how do you NOT play the OVER in tonights Dodger - Red Sox game?

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  • wagerjunkie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-24-13
    • 4105

    #1
    how do you NOT play the OVER in tonights Dodger - Red Sox game?
    Capuano should get lit the hell up.

    in his last start against Miami he lasted just 5 innings giving up 6 hits and 3 earned

    before that against the Mets he again went 5 innings, 10 hits, 4 earned

    and before that against Tampa Bay he again only lasted 5 inning giving up 10 hits once again for 5 earned runs.


    Boston as a team in their last 5 game are hitting .308, averaging nearly 11 runs per 9 innings against LHP (which Capuano is).

    so far he's been a little lucky as those hits haven't turned into complete disasters as far as runs but look for that to happen tonight.
  • wagerjunkie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-24-13
    • 4105

    #2
    scratch that. don't like that the line has moved to 8. with the reverse line movement. fuk it. on Red Sox -1.
    Comment
    • riffraff24
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-20-11
      • 7234

      #3
      I'd look at the first 5 over rather than the game
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65681

        #4
        Red Sox straight up
        Comment
        • TonyTall
          SBR MVP
          • 08-21-13
          • 3551

          #5
          bodog has o25 (-115) where most sites have o26 juiced up

          bodog comes thru again!
          Comment
          • riffraff24
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-20-11
            • 7234

            #6
            Originally posted by TonyTall
            bodog has o25 (-115) where most sites have o26 juiced up

            bodog comes thru again!
            LOL @ bodog comes through again. hahahahah
            Comment
            • forthewin
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-15-12
              • 561

              #7
              Originally posted by wagerjunkie
              scratch that. don't like that the line has moved to 8. with the reverse line movement. fuk it. on Red Sox -1.
              That may be a good choice, but the Tigers opened up at 8, then dropped to 7.5 and that game went well over.
              Comment
              • billysink
                Restricted User
                • 03-29-09
                • 5172

                #8
                Originally posted by riffraff24
                I'd look at the first 5 over rather than the game
                One of the worst late afternoon shadow parks in the majors pal. 5 pm local time start.

                How dudes don't think about this shit before they wager is fukkin beyond me.
                Comment
                • italianbandit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-17-11
                  • 2622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by stevenash
                  Red Sox straight up
                  That
                  Comment
                  • El Sol
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 05-17-08
                    • 876

                    #10
                    Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                    Capuano should get lit the hell up.

                    in his last start against Miami he lasted just 5 innings giving up 6 hits and 3 earned

                    before that against the Mets he again went 5 innings, 10 hits, 4 earned

                    and before that against Tampa Bay he again only lasted 5 inning giving up 10 hits once again for 5 earned runs.


                    Boston as a team in their last 5 game are hitting .308, averaging nearly 11 runs per 9 innings against LHP (which Capuano is).

                    so far he's been a little lucky as those hits haven't turned into complete disasters as far as runs but look for that to happen tonight.
                    Capuano is an Enigma. He can very easily throw a gem. Any pitcher can really, but Capuano is the poster child for unpredictability. Regardless, I do like the over tonight. I have the game finishing over 8 runs over 50% of the time with one or the other getting bombed. I do not predict a pitchers duel.

                    I'm predicting 10 - 11 runs
                    Comment
                    • TonyTall
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-21-13
                      • 3551

                      #11
                      Originally posted by billysink
                      One of the worst late afternoon shadow parks in the majors pal. 5 pm local time start.

                      How dudes don't think about this shit before they wager is fukkin beyond me.

                      good point not a cloud in the sky today
                      Comment
                      • Jayvegas420
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-09-11
                        • 28213

                        #12
                        You're gonna wish you stayed on that OVER!
                        Comment
                        • billysink
                          Restricted User
                          • 03-29-09
                          • 5172

                          #13
                          kids



                          Save this link. Click on Dodger Stadium.

                          45 minute delay between now and what you are looking at.

                          You can see plain as day where this shadow is headed.
                          Comment
                          • wagerjunkie
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-24-13
                            • 4105

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                            You're gonna wish you stayed on that OVER!
                            we'll see. Line movement scared me away.

