Can't wait to see all the faux Sbr sharps on the Skins

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #71
    Buy back at +6
    Comment
    • tatddy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-02-10
      • 10779

      #72
      Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
      interesting. good luck tat. i liked skins but after seeing this thread i may play 49ers
      Not trying to change anyone's mind here Zeta. This isn't the biggest play of my life or anything close....I've had a few hammers over the past few months. I really just made this thread because I could see a handful of SBR posters making big Was ML bets because of the line establishment/move. Reminded me a lot of the SEA @ ATL line which I talked about at length here at SBR (SEA blowout closing at -3.5 or something ridiculous with tons of money on SEA).

      If you like the Skins here are a few recent things to rebuild your confidence:

      Mike Iupati is out..the 49ers best run blocker (replaced by a Vet niner though)
      Tarell Brown thinning out the secondary (Tremaine Brock has been solid)

      I don't see this game as close...worst case much like the last meeting in DC (think it was 19-11 sf) personally but like many said it's a primetime game on the East Coast so anything can happen. If I was making a monster play I'd be on a spread. But I feel quite safe with my ML here.

      GL whatever you do.
      Comment
      • tatddy
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-02-10
        • 10779

        #73
        Originally posted by Sam Odom
        Buy back at +6
        Not buying anything. I can live bet to my hearts content if I feel like it. Like I'm not betting over my head here.
        Comment
        • Sam Odom
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-30-05
          • 58063

          #74
          Originally posted by tatddy

          I'm not betting over my head here.

          Everyone needs to heed ^ that --- Re-read it a few times people.

          If you follow along you will not need to retire from betting
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #75
            Don't you find it a tad bit ironic that a few weeks back when I talked about reading into lines and lines moving you told me it meant nothing and yet here you are talking about bait being dropped by the books?

            Regardless good luck. I'm probably not betting it. The Redskins are a bad team but I don't particularly like this spot for San Fran. Personally can't get much of a read on this game right now.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #76
              Originally posted by Sam Odom
              Everyone needs to heed ^ that --- Re-read it a few times people.

              If you follow along you will not need to retire from betting
              if i didnt know better id say you might just maybe be taking a pot shot at a certain someone here
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #77
                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                Don't you find it a tad bit ironic that a few weeks back when I talked about reading into lines and lines moving you told me it meant nothing and yet here you are talking about bait being dropped by the books?

                Regardless good luck. I'm probably not betting it. The Redskins are a bad team but I don't particularly like this spot for San Fran. Personally can't get much of a read on this game right now.
                it really breaks down simple to me, sf will run and stop skins run gm, skins havnt been winning games while they rushing for a buck fifty per, hard to see them winning when it outta be tough sledding for them on the ground..
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #78
                  2da ... Sammy been saying that for years

                  Posters have made 'fun' of Sammy for betting 0.75% of Bank Roll --- Even 1.5%
                  Comment
                  • fecgp40
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-01-11
                    • 5750

                    #79
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    it really breaks down simple to me, sf will run and stop skins run gm, skins havnt been winning games while they rushing for a buck fifty per, hard to see them winning when it outta be tough sledding for them on the ground..
                    I agree. Redskins defense is swiss cheese. They're awful. They can't tackle and won't stop 49'ers run game or Kaepernick. 49'ers win by double digits IMHO.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #80
                      sammy that is a horrible reason to make fun of you, sammy you been around the gm too long to be catching grief..
                      Comment
                      • Sam Odom
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-30-05
                        • 58063

                        #81
                        Originally posted by 2daBank

                        sammy that is a horrible reason to make fun of you

                        Correct!

                        There are 100s of legit reasons
                        Comment
                        • tatddy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-02-10
                          • 10779

                          #82
                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                          Don't you find it a tad bit ironic that a few weeks back when I talked about reading into lines and lines moving you told me it meant nothing and yet here you are talking about bait being dropped by the books?

                          Regardless good luck. I'm probably not betting it. The Redskins are a bad team but I don't particularly like this spot for San Fran. Personally can't get much of a read on this game right now.
                          Wizzle cmon man you know I don't usually speak in absolutes. Each game/week etc is a whole new ballgame. What was true for some game last week doesn't mean anything tonight. That said I'm not trying to say book are "baiting" here. I was talking about a lot of members I have seen on this site bet a ML like this because of a simliar line/team/situation.

                          There's a difference between saying books are trying to bait vs saying a poster being baited. However semtantical (not a word) it may be.

                          Anyway whole point here, like I said, was to try and send out my opinion that the Skins moneyline is dead $.

                          Good luck whatever you play.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Sam Odom
                            Correct!

                            There are 100s of legit reasons
                            You finally told the truth. Refreshing.
                            Comment
                            • Big Bear
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-01-11
                              • 43253

                              #84
                              line is really starting to move.

                              already moved 1.5 points this morning.

                              yall think it reaches 7 by kickoff?
                              Comment
                              • Sam Odom
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-30-05
                                • 58063

                                #85
                                Originally posted by Big Bear

                                yall think it reaches 7 by kickoff?

                                Hope so...
                                Comment
                                • slacker00
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-06-05
                                  • 12262

                                  #86
                                  Washington is terrible. The red lobster is on the hot seat. A hobbled RG3 isn't taking them anywhere.
                                  Comment
                                  • Big Bear
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 43253

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by slacker00
                                    Washington is terrible. The red lobster is on the hot seat. A hobbled RG3 isn't taking them anywhere.
                                    i hate to see guys get injured but i think RG3 might get
                                    KNOCKED da fukk out!!!

