Dollars2Donuts Daily NBA, NHL and NFL wagers
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grim259SBR High Roller
- 11-04-12
- 187
#1016Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1017Ok guys.....I know it has been a bit of a slow grind the last few weeks but yesterday made 6 consecutive winning days. While there have not been huge gains, they are starting to add up. As I mentioned, I have identified two leaks in my process and since eliminating those I think that things should go quite smoothly.
I have a lean this week for the NBA in general, and I have a feeling that we are going to get out of the red and back into the black, ASAP. I hate that right now my best sport is the only sport that I have a losing record in....let's get that back!
Cheers,
D2DComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1018Alrighty....here is the start for today. Yes, I see a lot of tennis plays, all for small units, but I see a lot of value on the board. As for the NHL there may be a game or two coming. In the NBA, that will be it for now.....maybe something will pop up as an in game or half time bet, but as of now, nothing.
GL
221051109-1 1/6/14 5:04pm $60.00 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 9:45pm ATP Tennis 112 V.Pospisil Games Won +3 -120* <small>vs</small> S.Querrey Games Won 221051109-2 1/6/14 5:04pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 8:15pm ATP Tennis 119 C.Berlocq Games Won +3 -105* <small>vs</small> S.Stakhovsky Games Won 221051109-3 1/6/14 5:04pm $65.00 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 9:15pm ATP Tennis 132 J.Nieminen Games Won -3½ -130* <small>vs</small> B.Kavcic Games Won 221051109-4 1/6/14 5:04pm $50.00 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 7:15pm ATP Tennis 208 R.Haase Games Won -1½ +100* <small>vs</small> G.Garcia-Lopez Games Won 221051109-5 1/6/14 5:04pm $90.00 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 8:45pm ATP Tennis 229 Benoit Paire -180* <small>vs</small> Michal Przysiezny 221050488-1 1/6/14 5:00pm $53.00 $50.00 Pending 1/6/14 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 1 Dallas Stars -106* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders 221049856-1 1/6/14 4:52pm $103.00 $100.00 Pending 1/6/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 702 Philadelphia 76ers +7 -103* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Timberwolves 221049856-2 1/6/14 4:52pm $140.00 $100.00 Pending 1/6/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 704 Brooklyn Nets -140* <small>vs</small> Atlanta Hawks 221049856-3 1/6/14 4:52pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/6/14 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 705 Orlando Magic/Los Angeles Clippers Under 196½ -108* 221048523-1 1/6/14 4:34pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/12/14 4:40pm Reduced Football 117 San Diego Chargers +10 -108* <small>vs</small> Denver Broncos
And yes, you will also notice our first play for the NFL for next weekend. More to come obviously, but I was worried about this line sliding away....Comment -
grim259SBR High Roller
- 11-04-12
- 187
#1019Liking the card for today, but avoiding betting against my team in any way. I like the +10 but don't want any bad karma against my Broncos. It's been a long while since we had a superbowl.
Good eye too it slid to +9.5Comment -
twestacottSBR MVP
- 01-02-14
- 1044
#1020Damn it!!!! Stupid Bodog doesnt offer a spread on games for ATP so I got stuck settling for two tennis bets on Haase to bet Garcia-Lopez and Paire to beat Prysiezny outright.
I gotta switch over to 5 Dimes and open a second account with another book. Love following your picks though D2DComment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#1021Damn it!!!! Stupid Bodog doesnt offer a spread on games for ATP so I got stuck settling for two tennis bets on Haase to bet Garcia-Lopez and Paire to beat Prysiezny outright.
I gotta switch over to 5 Dimes and open a second account with another book. Love following your picks though D2DComment -
GizSBR MVP
- 11-06-13
- 1703
#1022yes im on the stars aswell d2d u always know a good nhl pick or 2 gl with the rest of sports picks.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1023The Islanders looked like a very good team tonight...Tavares is a beast.
We lost a 1 unit bet in the NHL, were up 2 units in the NBA and unfortunately lost 2 units in the ATP....so, a small loss on the day and we book our first losing day in the last 7.
Anyway, things are starting to go a lot better, the NBA WILL turn around.....I will post mid-afternoon tomorrow.
CheersComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#1024
i thot first of pm'g you but then thot it'd be of general interest to the thread
thanks palComment -
GizSBR MVP
- 11-06-13
- 1703
#1025The Islanders looked like a very good team tonight...Tavares is a beast.
We lost a 1 unit bet in the NHL, were up 2 units in the NBA and unfortunately lost 2 units in the ATP....so, a small loss on the day and we book our first losing day in the last 7.
