D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**$nakes** · 05-24-13, 12:26 PM

Boys boys boys(and girls)....First post here. I would like to start off by thanking D2D for what he does! Taking the time to provide your advice is very appreciated by all. I have been betting for quite a while, making small gains, and am excited to join this thread. Lets win some money! I am on the Penguins tonight huge as well!

**bostonphoenix** · 05-24-13, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

4-1, 5-0 game.

This I can easily see.

----

d2d I did a write up for ATL and Pitt for tonights games, not sure if you saw it.

Can I ask why those two games are off your book?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

4-1, 5-0 game.

Just like Sovy says.....although I see it being more of a 3-1, 3-2 type game. The first period should be low scoring, with a goal at most.....Ottawa will come out doing everything they can to slow Pitt down.

I hate to say this....but Pittsburgh may take a little bit to get going as they are up 3-1 (they shouldn't feel this way, but it seems to be natural in the NHL). You need to remember, this is the NHL, it isn't easy to score even if that's the way it looked last game.

ALSO, Pittsburgh is going to key on their defense. In the next round they KNOW that they will need their goaltender, so I believe they will want this to be a confidence builder and will be clearing rebounds and blocking shots ALL GAME.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by $nakes

Boys boys boys(and girls)....First post here. I would like to start off by thanking D2D for what he does! Taking the time to provide your advice is very appreciated by all. I have been betting for quite a while, making small gains, and am excited to join this thread. Lets win some money! I am on the Penguins tonight huge as well!

Welcome to the thread Snakes. I appreciate the kind words and I will always take the time (if I am available) to answer ALL well thought out questions and I always love advice and conflicting views as well....all of that makes us all sharper every day.

**GoBlue77** · 05-24-13, 12:43 PM

ottawa is going to win

public burial today

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 12:46 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Now, this is a sick amount of juice on a regulation play in Pittsburgh.....but I still think it is the right play.

180921101-1

5/24/13 12:45pm

$284.00

$200.00

Pending

5/24/13 7:35pm NHL Hockey 52 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -142* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators (1st 60 min)

I agree and will be on this as well. Take a look at Over 1.5 Goals for the 1st Period. Has hit 3 out of the 4 games and each time it hit with ease (3 goals). Hit for 3 goals both times in Pitt. (-120) at 5Dimes, -110 at BookMaker.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 12:52 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

I agree and will be on this as well. Take a look at Over 1.5 Goals for the 1st Period. Has hit 3 out of the 4 games and each time it hit with ease (3 goals). Hit for 3 goals both times in Pitt. (-120) at 5Dimes, -110 at BookMaker.

Everyone! The great El Nino makes an appearance!! The next POTM!

I have a hard time disagreeing with you on anything Nino, and that is why this sucks. I am glad we are on the same side with Pitts in regulation. I do NOT see Ottawa winning here at all...maybe it goes to OT and I get buried and if that's the case I accept it, BUT.........

I think this game is going under. I see nerves in the first on both sides and I think Pitt cracks down on the defensive end....and I guess if Ottawa wins it will be a low scoring game almost 100%, so the under is a bit of a hedge for me.

Glad you stopped in.....don't see enough of you around here Nino.

**chuck22288** · 05-24-13, 12:56 PM

why the heck won't bovada let me make that teaser pick? It says "bet type is not available for this combination of selections" grrrrr!

**thes0vereign** · 05-24-13, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by GoBlue77

ottawa is going to win

public burial today

Quality contribution. Mind telling us the logic behind your statement?

**GoBlue77** · 05-24-13, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

Quality contribution. Mind telling us the logic behind your statement?

the absolutely INSANE one sided bets. largest public play of the day, just a gut feeling. laying 2:1 on hockey is insane when so much luck is involved in this sport

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by GoBlue77

the absolutely INSANE one sided bets. largest public play of the day, just a gut feeling. laying 2:1 on hockey is insane when so much luck is involved in this sport

Yep....laying -230 is too high. Nobody is disagreeing with you. I am on Pitt Regulation and we have discussed that thoroughly. I do not see Ottawa winning here.

I believe there are two options for you:

1. Senators fan

2. One of those people that loves to predict the dog every time, so that when you are correct you can say 'look at me' and when you are wrong nobody notices.

I think all of us here would prefer a quality contribution, well laid out thoughts, etc, to a one line post. From now on, please (here anyway) try and bring your best.

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Everyone! The great El Nino makes an appearance!! The next POTM!

