Strong play tonight

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65746

    #1
    Strong play tonight
    I love the under 74 in the Oklahoma / Baylor tilt tonight.

    I am not dismissing the offensive powers of both teams, but what most are missing is the fact that both these teams have elite defenses, not good defenses, but elite.

    Both are top ten in the nation in total defense, (well #10 and #11 if you want to get technical).
    Discover the current NCAA FBS Football leaders in every stats category, as well as historic leaders.

    Public is getting brainwashed as to how potent these two teams are on offense, but both squads are equally as good on defense.

    I'm not going to get long winded here, this is my reasoning for my strong opinion on the under.

    Good defenses will always neutralize good offense, if not beat them.
    74 is a gigantic number to bet over with these two defenses.
    Nobody is saying both teams won't get some, the absolutely will, but there will be three and outs tonight, there will be one first down, 7 play, drive stalled and punt series tonight.
    Yes, there will be scoring, but I don't see 74 total.

    If one is expecting a 41-35 game here, I think one is in for a rude awakening.

    I don't even think the 74 will be in jeopardy tonight.
    To get to 74, you are going to need a minimum of 8 TD's, that is not happening
    Baylor gets this, in a good one, 31-27

    UNDER 74 LARGE
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82847

    #2
    It makes more sense to take Oklahoma +17 if you think the final score is going to be 31-27.
    Comment
    • billysink
      Restricted User
      • 03-29-09
      • 5172

      #3
      Baylor 9th and Okie 19th in rushing attempts per game.

      Tick tock, clock will be running.
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65746

        #4
        Originally posted by billysink
        Baylor 9th and Okie 19th in rushing attempts per game.

        Tick tock, clock will be running.
        egg-zact-ly
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Ballsy play.


          Funny to call an Under on a 74 pt total "ballsy" but when it comes to Baylor games taking an Under is pretty gutsy.
          Comment
          • jayc88
            Restricted User
            • 12-30-07
            • 6785

            #6
            I took all favs on the spread
            Ull -13.5
            Baylor -16.5
            Oregon-9.5
            Not sure how anyone could find value with the dogs at these prices
            Bol with the under nash
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65746

              #7
              Originally posted by t-wizzle
              Ballsy play.


              Funny to call an Under on a 74 pt total "ballsy" but when it comes to Baylor games taking an Under is pretty gutsy.
              T, when I do bet an under, I first, well duh, look at the number, then I try to figure out how both teams can get to 74.
              74 means you are going to have to get scores on at least 14 possessions, (8 TD's and then some)
              Not with these defenses.
              Comment
              • DLucky1
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-07-13
                • 70

                #8
                I'm with you on the under! I fell for that one with UCLA/Oregon Over and that went no where!
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Good luck Nashy

                  I am on Okl
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65746

                    #10
                    Originally posted by DLucky1
                    I'm with you on the under! I fell for that one with UCLA/Oregon Over and that went no where!
                    I am flattered, your first post ever here, and it's in one of my dopey threads.

                    I think I am going to like you just fine.
                    Comment
                    • You mad bro
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-15-12
                      • 16641

                      #11
                      lol actually wanted to play the under with you .. but i feel like baylor can sometimes score 75 on their own
                      Comment
                      • Eric22174
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-01-10
                        • 1334

                        #12
                        We can cash this bitch
                        Comment
                        • JuicedUp
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-20-10
                          • 3396

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • DLucky1
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 11-07-13
                            • 70

                            #14
                            Originally posted by stevenash
                            I am flattered, your first post ever here, and it's in one of my dopey threads.

                            I think I am going to like you just fine.

                            Cheers buddy! Under is looking great, I'm only kicking myself for not putting more on it! Took OK +17
                            Comment
                            • Rainman10
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-07-13
                              • 112

                              #15
                              stevenash I'm rather new to this board but I can say that you and pinnicle420 are my favorite to follow. This under is looking great right now, thanks.
                              Comment
                              • epics
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-01-12
                                • 155

                                #16
                                Damn hot pick if I ever seen one.
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #17
                                  Lets not count our chickens yet but the pick is def the right side.

                                  Nasher did you play the First Five ?
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65746

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Rainman10
                                    stevenash I'm rather new to this board but I can say that you and pinnicle420 are my favorite to follow. This under is looking great right now, thanks.
                                    Thank you very much for that.
                                    Best of luck
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Nashy call me when you get a chance

                                      I forgot to tell you something from the the other night

                                      Thanks Steve
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65746

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                        Lets not count our chickens yet but the pick is def the right side.

                                        Nasher did you play the First Five ?
                                        No

                                        Under 74 (LARGE, for me anyway)
                                        First half under (medium)
                                        OK +16.5 (I missed the 17 boat) small
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65746

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jjgold

                                          I forgot to tell you something from the the other night
                                          I did not win PoW for the 142nd consecutive week?
                                          Comment
                                          • DLucky1
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-07-13
                                            • 70

                                            #22
                                            thinking about under 35 2nd half, thoughts?
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              Baylor is explosive

                                              How do we know they are not best team in the land??
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65746

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DLucky1
                                                thinking about under 35 2nd half, thoughts?
                                                Lay off
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65746

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                  Baylor is explosive

                                                  How do we know they are not best team in the land??
                                                  Because FSU is
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-19-07
                                                    • 31794

                                                    #26
                                                    Solid piece of capping by you sir on this one !
                                                    Comment
                                                    • You mad bro
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                      • 16641

                                                      #27
                                                      game isnt over yet .. baylor could still put up 4 tds in 4 minutes lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stevenash
                                                        Moderator
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 65746

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                        game isnt over yet .. baylor could still put up 4 tds in 4 minutes lol
                                                        Shhhhh
                                                        you'll rooooon it
                                                        lol
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65746

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                          Solid piece of capping by you sir on this one !
                                                          Thank you sir, I appreciate that.
                                                          Glad to help
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jayc88
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-30-07
                                                            • 6785

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice win
                                                            Congrats
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #31
                                                              damn how did i miss this thread
                                                              Comment
                                                              • You mad bro
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-15-12
                                                                • 16641

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                Shhhhh
                                                                you'll rooooon it
                                                                lol
                                                                good call pal
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  He probably paid for it, he pays for everything in life.

                                                                  Let him have it

                                                                  Guys we are not like him
                                                                  Comment
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