Anyway, things are starting to go a lot better, the NBA WILL turn around.....I will post mid-afternoon tomorrow.
CheersComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1026Small card for today......
221198440-1 1/7/14 2:08pm $100.00 $101.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 55 Philadelphia Flyers +101* <small>vs</small> New Jersey Devils 221198440-2 1/7/14 2:08pm $100.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 57 Tampa Bay Lightning +100* <small>vs</small> Winnipeg Jets 221198440-3 1/7/14 2:08pm $140.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 59 San Jose Sharks -140* <small>vs</small> Nashville Predators 221198440-4 1/7/14 2:08pm $50.00 $82.50 Pending 1/7/14 9:35pm Reduced Hockey 63 St. Louis Blues -1½ +165* <small>vs</small> Edmonton Oilers 221198440-5 1/7/14 2:08pm $110.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 9:35pm Reduced Hockey 63 St. Louis Blues/Edmonton Oilers Over 5½ -110* 221198440-6 1/7/14 2:08pm $100.00 $112.00 Pending 1/7/14 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 66 Vancouver Canucks +112* <small>vs</small> Pittsburgh Penguins 221198440-7 1/7/14 2:08pm $65.00 $50.00 Pending 1/7/14 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 68 Anaheim Ducks -130* <small>vs</small> Boston Bruins 221198273-1 1/7/14 2:06pm $105.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 501 Washington Wizards -1 -105* <small>vs</small> Charlotte Bobcats 221198273-2 1/7/14 2:06pm $53.50 $50.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 503 Philadelphia 76ers +5½ -107* <small>vs</small> Cleveland Cavaliers 221198273-3 1/7/14 2:06pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 505 Toronto Raptors +8½ -102* <small>vs</small> Indiana Pacers 221198273-4 1/7/14 2:06pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 508 Miami Heat -8 -102* <small>vs</small> New Orleans Pelicans 221198273-5 1/7/14 2:06pm $100.00 $125.00 Pending 1/7/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 509 Detroit Pistons +125* <small>vs</small> New York Knicks 221198273-6 1/7/14 2:06pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 513 Phoenix Suns -1 -108* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls 221198273-7 1/7/14 2:06pm $51.00 $50.00 Pending 1/7/14 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 517 Los Angeles Lakers +9½ -102* <small>vs</small> Dallas Mavericks 221198273-8 1/7/14 2:06pm $105.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 520 Denver Nuggets -7½ -105* <small>vs</small> Boston Celtics 221198273-9 1/7/14 2:06pm $190.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 523 Portland Trailblazers -190* <small>vs</small> Sacramento Kings 221198273-10 1/7/14 2:06pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/14 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 523 Portland Trailblazers/Sacramento Kings Over 217½ -102*
Good luck boys....Comment -
High3rEl3m3ntSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-28-10
- 8022
#1027Some great NHL matches on today's card...NHL gamecenter live will be on three different devices. GL.Comment -
GizSBR MVP
- 11-06-13
- 1703
#1028woah big nhl card today dollar, i love the tampa bay pickComment -
ThiaZSBR Rookie
- 12-04-13
- 17
#1029Amazing card today...
Love a ton of your picks, (but lets not jinx this, since they are usually the ones who lose)wont tell you which i love then.
GlComment -
iWinSBR High Roller
- 01-16-12
- 244
#103017 Plays. Good luck!Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1031
I usually hear it when I get myself over to the public side of things....I thought my NBA card was on the sharp side....but maybe I was wrong.Comment -
GizSBR MVP
- 11-06-13
- 1703
#1032I swear, I do not believe in the 'jinx', not at all.....but every time people come on and say 'I love your picks' it generally means that I am screwed.
I usually hear it when I get myself over to the public side of things....I thought my NBA card was on the sharp side....but maybe I was wrong.Comment -
grim259SBR High Roller
- 11-04-12
- 187
#1033I swear, I do not believe in the 'jinx', not at all.....but every time people come on and say 'I love your picks' it generally means that I am screwed.
I usually hear it when I get myself over to the public side of things....I thought my NBA card was on the sharp side....but maybe I was wrong.Comment -
twestacottSBR MVP
- 01-02-14
- 1044
#1034I swear, I do not believe in the 'jinx', not at all.....but every time people come on and say 'I love your picks' it generally means that I am screwed.
