Will steam determine both games today?

[lakerboy]

you like it better then the +3 they are hanging now ?

Yes. Cause +3 only means push. I will take +2.5 +115. That's 20 cents saved for a hf point. I could care less about the half point. And for those that will argue many games have been won by +2.5 dogs( covering).

[tto827]

Saints are going to get destroyed

KC/Indy is pretty much a toss up

Liking KC first half -110 and Indy for the game at +110

Rarely does Indy come out firing and if they do, got my doubts about KC mounting a comeback. But Luck is as good as anyone at playing from behind.

[Deol]

I think today's games are gonna be close, hence this lotto parlay (range +5000 to +6000) 0.25units each = total 1 at risk

CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / IND WM1-6 / NO WM1-6
CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / KC WM1-6 / NO WM1-6
CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / IND WM1-6 / PHI WM1-6
CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / KC WM1-6 / PHI WM1-6

[Dollars2Donuts]

Saints are going to get destroyed

KC/Indy is pretty much a toss up

Liking KC first half -110 and Indy for the game at +110

Rarely does Indy come out firing and if they do, got my doubts about KC mounting a comeback. But Luck is as good as anyone at playing from behind.

I could never bet 1st half one team and the game for the other team....but I respect you, so will watch with anticipation.

I am on Indy. The public (including almost everyone I know) is on KC, it is pretty obvious to me anyway. There clearly is steam, but this isn't all late steam, this line has been sliding all week. IMO this is either a very close game or Indy wins by 10 or more. Luck is a grinder, and wants it, Reid is mistake prone in big games, I hate teams resting starters (especially when they sit almost all of them) and anyone that says I am paying too much attention to KC's last few games.....well, DUH.

KC had a chance to have home field throughout the playoffs with even an average finish....instead they are opening up on the road.

I certainly don't know everything.....but I will say that I think Indy is the play here....especially given the change in odds. I wish I had waited, but frankly I thought the swing would turn around the other way and we would end up back at the original line.

Either way, GL guys.....

And good to see you tto.....haven't seen you around much lately!


D2D

[JR007]

sportspy has 56 % spread on the Colts....50/50 on the ML

[trendon]

Steam moves mean nothing

10 year average is like 50% like all other betting sytems

Well, when you qualify the slightest line move and slightest public trend, then yes. But when you have multiple sites reporting a huge percentage on one side and the line is flying the other way, I'd venture to say it hits above 60%.

Of course, it isn't an autobet, but it certainly raises a flag.

[mbs4]

Well, when you qualify the slightest line move and slightest public trend, then yes. But when you have multiple sites reporting a huge percentage on one side and the line is flying the other way, I'd venture to say it hits above 60%.

Of course, it isn't an autobet, but it certainly raises a flag.

Hits above 60% but not an auto bet.

[t-wizzle]

Yes. Cause +3 only means push. I will take +2.5 +115. That's 20 cents saved for a hf point. I could care less about the half point. And for those that will argue many games have been won by +2.5 dogs( covering).

[Dollars2Donuts]

Well, when you qualify the slightest line move and slightest public trend, then yes. But when you have multiple sites reporting a huge percentage on one side and the line is flying the other way, I'd venture to say it hits above 60%.

Of course, it isn't an autobet, but it certainly raises a flag.

This is purely conjecture. You should not post numbers when you have NO IDEA what kind of percentages you are looking at.

Hits above 60% but not an auto bet.

This = funny

[Vinnie Paz]

Yes. Cause +3 only means push. I will take +2.5 +115. That's 20 cents saved for a hf point. I could care less about the half point. And for those that will argue many games have been won by +2.5 dogs( covering).

Even more games are decided by a FG though. If you're gonna go down that route may as well take the ML. How often are football games decied by 2? I almost never bet 2.5, if I lose by 2 then so be it but ill almost always take ml . GL either way. Anything for NBA?

[pavyracer]

Even more games are decided by a FG though. If you're gonna go down that route may as well take the ML. How often are football games decied by 2? I almost never bet 2.5, if I lose by 2 then so be it but ill almost always take ml . GL either way. Anything for NBA?

