Moneyball for soccer?

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  • TheCentaur
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-28-11
    • 8108

    #1
    Moneyball for soccer?
    I have been watching and analyzing soccer for a few moths now and I think I have a successful new strategy.

    Forget acquiring crossers and corner kickers and headers and all that. Keep 4 good defenders and a good goalie, and then get 6 players with the best shot/goal ratio you can. Doesn't matter if they can pass, if they are tall, etc. all that matters is their shot %.

    Then blow the whistle and make the strategy once you get in the penalty box shoot low and hard. No pirouetting or penalty flopping, just kick it. The other shooters will get rebounds and do the same thing. SUre there will be counter attacks but the tidal wave of offense will make up for it. Totals for games will double or triple but it could be a way for lesser clubs like QPR or Aberdeen FC to compete cheaply.
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82847

    #2
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    • TheCentaur
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-28-11
      • 8108

      #3
      Originally posted by pavyracer
      This has been the initial reaction to every great new idea throughout history
      Comment
      • rfr3sh
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-07-09
        • 10229

        #4
        what happens when they get dominated in the midfield and can't keep the ball to get any shots
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        • TheCentaur
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-28-11
          • 8108

          #5
          Originally posted by rfr3sh
          what happens when they get dominated in the midfield and can't keep the ball to get any shots
          sure the other team will have a greater time of possession and screw around trying to win corners and get the perfect shot but plenty of times the moneyball team will break through and get it to the other end
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          • rfr3sh
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-07-09
            • 10229

            #6
            Originally posted by TheCentaur
            sure the other team will have a greater time of possession and screw around trying to win corners and get the perfect shot but plenty of times the moneyball team will break through and get it to the other end
            have you ever played soccer before?
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            • TheCentaur
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-28-11
              • 8108

              #7
              Originally posted by rfr3sh
              have you ever played soccer before?
              You remember the 2001-2002 Leeds United premiership club?

              Just wondering if you remembered, but yeah I played keeper and striker for my rec league
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              • rfr3sh
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-07-09
                • 10229

                #8
                Originally posted by TheCentaur
                You remember the 2001-2002 Leeds United premiership club?

                Just wondering if you remembered, but yeah I played keeper and striker for my rec league
                at the professional level the way the game is now this would not work
                can you guess who has the best shot to goal ratio in recent years?
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                • TheCentaur
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-28-11
                  • 8108

                  #9
                  Nikika Jelavic?
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                  • rfr3sh
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-07-09
                    • 10229

                    #10
                    Sorry I meant team hard to find the raw player data
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                    • TheCentaur
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-28-11
                      • 8108

                      #11
                      This is just a guess but I will say Wolverhampton
                      Comment
                      • rfr3sh
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-07-09
                        • 10229

                        #12
                        Barca

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                        • TheCentaur
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-28-11
                          • 8108

                          #13
                          wow and it wasn't even close that year

                          I'm just saying you know how poker players found out that blind hyper aggression can be more profitable than grinding and playing premium hands, but it wasn't obvious before? It could be that way with soccer.
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                          • rfr3sh
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-07-09
                            • 10229

                            #14
                            I think you could be on to something by attackers with higher shot/goal ratio than some of the really expensive ones, perhaps the clubs have this data already?
                            Comment
                            • TheCentaur
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-28-11
                              • 8108

                              #15
                              If you have seen the movie "Moneyball", maybe these clubs have the same thinking as the old A's scout team. Wanting to try and compete with these big clubs by playing the same game.
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