will give New England trouble on Sunday and the Lions should have a good chance to win this game.


    Lions +7 is an obvious bet but the ML has great value if you ask me.
  • Seaweed
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-19-12
    • 26318

    #2
    I agree
    Comment
    • Vinnie Paz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-27-12
      • 12177

      #3
      Yeah I could get down with this play. I like it.
      Comment
      • KRIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-11-14
        • 12878

        #4
        Line looks right to me. Detroit is still very hard to trust on the road.
        Comment
        • slambam
          SBR MVP
          • 02-07-10
          • 1653

          #5
          This game is intriguing. A great O against a great D. Myself, I like NE. Brady won't get shut down, if he just puts up 20 points they'll cover IMO.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            typical

            watch Detroit win

            Wizzle good thinking here
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              totally agree. just happy you posted it not me
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                totally agree. just happy you posted it not me
                You did post it bro. Thanks for logging out.
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                  You did post it bro. Thanks for logging out.
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82839

                    #10
                    Lions are crap on grass. They lost to Panthers and Falcons.
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      Lions are crap on grass. They lost to Panthers and Falcons.

                      That would be relevant if this game were being played on grass. Dope.
                      Comment
                      • MUHerd37
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 12816

                        #12
                        When are people going to finally realize that the Lions are completely overrated???
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94379

                          #13
                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                          That would be relevant if this game were being played on grass. Dope.
                          is it not in ne?
                          Comment
                          • t-wizzle
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-18-09
                            • 38099

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            is it not in ne?

                            Their field is turf.
                            Comment
                            • t-wizzle
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-18-09
                              • 38099

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MUHerd37
                              When are people going to finally realize that the Lions are completely overrated???

                              That's the thing -- they're not.
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82839

                                #16
                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                That would be relevant if this game were being played on grass. Dope.
                                You are right. With the temperature being in the 20s it will be frozen tundra.
                                Lions players are moose.
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                  Their field is turf.

                                  it is? i didnt know that.
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                    Lions are crap on grass. They lost to Panthers and Falcons.
                                    how did they play falcons on grass? i gotta hear this one.
                                    Comment
                                    • t-wizzle
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 38099

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                      You are right. With the temperature being in the 20s it will be frozen tundra.
                                      Lions players are moose.

                                      Wrong again. It's going to be warm this weekend.
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82839

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                        Wrong again. It's going to be warm this weekend.
                                        Yes they will have the A/C on in New England. They are predicting power outages.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Any professional gambler will be on Detroit
                                          Comment
                                          • SmittyZ28
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-04-12
                                            • 1469

                                            #22
                                            Here is a stat for all you "sharps". Stafford in his career is 1-15 against teams with a winning record on the road, I like the kid he is tough but the Lions organization has had immense talent for years. They are just born losers, one of the worst road teams in the league for YEARS coming into one of the top 3/4 toughest places to play in the league and considering W/L record it is statistically the toughest. 7 is a big number I don't think it's a bad play to consider taking the 7, even though there are better bets on the board, but I would rather tease the pats with Zona, Balt, Denver St Louis Etc. Stanton drove up and down the field on this team threw for 306 and a couple bad INTs kept the score artificially low. The pass D numbers are super inflated due to mediocre opponents outside of the week 1 fluke against GB

                                            Anyone who puts a $ on the Detroit Money Line is a dope, or praying for a miracle so everyone thinks they are a "sharp"


                                            Also, Gillette went from grass to turf mid season back in 06
                                            Comment
                                            • OckertCR
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 06-22-14
                                              • 641

                                              #23
                                              Det can't score
                                              Comment
                                              • MickeyMan
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-20-09
                                                • 5091

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                how did they play falcons on grass? i gotta hear this one.
                                                Pavy is right on this one. First time Ive seen it from the guy
                                                Comment
                                                • goduke
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-10
                                                  • 11580

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                  This line seems inflated. Probably because the Patriots seem unbeatable at the moment and the Lions haven't been so impressive of late.

                                                  I think Detroit's front 7 will give New England trouble on Sunday and the Lions should have a good chance to win this game.


