Grantland says Vegas book released #s that public is all over NFL dogs this weekend.

[wagerjunkie]

3. Vegas needs the home teams to win. Henderson, too. As of this ungodly hour on a Friday morning, the public is convinced the road teams are going to cash in. One popular sportsbook is looking at these numbers:
• 60 percent of money on Saints +7.5
• 62 percent of money on Colts +7
• 80 percent of money on 49ers -1.5
• 63 percent of money on Chargers +9.5

http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-tr...ound-prop-bets

[wagerjunkie]

but crazy thing is both #1 seeds haven't advanced in divisional round in a long long time. cause every is buying into this theory.

[easyliving]

Vegas loves it when they need home teams to win.

[innovation]

but crazy thing is both #1 seeds haven't advanced in divisional round in a long long time. cause every is buying into this theory.

3 years is a long time?

[vyomguy]

Vegas loves it when they need home teams to win.

Vegas gets buried on several playoff weeks.

Besides, this article is wrong....It was EVEN for books last week...they won with colts, saints and chargers. Only loss was 49ers. That too it was a push for most books. Last week was a total non-factor.

[Madison]

How much does TV want a Manning/Luck soap opera. Where there's money ???

[lakerboy]

Vegas gets buried on several playoff weeks.

Besides, this article is wrong....It was EVEN for books last week...they won with colts, saints and chargers. Only loss was 49ers. That too it was a push for most books. Last week was a total non-factor.

Wrong. Books got buried on the colkts game by middlers. They lost on the saints as public was on the saints. They won with sd. They got fukked with sf ml. Btw sf was -2.5 all week long until gameday.

[VegasInsider]

Gotta take Grantland with a grain of salt.

[slacker00]

How much does TV want a Manning/Luck soap opera. Where there's money ???

I don't think there's a bad scenario in the AFC. Manning/Luck would be nice, but Manning/Brady is a classic and Rivers/Brady has a nice underdog story against NFL's goliath as well as some history. The NFC is trickier, I'm not sure how well Carolina sells to a mass audience, otherwise Saints always has a ring to it and Seattle is the story of the year and we all know SF. So, the only bad media team this year seems like Carolina, otherwise every other match up has appeal.

[BigdaddyQH]

For those of you who are not in Vegas (which means probably ALL OF YOU), here is what is happening. Money has come in on the Saints. The Seahawks are still -8 though. A lot of people took the Colts when they were +7 and the hook. Now they are down to 7. A lot of Carolina money has come in. At one time the game was a pick. Now it is San Fran -1. Every time enough money comes in on Denver to raise the line to -10, people grab San Diego and bet it back down to 9 1/2. It has never been lower

[k13]

Books going to clean up this weekend.

[steady hustlin]

For those of you who are not in Vegas (which means probably ALL OF YOU), here is what is happening. Money has come in on the Saints. The Seahawks are still -8 though. A lot of people took the Colts when they were +7 and the hook. Now they are down to 7. A lot of Carolina money has come in. At one time the game was a pick. Now it is San Fran -1. Every time enough money comes in on Denver to raise the line to -10, people grab San Diego and bet it back down to 9 1/2. It has never been lower

Thanks for this information.

[lakerboy]

For those of you who are not in Vegas (which means probably ALL OF YOU), here is what is happening. Money has come in on the Saints. The Seahawks are still -8 though. A lot of people took the Colts when they were +7 and the hook. Now they are down to 7. A lot of Carolina money has come in. At one time the game was a pick. Now it is San Fran -1. Every time enough money comes in on Denver to raise the line to -10, people grab San Diego and bet it back down to 9 1/2. It has never been lower

its called a teaser line. good thing your time in vegas has taught you nothing.

[StackinGreen]

[/B]

its called a teaser line. good thing your time in vegas has taught you nothing.

best call by lakerboy all weekend, he's right on this one

[lakerboy]

Gotta take Grantland with a grain of salt.

bill simmons

100-140 this year


he is taking

saints to win by 8
sf to win by 6
denver to win by 20
pats to win by 10

[Rainman10]

Idk about any of the other 3 games but I'm pounding that Chargers ML. There's just something about it, I have no idea why; I just have a feeling. Sometimes you have to go with your gut.

inb4

[k13]

bill simmons

100-140 this year


he is taking

saints to win by 8
sf to win by 6
denver to win by 20
pats to win by 10

He's usually pretty decent most years.
Does alright in Hilton contests.

I'm sure that's still a better record than yours.....

[lakerboy]

He's usually pretty decent most years.
Does alright in Hilton contests.

I'm sure that's still a better record than yours.....

prove it. i can guarantee you i have done better than his record this season. the onus is on you to show otherwise. you mad at me pal?
you mad he is on all the teams you got this weekend as well except the saints even though you are praying for them to win so your team dont have to go to seattle?

