Spurs sitting Duncan, Ginoblii, Parker and Green vs. Heat tonight (Nov 29)

[yisman]

Already -12 boys. Wouldn't be surprised if it drops to -13.5/14 before tip.

If you want to bet do it now

I would be surprised and I think you mean rises

I doubt there will be more significant movement.

Poppovich basically giving TNT the finger.

[King Mayan]

I'm going to wait until it hits -33.5 and pound the SPURS!!!!!

[brainfreeze0]

Wouldnt it be funny if Spurs still won SU

[davopnz]

spurs will win

[King Mayan]

Whoops.

[pellumb341]

guys ,don't you think this is one of the best trap ?

SA rest their top players ,all punters go large on Miami -12.5 ,some cheques to lebron and CO by bookies, Miami wins by less then 13 points and all punters get burn.

How sure are you that Miami will not underestimate this match seeing that SA has totally ignored it ?

[hels]

I would be surprised and I think you mean rises

I doubt there will be more significant movement.

Poppovich basically giving TNT the finger.

Correct I do mine rises

I guess I'm thinking grade 3 math when you have a negative number and the negative number gets bigger you say it drops.....

You really think the line will stay stagnant?

The thinking of average Joe will be that the Heat want to embarrass the Spurs. Squares take the Heat, Sharps pound the Spurs before tip.

[jwennlund]

I wouldnt touch this line with a 10 foot poll, I can see MIA going into this game WAY too lazy.

[convick]

Already -12 boys. Wouldn't be surprised if it drops to -13.5/14 before tip.

If you want to bet do it now

Line isnt dropping..

[h3da]

-7 first half

[Big Bear]

Who is Green?

[convick]

Who is Green?

Do you watch any sports guy? Youre about as clueless as they come...

He played for UNC.

[milwaukee mike]

that is a crazy number compared to the other books who are offering 6.5 or 7. BetOnline would be a good option to bet the spurs with the points.

nobody was offering 6.5 or 7 at that time. betonline was the only major book that didn't pull their line, and i got the heat at -9.5, which, like i said, was a gift

[RealMiamiFan85]

I locked it in at 5.5 last night buahhahaha

[hels]

Already -12.5 and -13 at a couple books....

as I said the line will RISE (thanks to the posters who corrected me when I said it may 'drop' to -13.5/-14)

[statdude]

Anyone have any ATS records when Spurs rest?

[nammertl]

does anyone know what this plays like without their starters? might give a better idea of how this game plays out.

[hels]

nobody was offering 6.5 or 7 at that time. betonline was the only major book that didn't pull their line, and i got the heat at -9.5, which, like i said, was a gift

Great pick up Mike

Lots of guys here don't understand value when it's staring them in the face.

[hels]

Anyone have any ATS records when Spurs rest?

Don't know any long term numbers but last year Portland beat them by 40

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/basketball/nba/story/2012-02-22/blazers-rout-spurs/53199996/1

[hels]

Okay found a link that said this about spurs resting players:

For the record, the Spurs have held Duncan, Ginobili and Parker out of the same game seven times in their 10 seasons together; their record is 0-7, with a losing margin of 15 points. Last week’s loss at Utah was closer — the Jazz trailed by as many as eight points in the fourth quarter — but Popovich also did it at Portland Feb. 21 and his team got trounced 137-97.

http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2012/04/17/resting-stars-spurs-play-their-game/

[Sport_Fish]

Starting to think this could be a 15-20+ pt blowout or a 2-3 possession win for Miami, depending on what mentality they're coming in with this game.

[MUHerd37]

Popovich screwed us tonight. Now both games are gonna suck.

[nammertl]

question is whether heat even bother trying now that they know they don't have to compete as hard.

[hels]

question is whether heat even bother trying now that they know they don't have to compete as hard.

May as well win the easy games, right?

Why let up against a second string opponent.

At the end of the season it doesn't matter who you beat, it matters how many wins you have

This is why Pop is resting his best tonight.

[yisman]

Correct I do mine rises

I guess I'm thinking grade 3 math when you have a negative number and the negative number gets bigger you say it drops.....

You really think the line will stay stagnant?

The thinking of average Joe will be that the Heat want to embarrass the Spurs. Squares take the Heat, Sharps pound the Spurs before tip.

it's a huge jump to 12 already for the adjustment. I don't think the market will allow the game to hit 13.

[yisman]

guys ,don't you think this is one of the best trap ?

SA rest their top players ,all punters go large on Miami -12.5 ,some cheques to lebron and CO by bookies, Miami wins by less then 13 points and all punters get burn.

How sure are you that Miami will not underestimate this match seeing that SA has totally ignored it ?

no way of knowing, this is always how it is when one team is either terrible or tanks the game.

It all depends on what the better team wants to do. If the Heat want to win by 25, they could, but who knows how long the starters will go and how much they'll be motivated.

[Darkside Magick]

TNT may as well show episodes of the Mentalist!!!!!

[nammertl]

i think the 1H is the best bet in this game. Heat are going to pound the spurs early on and rest the starters early in 4th quarter.

[AllLogicBets]

I jumped in on Miami -12. Anyone able to track down the TOTALS for the 7 games the Spurs have done this before?

[pellumb341]

It all depends on what the better team wants to do. If the Heat want to win by 25, they could, but who knows how long the starters will go and how much they'll be motivated.

Exactly what i wanted to mean.Miami can beat them by 30+ IF they want , but we can't be sure if they want and how long they will play.

[pellumb341]

i think the 1H is the best bet in this game. Heat are going to pound the spurs early on and rest the starters early in 4th quarter.

I totally agree

[Bluehorseshoe]

I don't understand Popovich. These guys were gone in the fourth quarter last night. They're that delicate they can't play with a night off tomorrow? All so they could have two days off for Memphis. Great.

If it was late in the season it's one thing, but we're talking November.

[yisman]

I don't understand Popovich. These guys were gone in the fourth quarter last night. They're that delicate they can't play with a night off tomorrow? All so they could have two days off for Memphis. Great.

If it was late in the season it's one thing, but we're talking November.

I think he did this early in the season last year as well.

I wonder if there's a list anywhere of the games he's tanked.

I remember one in particular where I bet the fave and the Spurs were a very live 'dog (game was close throughout despite duncan parker and ginobili not playing).

[hels]

I think he did this early in the season last year as well.

I wonder if there's a list anywhere of the games he's tanked.

I remember one in particular where I bet the fave and the Spurs were a very live 'dog (game was close throughout despite duncan parker and ginobili not playing).

Probably against Jazz last year.

[Bluehorseshoe]

I think he did this early in the season last year as well.

I wonder if there's a list anywhere of the games he's tanked.

I remember one in particular where I bet the fave and the Spurs were a very live 'dog (game was close throughout despite duncan parker and ginobili not playing).

It's such a LaRussa move.

Watch how obnoxious he is when they're interviewing during the game tonight. He's going to be such a dick.