I usually hear it when I get myself over to the public side of things....I thought my NBA card was on the sharp side....but maybe I was wrong.Comment -
High3rEl3m3ntSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-28-10
- 8022
#1036d2d, are you a season ticket holder ('nucks)? Envious of all the great, quality games you are able to attend.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1037I have half season tickets (4 seats), and tonight's game wasn't in my package. If any of you guys on the West Coast ever want to come to a game just let me know....that would be fun.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1038Ok, just got a PM from a guy (will remain nameless) asking for advice on BR management. My answers were pretty standard stuff, but I am finding that I get a lot of these kind of questions on this thread because of the traffic that it generates. Here is his question and my response:
Question:
Hello D2D!
I write to you because I highly value your work here at SBR and I see you are doing well at picking games. Me myself I am a rookie, lost many units, had to deposit more and I can't seem to find myself. I usually tail you, or Takster, sonny, etc and I usually end up praying for an even day, bcoz many occasions for example, you win + on the day, and others I tail lose. So im in a very constant 0 winnings all time, and when I say, okay I see an edge on this match, go huge on it I lose it immediately. ( for example last night on NHL I bet 40% my bankroll on avalanche against calgary who couldnt score more than 1 goal trough 4 games AND I LOSE... damn)
So my question would be, I haven't got very huge bankroll, I don't bet 100 dollars a unit. much much smaller, I want to be succesful, not like winning 3-5 k a month or a year, just be succesful. Do you recommend following the BR management? I don't seem to be good at it. I used to be slow and patient, but I'm still here down many units, and cant find a good option. Or do you have any advices?
Thank you for your answer and time
Response:
Ok, first off, please do not be offended. I guarantee that you chase losses....meaning if you have a bad start to a night you try and bet more later to get that back....you can NEVER do that if you want to be successful. I only put my money in when I like the game and not because I am emotional.
The next thing you need to understand that odds. I did not play the Avalanche game last night because the odds were very unfavorable. If you bet the Moneyline in that game Colorado would need to win that game 63% of the time to BREAK EVEN. I don't think they win that bet that much, and even if they do there is not enough of an edge. In the NHL I RARELY bet on anythning about -150, because the odds are just not there.
Thirdly, if you are ok with tailing....tail ONE PERSON per sport. I saw a ton of guys tailing me go broke last year and last year I was WAAAY better than I have been this year, hitting almost 55% and making over $12,000 in three months.
If you have a BR of $100 you should be betting approximately $30 per day across all of your bets. If you bet an average of 10 games per day, that is an average of $3 per game. Breaking that down into units (your average bet should be 2 units) you would do $1.50 per unit....so a 1 unit bet is $1.50, a 2 unit bet is $3 and a 3 unit bet would be $4.50. If your BR is higher just break it down the same. If you ever drop down to $50 you would decrease your unit size to $.75 and if you got to $200 you would increase your unit size to $3.
Never Chase
Never Chase
Never Chase
If you have a bad day go to bed and start over the next day. If the early bets go bad for you don't bet the late games any more than you already have out there.....go golfing or go and find a hot chick to penetrate.
I hope this helps and GL. Please feel free to chat with me on the thread as well any time.
Cheers,
D2D
Like I said....all standard, but I like to see discussion.....there was a lot more of it on this thread last year and I am kind of missing it. Calling Coreos, FG, tto, Russian Rocket, et al.....where are all you guys?
Let's go get 'em tonight!!
D2DComment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#1039Well, lets say the bet is reduced basketball line 101. You pick reduced basketball, then go to line 101. The numbers are mostly in order for any sport. Makes finding the correct line much easier specially when that category has a lot of lines.Comment -
ThiaZSBR Rookie
- 12-04-13
- 17
#1040Dollars2Donuts, what is it you want a discussion about? The picks?
Because no offense, but last time i tried getting a discussion going about a pick you kinda cut me off like i should get the hell outta here.. But maybe you meant a discussion from posters who actually have "credit" :PComment -
NoleafcloverSBR MVP
- 06-06-13
- 1349
#1041Janowicz/Dolgopolov, line is 1.5, ml you know 130ish, dog fav.
Thoughts? By the numbers dog seems to have struggled some in his first match, Janowicz hasn't played this year. Did lose a superset doubles match with Mirnyi (sp) to Rosol and Souza which is somewhat surprising, but some practice as well. Want Janowicz but worry dog gets up for big matches.Last edited by Noleafclover; 01-07-14, 08:51 PM.Comment -
jimbbbSBR Rookie
- 01-07-14
- 29
#1042Ok, just got a PM from a guy (will remain nameless) asking for advice on BR management. My answers were pretty standard stuff, but I am finding that I get a lot of these kind of questions on this thread because of the traffic that it generates. Here is his question and my response:
Question:
Hello D2D!
