Post your best +EV BCS championship props

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Post your best +EV BCS championship props
    I took a flyer on these 3

    No team scores 3 straight times +200
    First score FG or safety +145
    No score first 7:30 of game +115

    Post some more.
  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #2
    Post, post, post.
    Comment
    • pologq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-07-12
      • 19899

      #3
      i also took no team scores 3 straight times

      i took the longest scoring play will not be over 39.5 yards
      Comment
      • shaunovery
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-15-07
        • 18143

        #4
        More than 10 punts -110

        Mcarron less than 1.5 td passes
        Comment
        • sportfinny15
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-04-13
          • 44

          #5
          No td for nd, +1500, worth the stab
          Comment
          • Boxing Champ
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-11
            • 3358

            #6
            Originally posted by sportfinny15
            No td for nd, +1500, worth the stab
            I found an Interesting Stat..on Neutral site/Road........Red Zone Defense

            Alabama
            allowed out of 14 tries 9 scores 7 TD and 2 FG 50% TD ratio ...7 TD out of 14 allowed Red Zone posessions
            ND allowed out of 13 tries 9 scores 2 TD and 7 FG 15% TD tatio ...2 TD out of 13 allowed Red zone posessions

            Basically this means that if Alabama gets to red zone, they will most likely settle for a FG, because ND
            allows only 15% TD in the Red zone..But if ND can manage to get to Red Zone of Alabama, they will score a TD every other
            time.. That is a huge difference...Huge advantage ND..
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52054

              #7
              differnce of competition makes that stat irrelevant
              Comment
              • sportfinny15
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-04-13
                • 44

                #8
                That doesn't take into account their opponents though, and with those odds ill take the shot, we just saw a no touchdown game yesterday in the indy game, it's definitely possible
                Comment
                • alwcb
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-13-08
                  • 177

                  #9
                  These aren't +EV but they are props. Just didn't see the use in starting a new thread. Anyway, I havent bet these yet. I also also yet to post a prop on this site that has won so fade accordingly.

                  TJ Yeldon Scores a TD -145.
                  He has scored at least one in 9 out of 13 games. Of course Lacy will take many of the carries but I'm thinking bama might be hesitant to throw with Teo having 7 ints on the year and the team with 16 total. Thinking bama splits the work between the 2 and maybe Yeldon can put one in.

                  Total FG made Over 3 1/2 +140
                  I am terrible at these. I would have a better chance of winning the mega millions. None the less here I am again saying over. My thinking is Dame has trouble scoring Tds on bamas offense so they take to fgs. In a game of defense I could see each team with 2 or Dame with 1 and Bama with 1. Who I am kidding..... Fade me on this for big bucks.
                  Comment
                  • dodger33
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-14-09
                    • 3962

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                    differnce of competition makes that stat irrelevant
                    ND had the tougher schedule
                    Comment
                    • dodger33
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-14-09
                      • 3962

                      #11
                      ST or defensive td +150
                      Comment
                      • Boxing Champ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-11-11
                        • 3358

                        #12
                        Golson completions Under 17

                        ND Road/Neutral Site completions this year 16,14,19,14,17,15,
                        Alabama Road/Neutral Site completions allowed 11,11,12,16,25,19
                        Comment
                        • Boxing Champ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-11-11
                          • 3358

                          #13
                          AJ MCCarron...Completions Under 17

                          Alabama Road/Neutral Site.. completions 11,14,16,17,14,13..(not 1 game over 17 completions)
                          ND Road/Neutral site completions allowed 14,23,18,36,27,14
                          Comment
                          • Romanov
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-08-10
                            • 4137

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Boxing Champ
                            Golson completions Under 17

                            ND Road/Neutral Site completions this year 16,14,19,14,17,15,
                            Alabama Road/Neutral Site completions allowed 11,11,12,16,25,19
                            ND hasn't had to make many comebacks this year, so expect more passing from them tonight
                            Comment
                            • face
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-31-11
                              • 14740

                              #15
                              took the overs in lacy and yeldon's rushing yards, both plus money and one will hit
                              Comment
                              • VegasInsider
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-12-10
                                • 14593

                                #16
                                I'm on First Score FG or Safety (+155) for a 1/2 unit at Heritage
                                Comment
                                • dynamite140
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-05-08
                                  • 4958

                                  #17
                                  Anyone that thinks they know any +EV props wouldn't be posting it to share to others.


                                  Which means most of the posters here are throwing darts.
                                  Comment
                                  • seaborneq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-06
                                    • 22556

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by seaborneq
                                    I took a flyer on these 3

                                    No team scores 3 straight times +200
                                    First score FG or safety +145
                                    No score first 7:30 of game +115

                                    Post some more.
                                    damn. Two props down on the first drive. Let's hope for a high scoring game.
                                    Comment
                                    • seaborneq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-06
                                      • 22556

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by seaborneq
                                      I took a flyer on these 3

                                      No team scores 3 straight times +200
                                      First score FG or safety +145
                                      No score first 7:30 of game +115

                                      Post some more.
                                      All of my props are dead already. Bummer.
                                      Comment
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