Free half point on NFL????
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If half point applied to on/off "3".......one would stand a better chance at being on the positive side. On/Off any other number usually just generates more business for the book.Comment -
skybook does this on football/basketball but only up to $250 and not with 3 or 7Comment -
not when the books max bet on NFL is 50 fukkin dollars palComment -
no, they don't let you have it on key numbers.
but even then.
NO
if you keep track of records look how many you win or lose by 1/2 point
it ain't enough to bury yourself or the book. could be the slim difference between winning, breaking even, losing for some patient folk thoughComment -
not if you keep picking losers...Comment -
BangComment -
dawgystyleComment -
How about a book dumb enough to let you take both sides??
Could you hit enough middles to profit??Comment -
edited by ACL123 at 2:01 pmComment -
you could give a lot of guys 1.5 points and they still couldnt win.
Half point is meaningless, games will move that much on their own, if you find an apex and move that line a half point you still dont gain much.
I put that in a thread awhile ago.
Times the BEST number made a difference in every game. I have also looked at getting a half point (after we know who won) and tallied that. it wasnt that impressive. Even on the games where 3 was relevant. 7 is so small it is not worth mentioning. With or without the half point.
Game has change SIGNIFICANTLY the past 4 years or so these 'key' spreads are almost meaningless these days, not nearly as relevant as they were and even at their height, even then they werent all that relevant. Since 2009 (including play offs) there have been 105 games CLOSE -3. Of those 6 were pushes. BUT of those 105 that closed -3 95 were some other number at some point (with varying vig). Of the 10 that were not available at any other number but 3, NONE of them pushed. But even so 6/105 is 5.7%. A far far cry from when the 'average' was around 10.6%.
Rules change, coaches change, repay changes, whatever, the significance of the number 3 has gotten less and less the past 7 or 8 years. So much that books dont line their games at 3 like they used to. There were usually 45-50 games a season lined -3. The average the past few years has been around 30, and that was with 2010 having 42. 05 had 63 games close -3, 06 had 43, 07 had 51, 08 had 45, since then its been 26, 42, 26, and 11 so far this year a third of the way trough the season.
With the changes I am surprised more books are running that gimmick, but since most have suckers paying for them anyway they really dont have to.Comment -
half point is not meaningless
laying -105 at youwager on fridays is not meaningless
take every discount or advantage you can get, they will pay off in the long runComment -
How many times in the last 300 games have you lost by a 0.5 point?
I'll give you 3 points and you will still lose. (Not allowed to arb/hedge)Comment -
This. If you line shop, watch the market and know when a move is a move, you can get a bigger edge than just with a free half point. There have been CFB games this year where on a total I got a "free" 5-6 points. You just have to recognize the situation, do your hw (and that does not mean reading a forum), and know when the pull the trigger. Sometimes you are wrong, and the line does not move so far in your favor to get a +EV, but at those times you are no worse off than the average dart thrower on SBRComment -
I know I couldn't, I may have pushed on a single wager in my betting career. I either cover with ease or get my ass handed to me.
Oh, and tittywarrior is fat.Comment
