My Model Shows SF Has A 15% Chance Of Winning Today

tony_come · 10-10-12, 12:43 PM

So........they have a chance.

Thx pal

sweep · 10-10-12, 12:44 PM

My model dosnt give a fukk

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 12:44 PM

my model says sf has a 90% chance of winning because brock landers is on cincy

that's the only variable i have to enter

BigDeem5 · 10-10-12, 12:47 PM

I already pounded SF

No coincidences · 10-10-12, 12:48 PM

You want to back Leake at -145, be my guest.

This is a no-play game. Period.

sweep · 10-10-12, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by BigDeem5

I already pounded SF

Pounded meaning how much

wantitall4moi · 10-10-12, 01:08 PM

total throw away game for Cinci, they throw this stiff out there, theyre just lucky Zito is a bigger stiff. Cinci will start their hammer to morrow and hope they can finish it off.

But with these two guys on the mound I dont know why the total is only 8, only because neither team can hit even a little bit I guess.

hard to bet zito at any price but if you can get +140 then you take a shot.

BIGDAY · 10-10-12, 01:11 PM

Pounding SanFran then!

PAYTON20 · 10-10-12, 05:14 PM

Nice model

LizReed44 · 10-10-12, 05:21 PM

Cueto is off the Post Season Roster. Game 5 (if necessary) will be Latos/Cain......advantage SFG.

Reds need this one. They've got 12 outs to get it.

wantitall4moi · 10-10-12, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by wantitall4moi

total throw away game for Cinci, they throw this stiff out there, theyre just lucky Zito is a bigger stiff. Cinci will start their hammer to morrow and hope they can finish it off.

But with these two guys on the mound I dont know why the total is only 8, only because neither team can hit even a little bit I guess.

hard to bet zito at any price but if you can get +140 then you take a shot.

smartest guy in the thread as usual...Over and giants

Mr. Teaser · 10-10-12, 05:52 PM

Model changed when they pulled Zito after 2 plus

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

my model says sf has a 90% chance of winning because brock landers is on cincy

that's the only variable i have to enter

CollegePro · 10-10-12, 06:02 PM

what does your model shows on Orioles??

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by CollegePro

what does your model shows on Orioles??

my model says orioles 90%

BigDofBA · 10-10-12, 06:05 PM

I love when people reference their "model" like they know what the hell they're doing. LOL.

Randomly throwing out some percentage that you think the other team has of winning isn't a model.

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I love when people reference their "model" like they know what the hell they're doing. LOL.

Randomly throwing out some percentage that you think the other team has of winning isn't a model.

correct, but making a model that can be tweaked to spit out a number isn't any better

delpiero7 · 10-10-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

my model says orioles 90%

Is your model Avril Lavigne? Cos I hear she's a boss at capping baseball, 90% may as well be 126% if so.

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 06:11 PM

Originally posted by delpiero7

Is your model Avril Lavigne? Cos I hear she's a boss at capping baseball, 90% may as well be 126% if so.

actually avril is a yankees fan, but can't take them cuz brock is on nyy

Sam Odom · 10-10-12, 06:13 PM

All you need is 'Brock's Model'

worth $100K easily

BigDofBA · 10-10-12, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

correct, but making a model that can be tweaked to spit out a number isn't any better

Exactly. I laugh at all of these models and systems people "say" they have.

There is a reason someone comes up with a new one every day. It's because none of them work. If there ever was a model that worked, everyone would be using it.

Another things that cracks me up is when people say they "capped" a game at a certain number, I ask them before hand what they used to "cap", they can't provide an answer, and then after the game is over they couldn't have been any more wrong.

jjgold · 10-10-12, 06:15 PM

The 15% won

It happens

delpiero7 · 10-10-12, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

All you need is 'Brock's Model'

worth $100K easily

$100k, you having a laugh?

If Brock's model ever hit the stock market it would be worth more than Apple and Facebook combined.

BigDofBA · 10-10-12, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

The 15% won

It happens

The 15% didn't just win, it raped ass, looks like the better team, and has a great chance to win the series.

Mantle7 · 10-10-12, 06:18 PM

My model says I have a 15% chance of getting anal sex if I take her out to a nice Lobster dinner tonight.

milwaukee mike · 10-10-12, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by Mantle7

My model says I have a 15% chance of getting anal sex if I take her out to a nice Lobster dinner tonight.

anal sex is more a product of how drunk and/or loose she is than what kind of dinner you buy her

wantitall4moi · 10-10-12, 07:14 PM

baseball is a bad sport for models anyway, simulators much better. Because they can be run through with a lot of scenarios, like Zito getting pulled early, lincecum going in in X inning and so on. Models are basically good for sports where specific indivuduals arent all that iportant. Although they are OK for the NBA unless you start trying to factor in injuries.

BigDofBA · 10-11-12, 06:15 PM

Giants win the series.