Wicked Strong?
who do we take?
who do we take?
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bear lies again so much for keeping all his garbage one thread
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Wicked Strong and/or Tonalist.
Odds should be good enough where you can play both to win.Comment -
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Rolling with CHROMEY! $100000000000 show on chromeComment -
If you don't have at least a small bet on Chrome you're an asshole.Comment -
No way California Chrome loses!Comment -
The only reason to bet the Belmont is to bet AGAINST Chrome, if you think he is going to win, then the race is unbettable.Comment -
You are right LT.
It doesn't matter at all what "you( meaning anybody) think" because nobody knows and there is no way they could.
Forgetting about him winning, there are horses in this race that will be 30-1. If they ran the race 30 times, some of those would probably win much more than once. Because of that, there is value in using those on top and in exotics.
Nobody should look at this like, he sucks or can't lose. They should look at the field and determine who is being overlooked and play accordingly.
Betting at the track is not about trying to pick 9 winners a day. It's about picking one or maybe two , thus losing 6-7 and being way ahead.
I know that you already knew this LT, this is for those that do not.
If they wander into the horse forum instead of reading about big schlongs or what pearls of wisdom seaweed spewed, they might be amazed at what they might pick up.
A good group of damn sharp handicappers in there.
Best of luck LT.Comment -
Tonalist running on a wet track....shit mattersComment -
He is royally bred to handle any surface, which is rare for a Clement horse.
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I love tonalist ,,Comment -
Ill never forget the day I was at the track and a guy that was watching the race with everyone had $20000 on Holy Bull to show at 1/9 in the race that he broke down and Cigar won. This guy thought he was gonna get his $2.10 to show and make a nice return for 2 minutes of investment. Ouch.Comment -
From my uncle, going on his 7th decade of race handicapping, pretty sharp......."California Chrome, like nearly all winners of the first two races in the triple crown, has created the usual buzz going into the Belmont Stakes. The surprising element of the race this year is the size of the field. Eleven horses will contest the race, which leads one to believe that C C does not deserve to be 3/5, his current overnight odds. He's not put a step wrong so far, so perhaps those other owners are in for a surprise. None of the field has ever run a mile and a half, so the trip will be a new experience for them all. C C won like he could go on in his last two, and there's no reason to believe that he won't get the trip. The only horse with a chance to upset the favorite on form is Ride On Curlin, a son of the redoubtable Curlin, who could run all day. He was taken far back in Baltimore, and uncorked a four wide rally to finish a closing second. Often such a performance creates a false sense of a horse's ability to go on, Those of us who are long in the tooth remember a closer named Silky Sullivan who was the classical "sucker horse", always rallying but rarely getting home in front. Deponent thinks that will not be the case with this horse. The trainer sacked Rosario and gave the ride to Hall of Famer J L Velasquez. He knows his way around Belmont, having led the riders there many times, importantly in stakes races. The rest of the field are just out for exercise and a hope of snagging a portion of the purse. Suggested wager: 10 units win on Ride on Curlin, 5 unit exacta box, Ride On Curlin/ California Chrome."Comment -
I did say 1.5 MILLION Guaranteed Pool in the pick 4, races 8-11. The 2 turf races in the sequence are wide open. The Met Mile may or may not be depending on your opinion of favored Palice Malice.
Go check the results for the best bet in horse racing, Belmont Park's early pick 5 this meeting. Even if you get a big favorite or 2 can still pay giant. Today's early pick 5 for example paid over 5 dimes for 1 dollar with a $4.70 horse in the 4th race. Biggest price in the sequence was $21.80.Comment -
How about Wednesdays early pick 5 for an even better example. 4 favorites won and one 50-1 shot wins in the sequence and the pick 5 pays well over 3 dimes for a buck. No value.
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No bet
Horses bad news
Just watch and enjoyComment -
Great post by str, he honestly has helped me a lot over the past year, and his assessment here is good. There's going to be value with lots of dumb money not knowing that 3/5 on a horse who has never tried this distance before is bad.
It's why I'm considering a play against the Chrome, or simply skipping it and cheering for the horse because I simply want him to win.Comment