                                    RG3 gonna get blasted if he try that running shit on P-Willis
                                    and Aldon Smith
                                    Comment
                                    • Okst.BIGPLAYS
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-03-10
                                      • 212

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                      i hate to see guys get injured but i think RG3 might get
                                      KNOCKED da fukk out!!!

                                      RG3 gonna get blasted if he try that running shit on P-Willis
                                      and Aldon Smith
                                      Not going to happen. Have you watched G3 play this year? He WILL slide at all cost to protect himself,(The injury scared the hell out of him and he NEEDS his legs to be MrRg3) and if the 9ers aren't careful they might pick up some roughing calls or 2 with it being a home game for him.
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Okst.BIGPLAYS
                                        Not going to happen. Have you watched G3 play this year? He WILL slide at all cost to protect himself,(The injury scared the hell out of him and he NEEDS his legs to be MrRg3) and if the 9ers aren't careful they might pick up some roughing calls or 2 with it being a home game for him.
                                        oh i'm sure they will get a bunch of calls...

                                        but fukk it take the 15 yard penalty and hit him late if you have to

                                        if you cut the head off a snake the body will die.
                                        Comment
                                        • tatddy
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-02-10
                                          • 10779

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                          oh i'm sure they will get a bunch of calls...

                                          but fukk it take the 15 yard penalty and hit him late if you have to

                                          if you cut the head off a snake the body will die.
                                          Bear settle down. Make or don't make your play and move on. This is not an in game thread.
                                          Comment
                                          • Joey Blaze
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-01-13
                                            • 267

                                            #91
                                            is the line too hight at SF -5.5? I feel like I may have missed the boat here...
                                            Comment
                                            • Sam Odom
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-30-05
                                              • 58063

                                              #92
                                              +6 (-108) at a real Book now... Heritage
                                              Comment
                                              • slacker00
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-06-05
                                                • 12262

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Joey Blaze
                                                is the line too hight at SF -5.5? I feel like I may have missed the boat here...
                                                Take the ML if you're scared of laying the points. I'm taking a little of both, but not gonna sweat laying the pts.
                                                Comment
                                                • Jago2008
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-18-11
                                                  • 3047

                                                  #94
                                                  I'm not sure why some people are saying this is a "bad" spot to take San Francisco - I agree - it's a prudent spot for them coming off a loss.

                                                  49ers defensive scheme will shut down the Redskins running game, and bottle up RG3, the only receiver Redskins have that can beat anyone is Garcon and the Redskins defense is one of the worst in allowing opponent passing yards which will in turn open the run game for the 9ers.

                                                  A pissed off, well coached 49ers team against a frayed Redskins team...

                                                  They might not cover the 5.5 on the road, but what other form of investment can you get a 50% return in 3 hours, on the ML. The ML will continue to climb... it was -200 last night, I wish I had grabbed it last night, -240 now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NYSportsGuy210
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                    • 11347

                                                    #95
                                                    Playing T-Wolves (+7) tonight, 49ers (-5.5) and for Thanksgiving OVER 50.5 total points in Packers -Lions game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • easyliving
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-25-12
                                                      • 8876

                                                      #96
                                                      I am heavily invested on the Niners ML here hope they don't disappoint me
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SteelRain
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-13-12
                                                        • 2806

                                                        #97
                                                        I don't like how both the public and SBR are all on the niners. It's something like 80% public and 95% SBR all on the niners. Those bets are usually losers.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • innovation
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-27-12
                                                          • 6218

                                                          #98
                                                          100% spot on.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-07-10
                                                            • 4192

                                                            #99
                                                            49ers looking good fellas
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Allure
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-18-10
                                                              • 7606

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                              49ers looking good fellas
                                                              Looks more like Washington sucks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheMoneyShot
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-14-07
                                                                • 28672

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by tatddy
                                                                SF is about to put a serious smack down on Washington Monday night. There's nothing books can do at this point but drop the line and hope some of you faux sharps fall for it.

                                                                Bait has been dropped. Who's falling for it?

                                                                Niners roll boys. Easyliving you can put your other 50% on SF and make up for the Ukraine disaster.
                                                                Haven't posted in awhile. Wanted to say thank you tatddy for the free $600 tonight. The way you wrote your post spelled CONFIDENCE. Thanks again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Checkerboard
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-15-06
                                                                  • 7799

                                                                  #102
                                                                  merci beaucoup monsieur tatddy
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-07-10
                                                                    • 4192

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Allure
                                                                    Looks more like Washington sucks
                                                                    lol don't be a kill joy . nice pick tatdaddy, had a fair bit on it too!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rockhardfister
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-27-08
                                                                      • 1037

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by tatddy
                                                                      SF is about to put a serious smack down on Washington Monday night. There's nothing books can do at this point but drop the line and hope some of you faux sharps fall for it.

                                                                      Bait has been dropped. Who's falling for it?

                                                                      Niners roll boys. Easyliving you can put your other 50% on SF and make up for the Ukraine disaster.
                                                                      Good call man. I went large on SF-6 and have to give credit to this persuasive thread. Cant believe I was even considering Washington when deep down I knew the Niner D would smash RG3. Anyways...cheers!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • easyliving
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 06-25-12
                                                                        • 8876

                                                                        #105
                                                                        spot on as usual, a nice finish to my weekend and a win I really needed. Will be buying a 50 inch LED on Black Friday thanks to this win.
                                                                        Comment
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