I have a hard time disagreeing with you on anything Nino, and that is why this sucks. I am glad we are on the same side with Pitts in regulation. I do NOT see Ottawa winning here at all...maybe it goes to OT and I get buried and if that's the case I accept it, BUT.........

I think this game is going under. I see nerves in the first on both sides and I think Pitt cracks down on the defensive end....and I guess if Ottawa wins it will be a low scoring game almost 100%, so the under is a bit of a hedge for me.

Glad you stopped in.....don't see enough of you around here Nino.

Been busy lately, finally have some time off. We're both on the Yankees and Cards as well. I managed to get the Yanks at +105 nice and early. They have good #'s against Hernandez.

I hear you on the under, a poster asked me for game 3 if I liked the over and I told him I did not. I predicted that after trying to skate wide open with Pittsburgh for 2 games and having little success, the Sens would clamp it down and grind the pace at home. With this game, you have Anderson on the road after just getting ran at home in embarrassing fashion and the Penguins looking to close out the series. The home crowd will be amped and the Pens are fast starters.The Sens have also scored at least 1 goal in the 1st period 6 out of their 9 playoff games this season. This is why i like the over 1.5 goals in the 1st. I can see how it's counterproductive to your under though. So, I will root in a 1-1 or 2-0 1st period and a 4-1, 4-0 victory for the Pens

**GoBlue77** · 05-24-13, 01:18 PM

not a senators fan at all, im a blackhawks guy so i guess i would just proceed with caution is my words of advice. if you really like the pens, i would throw them in a parlay but yeah, no way I'm laying huge juice straight up on this team especially when the entire world is on it. hard not to see the pens winning, i agree, thats what makes me weary.. just my .02

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

Been busy lately, finally have some time off. We're both on the Yankees and Cards as well. I managed to get the Yanks at +105 nice and early. They have good #'s against Hernandez.

I hear you on the under, a poster asked me for game 3 if I liked the over and I told him I did not. I predicted that after trying to skate wide open with Pittsburgh for 2 games and having little success, the Sens would clamp it down and grind the pace at home. With this game, you have Anderson on the road after just getting ran at home in embarrassing fashion and the Penguins looking to close out the series. The home crowd will be amped and the Pens are fast starters.The Sens have also scored at least 1 goal in the 1st period 6 out of their 9 playoff games this season. This is why i like the over 1.5 goals in the 1st. I can see how it's counterproductive to your under though. So, I will root in a 1-1 or 2-0 1st period and a 4-1, 4-0 victory for the Pens

Sounds perfect to me, all around! GL

**BigPete55** · 05-24-13, 01:26 PM

Hey DD....
Is this Pens hockey game your POD or were you referring to the Basketball teaser??? I just wanna make sure....

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by chuck22288

why the heck won't bovada let me make that teaser pick? It says "bet type is not available for this combination of selections" grrrrr!

Bovada is notorious for not allowing early parlays or early teaser options. Sometimes they simply will not allow you to tease a game, especially on a short card or during the playoffs. It's their way of laying off action.

**MonkeyMoney** · 05-24-13, 01:32 PM

sorry to break it to you guys but i think ottawa wins tonight..

the stats favor them alot.

they are 2-0 vs pens in game 5's
and the pens are 0-6 in potential series closing games at home under their current coach

plus ottawa will go down swinging and they will get the W imo

**$nakes** · 05-24-13, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyMoney

sorry to break it to you guys but i think ottawa wins tonight..

the stats favor them alot.

they are 2-0 vs pens in game 5's
and the pens are 0-6 in potential series closing games at home under their current coach

plus ottawa will go down swinging and they will get the W imo

I have to disagree with you Monkey.... I simply like the fact that Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

**thes0vereign** · 05-24-13, 01:45 PM

Ottawa being up 2-0 all-time in Game 5 situations v. Pittsburgh doesn't mean anything.

**MonkeyMoney** · 05-24-13, 01:47 PM

but the pens have had trouble closing at home and ottawa will not go away easily and have a killer goalie

i like the pens overall alot but at +money ottawa is a good play

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyMoney

but the pens have had trouble closing at home and ottawa will not go away easily and have a killer goalie

i like the pens overall alot but at +money ottawa is a good play

I disagree for all of the resons stated above. Ottawa, even at +200 is not a good play as they will not win this game MORE than 3.3 times out of 10. Not a chance IMO.

**bostonphoenix** · 05-24-13, 02:00 PM

I found the tempo in the NYI series completely different than in this series.