[WWCD]

• 80 percent of money on 49ers -1.5

If the books wanted to balance this out, CAR +3 would definitely do that right? Sure seems like to me they are very comfortable with the line in the PK to +2 range and continuing to receive wagers on SF. This is just one of the factors I considered when I ended up leaning on Carolina.

If I am way off here, enlighten me.

[frostno98]

The Chargers also have a ton of money on them money line.

[KiDBaZkiT]

Bill Simmons is a queer. A DISGRACE to white people.

[tony_come]

^white nation

[Dollars2Donuts]

If Carolina somehow hits +3 it would immediately even out....I am still waiting for it to shift even more. Carolina is the play here for me.

Saints have a great shot to cover, SD should cover +10 only because they can move the ball almost as well as Denver and as much as I want Indy to win, I think NE is the play....although I am just going to hit this OVER the total.

GL everyone

[JayMoney24_7]

It's funny because 3 days ago my buddy texted me a link to a story. Of course I don't endorse this story and don't believe it, but if the Chargers get past the Broncos then I will have no choice but to give it real consideration. Even if it were true in any way it's too easy for the NFL to simply change the outcome taking any validity out of the accusation. Anyways, the claim is that the Chargers are supposed to win it all this year as predetermined by the NFL to promote the city of San Diego and the fans to invest in the team and a new stadium. Rumor supposedly started by a disgruntled ex employee who was just fired. Several sites have the story up now. This is just one of them. Take it with a grain of salt.

http://beforeitsnews.com/sports/2014/01/super-bowl-fixed-chargers-to-win-super-bowl-2548304.html

[Luckycharms2012]

Everyone and their mother is on SF, even if I liked SF It will be a no play for me at this point. I'm actually leaning Panthers plus points or ML. It just feels like a mass burial is coming for SF backers. Seems too easy and betting -1.5 is a weird line. Somehow in my gut I think SF bettors get buried.....just too many people love SF and Carolina can play ball it's no fluke they got the bye, rust may be a factor but they are no joke on D and on offense they might be able to control the clock with long drives.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Everyone and their mother is on SF, even if I liked SF It will be a no play for me at this point. I'm actually leaning Panthers plus points or ML. It just feels like a mass burial is coming for SF backers. Seems too easy and betting -1.5 is a weird line. Somehow in my gut I think SF bettors get buried.....just too many people love SF and Carolina can play ball it's no fluke they got the bye, rust may be a factor but they are no joke on D and on offense they might be able to control the clock with long drives.

+1 D2D agrees

[St8]

Everyone and their mother is on SF, even if I liked SF It will be a no play for me at this point. I'm actually leaning Panthers plus points or ML. It just feels like a mass burial is coming for SF backers. Seems too easy and betting -1.5 is a weird line. Somehow in my gut I think SF bettors get buried.....just too many people love SF and Carolina can play ball it's no fluke they got the bye, rust may be a factor but they are no joke on D and on offense they might be able to control the clock with long drives.

this, either don't bet this game or go small on panthers

[dilaudid8]

the panthers are the better team almost every player on the panthers is better then SF

[dilaudid8]

the starters

[k13]

prove it. i can guarantee you i have done better than his record this season. the onus is on you to show otherwise. you mad at me pal?
you mad he is on all the teams you got this weekend as well except the saints even though you are praying for them to win so your team dont have to go to seattle?

Think someone else followed you with your record. I was just half joking anyway.

So you think I WANT ne/den/sea to win?

It be nice if they all lost but that won't be reality. Only one might lose the most....

[k13]

Some real public "opinions"....

NFC Divisional Playoffs: What will be the GAME RESULT?

4:35 PM FOX	NFL	Saints: Win or Single Digit Loss	--	Not Started	75.7%
@ Seahawks: Win By Double Digits	--	24.3%

AFC Divisional Playoffs: What will be the GAME RESULT?

8:15 PM CBS	NFL	Colts: Win or Single Digit Loss	--	Not Started	83.5%
@ Patriots: Win By Double Digits	--	16.5%

"bets" are actually irrelevant in the big picture, Perception is all that matters.

[lakerboy]

Some real public "opinions"....

NFC Divisional Playoffs: What will be the GAME RESULT?

4:35 PM FOX	NFL	Saints: Win or Single Digit Loss	--	Not Started	75.7%
@ Seahawks: Win By Double Digits	--	24.3%

AFC Divisional Playoffs: What will be the GAME RESULT?

8:15 PM CBS	NFL	Colts: Win or Single Digit Loss	--	Not Started	83.5%
@ Patriots: Win By Double Digits	--	16.5%

"bets" are actually irrelevant in the big picture, Perception is all that matters.

75% of votes on seahawks at espn. 62% on pats. about 400000 votes.

[StackinGreen]

lakerboy, you stayin away from this late one?