Eagles - Cowboys 22-20 six days ago.

[lakerboy]

Kinda like charlotte.

[lakerboy]

Chiefs steamrolling the colts.

[Otters27]

Cheifs are last team that the Broncos want to play

[ChiLLx]

Cheifs are last team that the Broncos want to play

Well they might be playing the Chargers who they hate more.

[k13]

Someone should have told the Colts that line moves don't matter....lol

Chiefs a great fade next week.

[lakerboy]

Colts are a joke. This is funny.

[ChiLLx]

Steam meant very little in the regular season. I grabbed KC +3 minutes before it went off the board. Line moved almost 6 points and I'm expecting it to lose.

Well looks like line movement does still mean something. 31-10

[ChiLLx]

Colts are a joke. This is funny.

Wait for TopMoron to come here and defend Luck. Now the talk will be if he can even win a playoff game.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I am actually waiting for Gus Fring to come on here and say how terrible the Colts are, how stupid Colts backers are and that he was on KC.

Then it becomes a guaranteed Colts comeback win.

[KiDBaZkiT]

Colts impossible team for me to cap. Tookthem today shoulda told me at the window not to even watch. Game was a joke.

[Otters27]

No way colts come back. No chance

[KiDBaZkiT]

Colts were a laughing stock this year. All those come behind winsare coming thru tonight. Deficiencies all over the ball.

[lakerboy]

Wait for TopMoron to come here and defend Luck. Now the talk will be if he can even win a playoff game.

He is master of live bets.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Saints are going to get destroyed

KC/Indy is pretty much a toss up

Liking KC first half -110 and Indy for the game at +110

Rarely does Indy come out firing and if they do, got my doubts about KC mounting a comeback. But Luck is as good as anyone at playing from behind.

Genius tto.....you are the man.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Well looks like line movement does still mean something. 31-10

It does?

I am actually waiting for Gus Fring to come on here and say how terrible the Colts are, how stupid Colts backers are and that he was on KC.

Then it becomes a guaranteed Colts comeback win.

Fring must have been somewhere, stating exactly that. There is no way otherwise that it happens this way. Gus is the best....I love him.

Colts impossible team for me to cap. Tookthem today shoulda told me at the window not to even watch. Game was a joke.

WAS

No way colts come back. No chance

Otters.....

[jjgold]

Like I said boys chasing steam will put you in the poorhouse

Only players that winner model players and and care less what the odds are

[tto827]

People who chased steam won or tied

morons who followed the steam after the number moved lost

Another prime example to show who wins and who loses long-term.. if you took the Chiefs as a favorite, I guarantee you are not a long term winner.

People with a clue were getting at least a point and a half on whichever side they liked. Books probably got their shit middled on this one.

[ChiLLx]

People who chased steam won or tied

morons who followed the steam after the number moved lost

This. Most KC betters still won this game.

[pavyracer]

Actually the ones who caused the steam won. Cause the steam was caused when the line was +1.5 Chiefs. Like tto827 said is the steam followers that lost their ass.

[tto827]

Genius tto.....you are the man.

Been a good week or two, basically everything I touch turns to gold.

[SamDiamond]

This. Most KC betters still won this game.

Not true.

If you bet KC the last 2 days-- you lost.

KC +1.5/+2 was available pretty much everywhere on January 2nd-- but the public typically doesn't bet that far out. They bet the day of--- and they lost today.

[SamDiamond]

Been a good week or two, basically everything I touch turns to gold.

Yeah, that was a nice call Tto.

[ChiLLx]

Not true.

If you bet KC the last 2 days-- you lost.

KC +1.5/+2 was available pretty much everywhere on January 2nd-- but the public typically doesn't bet that far out. They bet the day of--- and they lost today.

Perhaps your right. Joe Pub doesn't think about getting the best # as us degens here.

[tto827]

14 in a row... literally can't lose

Get your asses on the Eagles

Check out the Brock on eagles thread for the 14 in a row