NYI competed game in game out. Have not seen that/do not get that feeling from Ottawa.

**thes0vereign** · 05-24-13, 02:08 PM

Edit: Leftwinglock is full of lieeessss

**MonkeyMoney** · 05-24-13, 02:19 PM

so anderson is out?

id like to retract those comments i made about a +money good play

and only take credit if ottawa wins by some miracle lol

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by thes0vereign

I hope the "killer goalie" you're referring to is Lehner, because he's starting tonight.

SOURCE: Leftwinglock

Anderson is starting tonight. Left Wing Lock's site makes it appear as if the Sens are playing the Bruins at 7:00P.M. EST none of which are obviously correct.

Ottawa Senators goaltender Craig Anderson will start Game 5 against Pittsburgh Penguins

http://www.ottawasun.com/2013/05/23/ottawa-senators-goaltender-craig-anderson-will-start-game-5-against-pittsburgh-penguins

There's no debate, Craig Anderson will start in goal for the Senators Friday night.

**amrit** · 05-24-13, 02:29 PM

^^ aw man I was getting excited Lehner was starting lol...

**thes0vereign** · 05-24-13, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

Anderson is starting tonight. Left Wing Lock's site makes it appear as if the Sens are playing the Bruins at 7:00P.M. EST none of which are obviously correct.

http://www.ottawasun.com/2013/05/23/...burgh-penguins

My hero, El Nino! I obviously wasn't looking at the whole page, my mistake!

**MEXRFW** · 05-24-13, 02:41 PM

Thanks bro.

**MonkeyMoney** · 05-24-13, 02:53 PM

lol

but still i think ottawa can pull the upset only if the pens dont come out with the "closing" mentality they showed in their last game

**Avala7ch3** · 05-24-13, 03:11 PM

@ D2D

I haven't noticed your priceless comment at my thread....you've declared me war, I guess....bad decision mate, very bad decision...

**Conrad99** · 05-24-13, 03:59 PM

Avalanche, you were reported and banned before for being rude and looking for a fight. My advice would be to avoid doing that this time.

**milwaukee mike** · 05-24-13, 04:08 PM

d2d and el nino, you are 2 of the nicest, best guys left here (not saying much, i know!

)

i think you are overthinking the penguins/ottawa game, this game is going over 5.5 no matter how hard you try to overanalyze imho

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by Avala7ch3

@ D2D

I haven't noticed your priceless comment at my thread....you've declared me war, I guess....bad decision mate, very bad decision...

It is all good my friend. I have zero issue with you posting anything you like on my thread. In fact every time you post here I am seriously going to take it is a compliment. You can bash me, mock me and look into my record as much as you like.

I am a little surprised to see you back, as my last 26picks I have run at 18-8 (or so, haven't looked back), but I did notice that you didn't put together a win/loss sheet for that.

Now that I have seen your thread I understand everything.

You have my best wishes though, seriously I hope you make it work, and if you get your win-rate over 55% I think you have a shot!

Also, to everyone else on my thread. Please, PLEASE leave Avala7ch3 to me. For everyone else please do not ever speak to or about him. He is my friend and I am very protective of him.

D2D

**Henkka** · 05-24-13, 04:37 PM

Pittsburgh will win indeed. But as for the over/under-play, i really don't see any sense going with the under. Doesn't matter what way you try to analyze the game, it's still Pittsburgh Penguins we're talking about. With that offense, you can't go under. Not to mention, when Erik Karlsson is in the lineup for Ottawa, their game just changes so much, like it's not the same team anymore. And as far as goaltending goes, there's no stopping the pens and no one should ever trust Tomas Vokoun with their money as the Sens could get 2-3 gifts any day.

Just my thoughts,
Good luck everyone with your picks.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-24-13, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by Henkka

Pittsburgh will win indeed. But as for the over/under-play, i really don't see any sense going with the under. Doesn't matter what way you try to analyze the game, it's still Pittsburgh Penguins we're talking about. With that offense, you can't go under. Not to mention, when Erik Karlsson is in the lineup for Ottawa, their game just changes so much, like it's not the same team anymore. And as far as goaltending goes, there's no stopping the pens and no one should ever trust Tomas Vokoun with their money as the Sens could get 2-3 gifts any day.

Just my thoughts,
Good luck everyone with your picks.

A ton of valid points. Thanks for your input. I don'tind being on the opposite side sometimes. GL either way you go!