                                                  Lions +7 is an obvious bet but the ML has great value if you ask me.
                                                  Ml value I guess but to me it's loss value because the pats aren't losing at home to this team. Detroit is not strong enough as a team on the road to win a game in new england
                                                  Comment
                                                  • colleewobbles
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-03-14
                                                    • 69

                                                    #26
                                                    The Lions are a complete fukkin disaster as a unit and Matthew Stafford as an individual NFL Quarterback a particularly completely incapable fukkin disaster versus teams with winning records when they are on the road. The only way they stay within the number on this one is if the Powers That Be within Beantown want them to so watch the numbers, if betting is lethargic on NE jump, if the moneys on NE they'll cover.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chipshipley
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-18-14
                                                      • 637

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by slambam
                                                      this game is intriguing. A great o against a great d. Myself, i like ne. Brady won't get shut down, if he just puts up 20 points they'll cover imo.
                                                      Originally posted by smittyz28
                                                      here is a stat for all you "sharps". Stafford in his career is 1-15 against teams with a winning record on the road, i like the kid he is tough but the lions organization has had immense talent for years. They are just born losers, one of the worst road teams in the league for years coming into one of the top 3/4 toughest places to play in the league and considering w/l record it is statistically the toughest. 7 is a big number i don't think it's a bad play to consider taking the 7, even though there are better bets on the board, but i would rather tease the pats with zona, balt, denver st louis etc. Stanton drove up and down the field on this team threw for 306 and a couple bad ints kept the score artificially low. The pass d numbers are super inflated due to mediocre opponents outside of the week 1 fluke against gb

                                                      anyone who puts a $ on the detroit money line is a dope, or praying for a miracle so everyone thinks they are a "sharp"


                                                      also, gillette went from grass to turf mid season back in 06
                                                      Originally posted by ockertcr
                                                      det can't score

                                                      ^this
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Deuce
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 01-12-08
                                                        • 29843

                                                        #28
                                                        NE by 17
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sneakerhead
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-14-10
                                                          • 7727

                                                          #29
                                                          No chance of them winning straight up but +7 is not a bad bet.

                                                          Stafford on the road sucks and so does that offense. Its pretty much trusting the defense to contain NE
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rocky16
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-22-12
                                                            • 1905

                                                            #30
                                                            Pats 51-3 last 54 games at home when Brady starts. Outscoring opponents average 41-21 last 6 games. Detroit averaging 15 ppg on road this season.

                                                            SBR claims sharps on Detroit points and ML.

                                                            Can't make this shit up.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Goat Milk
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-24-10
                                                              • 25850

                                                              #31
                                                              The problem with this game is that the lions have a tough time beating the tier 1 teams. Going back to the last 30+ games or so, Stafford is like 3-29 or something against winning teams. Obv there are flaws in those numbers (i.e. they beat the packers this year, but packers weren't a winning team when they beat them).

                                                              But it's still hard to ignore. The Lions really struggle against balanced high-powered offenses like the Pats. I think the +7 might be okay. Lions do have the best defense in the NFL imo. They are ball hawks and they are ball hungry. But New England's defense is no joke either. Brady is almost impossible to beat at home, and if the Lions are going to win this game, I don't see any other way than Calvin Johnson torching Revis. Brady will have his solid 2-3 td game, Lions will bottle up the running game, Pats may score like 21ish points. So Lions are gonna have to score like 24 to win this game imo. Could happen I guess.
                                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #32
                                                                It'd be nice if we got the win, I just don't know if we can beat the Pats on the road. I think the Pats win this game like 21 - 17
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 44 Mag
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 10-14-13
                                                                  • 34490

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                  it is? i didnt know that.
                                                                  The Pat's surface is "field turf" and the temps in Foxborough are expected to be in the mid 50's. FYI.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                                    • 34490

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by rocky16
                                                                    Pats 51-3 last 54 games at home when Brady starts. Outscoring opponents average 41-21 last 6 games. Detroit averaging 15 ppg on road this season.

                                                                    SBR claims sharps on Detroit points and ML.

                                                                    Can't make this shit up.
                                                                    LOL. Imagine Detroit coming into their house and beating them outright, tough to do. I already took Pat's ML -320. BOL.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Spedizzo
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                                      • 1557

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Pats will win and probably cover

                                                                      I wouldn't take them though at -7

                                                                      Maybe throw Pats in a parlay
                                                                      Comment
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