How many MLB games

[Justin3587]

Are decided by one run? Does anybody have some concrete stats?

[iifold]

Nothing is set in stone...

You must be one with the present...

Strike fast...

[Justin3587]

Nothing is set in stone...

You must be one with the present...

Strike fast...

Haha just looking for a percentage of games that end in one run. The -1.5 lines are scary sometimes.

[iifold]

Haha just looking for a percentage of games that end in one run. The -1.5 lines are scary sometimes.

Are you going to exclude data from the "steroid era?"

When did the steroid era end??

What drugs are they using now???

I don't know these answers, but I'm pretty sure Kris Medlen is overvalued at the moment and the Seattle offense is undervalued...

This might not be true in 9 days...

[greenhippo]

From what I looked at, its between 25 and 30% of games.

[greenhippo]

19 of 76 games this year are 1-run games, 25%.

[Justin3587]

Are you going to exclude data from the "steroid era?"

When did the steroid era end??

What drugs are they using now???

I don't know these answers, but I'm pretty sure Kris Medlen is overvalued at the moment and the Seattle offense is undervalued...

This might not be true in 9 days...

Yea. Medlen got licked the other night. Kershaw looks phenomenal. But I took the dodgers -1.5 tonight and got smoked. I think the angels are a good team to pound this year. They have been dogs like their last three games. I think Texas is WAY overvalued.

[Justin3587]

19 of 76 games this year are 1-run games, 25%.

Do you have a site or app you use for these numbers ?

[greenhippo]

I keep track. My bets are 99% underdog MLs, faves on the RL or 1st inning score props. I'm doing really well so far, just a lot of info to track on a daily basis to keep up. Luckily record reflects it so far.

[Justin3587]

I keep track. My bets are 99% underdog MLs, faves on the RL or 1st inning score props. I'm doing really well so far, just a lot of info to track on a daily basis to keep up. Luckily record reflects it so far.

What do you mean by faves on the RL? Meaning you don't take ML wagers??

[Justin3587]

I mean ML faves.

[greenhippo]

I have once and even then I still bet them on the RL.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2279742-hippo-picks-thread.html

12-1-1 first week of bases. There are simply too many cases and opportunities where the RL is the smart choice. For example Blue Jays RL of +130 their third game after losing the first two as opposed to the -155 ML. No way I could pass that up.

[matthew919]

From 2009-2012 (a total of 9719 regular season games), 29.2% of games were decided by one run.

By year:
2009 - 27.0%
2010 - 30.1%
2011 - 31.0%
2012 - 28.7%

[tto827]

From 2009-2012 (a total of 9719 regular season games), 29.2% of games were decided by one run.

By year:
2009 - 27.0%
2010 - 30.1%
2011 - 31.0%
2012 - 28.7%

Good info.

Now whose going to break it down for us by fav prices and how often they won by 1 run, because I would assume the closer the line, the more likely it was to be a one run game obviously.

[Justin3587]

agreed. I NEED this info as Verlander, Cain, Price, Weaver, and Strasburg all lost today. What a god damn joke.

[greenhippo]

Wouldn't have helped you today, all 5 of them were blow outs.

[easyliving]

the actual # is about 24-25%