Easy Week Guys... Its Simple

[ThaTopMoron]

Lots of points this week

Carolina San Fran over 43.... this one is a laugher
Giants Over 41
Denver Over 57 automatic
Dallas Over 53... Romo in November, In Dome. Brees vs Cover 2 w/Jimmy... night game. Nuff said

Put $200 on this as a parlay and make a quick 2k

[Eddy Munny]

Don't like the Over in the Frisco-Carolina game at all.......I'm seeing a 24-17 ballgame at the most.

[dymd3z]

my book has a .5 on every one of these !!

[DOM-Ganador]

Your advice is a 4 team parlay? For $200.00. Bookies absolutely love these bets. Ticket?

[ThaTopMoron]

my book has a .5 on every one of these !!

[No coincidences]

Overs hitting at over 56% right now -- I wouldn't bet any over at this point unless you had really solid info. That # will be in the 51-52% range by season's end. There are some serious corrections coming.

[2daBank]

Overs hitting at over 56% right now -- I wouldn't bet any over at this point unless you had really solid info. That # will be in the 51-52% range by season's end. There are some serious corrections coming.

of the 4 he choose the sunday nighter the only one i think is inflated (not that they all gonna hit, i have no idea) and i guess for good reason cause sun night been freakng shootout city,, i made that one lower but scared of it..

[jayc88]

Overs hitting at over 56% right now -- I wouldn't bet any over at this point unless you had really solid info. That # will be in the 51-52% range by season's end. There are some serious corrections coming.

ink
this makes absolutely no sense sorry
how many nfl games were played so far this season ?
I think it might be around 130.

Just because overs have been hitting at 56 % does not mean the lines were off and books will adjust.
Bet all unders from now on and if you are ahead at the end i will ship you 1000

[Christopher1991]

I quite like this parley,the only concern for me is the Denver game.I see the chargers doing the same gameplan they did to the Colts and keeping Manning of the field for as long as possible.That being said I'm still going to tail you.

[mbs4]

Overs hitting at over 56% right now -- I wouldn't bet any over at this point unless you had really solid info. That # will be in the 51-52% range by season's end. There are some serious corrections coming.

This is the definition of the gambler's fallacy.

[2daBank]

I quite like this parley,the only concern for me is the Denver game.I see the chargers doing the same gameplan they did to the Colts and keeping Manning of the field for as long as possible.That being said I'm still going to tail you.

if you go back a page or 2 in my thread i kinda addressed your concerns on this gm and they are valid but think there reasonable counterpoints to make for the over but dont wanna re-write.

[No coincidences]

Just because overs have been hitting at 56 % does not mean the lines were off and books will adjust.
Bet all unders from now on and if you are ahead at the end i will ship you 1000

Are you kidding me?

[No coincidences]

This is the definition of the gambler's fallacy.

Not in the NFL it isn't.

I'll gladly bump this thread at the end of the regular season.

[jjgold]

Lots of points this week

Carolina San Fran over 43.... this one is a laugher
Giants Over 41
Denver Over 57 automatic
Dallas Over 53... Romo in November, In Dome. Brees vs Cover 2 w/Jimmy... night game. Nuff said

Put $200 on this as a parlay and make a quick 2k

Its not that easy guy, I wish it was

best of luck

[jayc88]

Are you kidding me?

do you know the probabilites of one side coming up 56 times or more if you flip a coin 100 times?
I guess not

[stevenash]

Love the NYG over myself.

[ThaTopMoron]

Love the NYG over myself.

17 first quarter pts so far. Good start

[No coincidences]

do you know the probabilites of one side coming up 56 times or more if you flip a coin 100 times?
I guess not

We're not flipping coins here, chief.

[Noleafclover]

So make your own numbers, and lay off when you see a correction. These numbers still look suited to overs.

[qweretyq]

do you know the probabilites of one side coming up 56 times or more if you flip a coin 100 times?
I guess not

It is actually pretty good, around 13%

[R.P. McMurphy]

Coin I agree you are overthinking this one. It's a new modern era of pass/flag happy football and books are unwilling to adjust to this point. If overs for the season hit at a clip of 55%-57% I would not be shocked!

[ThaTopMoron]

Coin I agree you are overthinking this one. It's a new modern era of pass/flag happy football and books are unwilling to adjust to this point. If overs for the season hit at a clip of 55%-57% I would not be shocked!

he isn't really... you just gotta pick the right games

Bears game way under / Steelers game / Falcons game maybe / Packers game under