What are the odds that the Yankees go 24-16 in their last 40?

[Boner_18]

Stros
White Sox
Tigers
Jays
Redsox
Royals
Rays
O's
Rays
Jays
O's
Redsox

20% chance? If they did would they take the 2nd wildcard?

[pattymayo]

Zero chance , that schedule is brutal

[Boner_18]

50% against teams with under .500 records is brutal? And another 2 series against the Jays (same win % as yanks). Ive seen a lot of rankings putting thier remaining schedule as one of the easiest... I agree the chances are slim, but more b/c the yanks suck than the schedule...

[jjgold]

zero

nobody going 24-16 in mlb now

too much parity

[MoneyLineDawg]

We've seen teams get hot and rip off 14 of 15 before so anything is possible

Still think they can get a wildcard without winning that many

[Chi_archie]

i'd give them 12-16% chance

[Ratzz]

ZERO. i would be surprised if they went 21-19

they logistically need to go 27-13.

it's over. Yanks missed playoffs again.

i think it's hilarious that the Yanks still think
that all they have to do is run out and spend half a Billion dollars,
and automatically earn a trip to the World Series

when they will not even earn a watered down extra wild-card position

[Boner_18]

Now i need 20-14 in the last 34... A better avg than this first post (.588 vs .600) but they also just played two of the worse competition of the remainder of the season.

Think the odds are still %12-16.. Btw i dont really care about WC.. Looking for o87 wins, and ill be happy with a push.

[winz]

yanks very hard team to cap..

[Pauulzcappin]

4-2 so far

facing porcelo, price and verlander next after a visit against shields

very tough 4 days

[winz]

they keep trotting out price well over a 100 pitches every start..eventually that will catch up with him.

[Boner_18]

Next 4 will for sure be tough. Even verlander.

When i think about it as winning 2.25 more games than their average dictates over the next 34 it doesn't sound so bad... But when i actually look at the schedule i have to have them win way to many series...

[winz]

just need them to turn it up and have one hot streak..they can easily do it.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Depends on which of the teams in front of them lay down like dogs and make it easy on them. Getting on a plane this afternoon for an overnight trip for a 1 gamer in KC on Monday doesn't help for the old dudes

[Pauulzcappin]

Depends on which of the teams in front of them lay down like dogs and make it easy on them. Getting on a plane this afternoon for an overnight trip for a 1 gamer in KC on Monday doesn't help for the old dudes

they rested mccann ellsbury and gardner... they were just in the game to PH so they should be ok

[winz]

its an early luxury flight...good food, a lil music.. feeling upbeat after the nice win..should be just fine for tomorrow.

[benjy]

Throwing .523 as chance of success into a binomial distribution with >= 24 wins over 40 trials yields:

20.7%

It's a gross oversimplification but it's the only number based answer here.

[asdf21]

It's extremely unlikely

[jjgold]

good start

yanks with some clutch hitting

[You mad bro]

ZERO. i would be surprised if they went 21-19

they logistically need to go 27-13.

it's over. Yanks missed playoffs again.

i think it's hilarious that the Yanks still think
that all they have to do is run out and spend half a Billion dollars,
and automatically earn a trip to the World Series

when they will not even earn a watered down extra wild-card position

who spent $500,000,000.00 ?

[TheLock]

You're one of 850,000 white male NYC residents who homer bet the over on NYY season win total.

Salud.

[Boner_18]

Throwing .523 as chance of success into a binomial distribution with >= 24 wins over 40 trials yields:

20.7%

It's a gross oversimplification but it's the only number based answer here.

Benjy winning.

[Boner_18]

Locker... I doubt 1 of every 2 white males in the city bets (there are ~1.74MM) let alone on Yankees season wins. But yes, yankees fans are white and are homers. HAH!