                            Let's go Sox
                            Comment
                            • TonyTall
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-21-13
                              • 3551

                              #15
                              billy what is that aarow the direction of the wind?
                              Comment
                              • billysink
                                Restricted User
                                • 03-29-09
                                • 5172

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TonyTall
                                billy what is that aarow the direction of the wind?
                                yes. The speed is at the chart on right. Ballpark dimensions and wall height as well.

                                Great tool. Live for all parks with 45 min to 1 hour delay.
                                Comment
                                • TonyTall
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-21-13
                                  • 3551

                                  #17
                                  this could come in pretty fukin handy. but just one question. from what you have seen live on tv (what the announcers are saying) and the wind report from the site, are they the same?

                                  becuase say you had an arrow blowing 35 mph straight out to centerfield you would be all over the over. but then the announcers might say "winds swirling and changing directions". know what i mean, seems to easy to get an edge here
                                  Comment
                                  • billysink
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 03-29-09
                                    • 5172

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by TonyTall
                                    this could come in pretty fukin handy. but just one question. from what you have seen live on tv (what the announcers are saying) and the wind report from the site, are they the same?

                                    becuase say you had an arrow blowing 35 mph straight out to centerfield you would be all over the over. but then the announcers might say "winds swirling and changing directions". know what i mean, seems to easy to get an edge here
                                    Dude.

                                    The announcers are sitting in a booth.


                                    A baseball is flying through the air @ 60 feet.


                                    Sometimes I wish the announcers were too.

                                    fukk the talking heads. look at the flags and the site I just linked you to

                                    Enjoy and good luck tonight
                                    Comment
                                    • billysink
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 03-29-09
                                      • 5172

                                      #19
                                      check the flyball ratios too Ton.

                                      Shit don't matter if they crammin it into the ground all night.

                                      Comment
                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-12
                                        • 4585

                                        #20
                                        Dodgers First Five is the play. No ORTIZ in the lineup is going to have a bigger impact than many will think.
                                        Comment
                                        • wagerjunkie
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-24-13
                                          • 4105

                                          #21
                                          fkn Middlebrooks.

                                          again Capuano racking up the hits but escaping without getting burned to bad with by alot of runs. still lots of baseball and we got the early lead tho!
                                          Comment
                                          • wagerjunkie
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-24-13
                                            • 4105

                                            #22
                                            glad i laid off that OVER with those shadows right now
                                            Comment
                                            • rake922
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-23-07
                                              • 11692

                                              #23
                                              The sun is in the hitters' eyes until 4th inning or so
                                              Comment
                                              • wagerjunkie
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-24-13
                                                • 4105

                                                #24
                                                small ball getting it done. Peavy pitching a gem so far. lets keep it up.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  I hate betting overs

                                                  If you win it's usually late in the game

                                                  Things have to go right
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wagerjunkie
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-24-13
                                                    • 4105

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    I hate betting overs

                                                    If you win it's usually late in the game

                                                    Things have to go right
                                                    I never play full game in MLB. Only 1st five. This was a rare case and changed bet to Red Sox -1, if u read full thread.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • agendaman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-01-11
                                                      • 3735

                                                      #27
                                                      2-0 bosox in 4th
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Charlie103
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 07-14-13
                                                        • 560

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by agendaman
                                                        2-0 bosox in 4th
                                                        We know, we know, we know
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wagerjunkie
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-24-13
                                                          • 4105

                                                          #29
                                                          first big league RBI!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wagerjunkie
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-24-13
                                                            • 4105

                                                            #30
                                                            fuk. that was a fkn moon shot by A Gon
                                                            Comment
                                                            • wagerjunkie
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-24-13
                                                              • 4105

                                                              #31
                                                              Salty goes OPPO! 3 run cushion with the -1. keep it up Peavy.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • strat1x
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-09-13
                                                                • 998

                                                                #32
                                                                I had the team total for boston
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wagerjunkie
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-24-13
                                                                  • 4105

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Boooooooommmmmmmm
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TonyTall
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-21-13
                                                                    • 3551

                                                                    #34
                                                                    sun in my eyes call a lawyer!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMoneyShot
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-14-07
                                                                      • 28672

                                                                      #35
                                                                      The Hook
                                                                      Comment
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