I write to you because I highly value your work here at SBR and I see you are doing well at picking games. Me myself I am a rookie, lost many units, had to deposit more and I can't seem to find myself. I usually tail you, or Takster, sonny, etc and I usually end up praying for an even day, bcoz many occasions for example, you win + on the day, and others I tail lose. So im in a very constant 0 winnings all time, and when I say, okay I see an edge on this match, go huge on it I lose it immediately. ( for example last night on NHL I bet 40% my bankroll on avalanche against calgary who couldnt score more than 1 goal trough 4 games AND I LOSE... damn)
So my question would be, I haven't got very huge bankroll, I don't bet 100 dollars a unit. much much smaller, I want to be succesful, not like winning 3-5 k a month or a year, just be succesful. Do you recommend following the BR management? I don't seem to be good at it. I used to be slow and patient, but I'm still here down many units, and cant find a good option. Or do you have any advices?
Thank you for your answer and time
Response:
Ok, first off, please do not be offended. I guarantee that you chase losses....meaning if you have a bad start to a night you try and bet more later to get that back....you can NEVER do that if you want to be successful. I only put my money in when I like the game and not because I am emotional.
The next thing you need to understand that odds. I did not play the Avalanche game last night because the odds were very unfavorable. If you bet the Moneyline in that game Colorado would need to win that game 63% of the time to BREAK EVEN. I don't think they win that bet that much, and even if they do there is not enough of an edge. In the NHL I RARELY bet on anythning about -150, because the odds are just not there.
Thirdly, if you are ok with tailing....tail ONE PERSON per sport. I saw a ton of guys tailing me go broke last year and last year I was WAAAY better than I have been this year, hitting almost 55% and making over $12,000 in three months.
If you have a BR of $100 you should be betting approximately $30 per day across all of your bets. If you bet an average of 10 games per day, that is an average of $3 per game. Breaking that down into units (your average bet should be 2 units) you would do $1.50 per unit....so a 1 unit bet is $1.50, a 2 unit bet is $3 and a 3 unit bet would be $4.50. If your BR is higher just break it down the same. If you ever drop down to $50 you would decrease your unit size to $.75 and if you got to $200 you would increase your unit size to $3.
Never Chase
Never Chase
Never Chase
If you have a bad day go to bed and start over the next day. If the early bets go bad for you don't bet the late games any more than you already have out there.....go golfing or go and find a hot chick to penetrate.
I hope this helps and GL. Please feel free to chat with me on the thread as well any time.
Cheers,
D2D
Like I said....all standard, but I like to see discussion.....there was a lot more of it on this thread last year and I am kind of missing it. Calling Coreos, FG, tto, Russian Rocket, et al.....where are all you guys?
Let's go get 'em tonight!!
D2DComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#104329 seconds left in the Flyers Devils game, Flyers on the PP and NJ ties it up to go to OT. That HURTS.
At the exact same second Josh Smith misses a 17 footer to give us the win the the Pistons/Knicks game.
That was a rough minute for us.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1044BOOM! What a play by Braden Schenn!! POW!Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1045You know what is funny? The Lakers missed their last 6 three point attempts.....yet they just kept jacking it up. You would think they should understand the way to get back into a game when down 10 with 5 minutes to go is to get GOOD offensive possessions and play good defense. Kind of sad.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1046Wow.....13-2 Sacramento run over 5 minutes. 2 points in 5 minutes by the best offense in the league versus one of the worst defenses....that's going to kill us AND our OVER. Before this run the game looked beautiful.....to get there now will be.....well, tough at best.Comment -
ItsMeMrMattESBR Hall of Famer
- 08-30-10
- 5294
#1047You know what is funny? The Lakers missed their last 6 three point attempts.....yet they just kept jacking it up. You would think they should understand the way to get back into a game when down 10 with 5 minutes to go is to get GOOD offensive possessions and play good defense. Kind of sad.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1048Lol, oops. Portland let down game I guess.....up by 11 in the second quarter.....honestly did not see this coming. Hopefully the starters stay in long enough to give us a shot at the over to keep us in the game.
Funny....I haven't laid juice ONE time all year in an NBA game. The first time I lay juice my team lays down...lesson learned.Comment -
Minnesota NiiceSBR Wise Guy
- 03-27-13
- 641
#1049Keep on keepin on Donut.. Good to see you back up on that saddle budComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1050Yep...bet $100 to win $112 on the Canucks....
Up 4-2 with less than a minute to go.....and headed to OT. That's actually almost impossible....and yet it seems to happen time and time again this year. On the right side and then crazy crap happens.
Jeeeez.Comment
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