Suicidekings 2012 NFL Thread

[suicidekings]

Falcons -1 (+130) x3

I wrote my thoughts on this game in more detail in 2dabank's thread. Basically I think the opening line was well placed to balance action, but the firing of Castillo does NOTHING for this team's ability to win games. The Eagles through 7 weeks: Offense (27th), Defense (8th), Special Teams (27th). They give up an average of ~8 yards of field position to opponents every time they trade possessions.

I haven't seen a single prediction of the Eagles winning this game that doesn't include a heavy dose of "if they can play mistake-free football", and I don't think they avoid turning the ball over in this game. Expect them to have to overcome a -2 TO margin, and for the Falcons to be very creative in play calling (I love what Koetter and Nolan have done for this team). I like Atlanta to win the game by a FG.

[lyon804]

Thanks Lyon. The only team I've watched more of this year than OSU is Florida, so I feel like I have a pretty good read on the team.

watcha think about Florida this weekend?

[suicidekings]

watcha think about Florida this weekend?

I think laying -7 is not a good idea as Georgia has the opportunity to get themselves back in the race for the SEC East and will play like it. I still like Florida to win the game and will use them in teasers/ML parlays, but the value that existed on Florida in the past few weeks is gone in terms of ATS.

[lyon804]

my thoughts exactly on Florida. I think they are more mentally and physically tough than Georgia.

[suicidekings]

TNF, 10/25 (LIVE: 12:26 1Q, 0-0)

Vikings ML (-235) x5

[suicidekings]

Wish I'd waited until after that punt... Now -210. I understand wanting to get Ponder going early, but run the f'king ball when you have AP in the backfield... No passing game operates without the run, least of all Christian Ponders passing game...

[suicidekings]

10-0 TB

Vikes ML (+168) x3

[suicidekings]

Aggregate: Vikes (-148) x9.95

MIN fumble... pathetic...

[suicidekings]

Tough card this weekend for both NFL & NCAAF...

[hitman09]

haha, i thought only me play a 10 teams parlay each week. Gluck King.

[suicidekings]

Dolphins ML (+103) x2
Seahawks +3 (-110) x2
Seahawks ML (+124) x1
Parlay: Redskins ML / Over 44.5 (+456) x0.5

[2daBank]

like phins...gl sk

[Smutbucket]

ah, first time I noticed this thread, so much clutter, everywhere

good luck today.

[suicidekings]

like phins...gl sk

ah, first time I noticed this thread, so much clutter, everywhere good luck today.

thanks boys.

[suicidekings]

After the Packers-Seahawks debacle, I thought Golden Tate just got lucky on the call, but game after game, he's REALLY good at staying on his route and being in line to catch the ball, forcing defenders to commit bad penalties.

[suicidekings]

Cowboys +2.5 (-104) x2

[ridims]

Cowboys +2.5 (-104) x2

I'm with you sk.. lets get this buddy. I got +3 -110

[suicidekings]

I'm with you sk.. lets get this buddy. I got +3 -110

Just got steamed up at Pinny. I really like the Giants at first glance (at least the opening number), but Dallas just seems like the right play here.

Adding: Cowboys +3 (-119) x2

[ridims]

pinny held nyg -1.5 for a long time while the line climbed everywhere else.

[Dexter]

Falcons -1 (+130) x3

I wrote my thoughts on this game in more detail in 2dabank's thread. Basically I think the opening line was well placed to balance action, but the firing of Castillo does NOTHING for this team's ability to win games. The Eagles through 7 weeks: Offense (27th), Defense (8th), Special Teams (27th). They give up an average of ~8 yards of field position to opponents every time they trade possessions.

I haven't seen a single prediction of the Eagles winning this game that doesn't include a heavy dose of "if they can play mistake-free football", and I don't think they avoid turning the ball over in this game. Expect them to have to overcome a -2 TO margin, and for the Falcons to be very creative in play calling (I love what Koetter and Nolan have done for this team). I like Atlanta to win the game by a FG.

amazing call....

[suicidekings]

pinny held nyg -1.5 for a long time while the line climbed everywhere else.

I just have no faith in line moves that big. +1 to -3 is huge, and I was of the opinion that the Giants should have opened as small faves to start. Pretty sure the books are holding a LOT of Giants money right now by design.

Of course the interceptions are killing us...

[suicidekings]

amazing call....

Thanks buddy.

[suicidekings]

LIVE (23-0 Giants, 11:29 2Q)

Cowboys +19.5 (-119) x3

[suicidekings]

Broncos -6 (-107) x1
Under 55 (-105) x1

[Trackrec]

you're the king of live betting. I wish I could keep up with your updates.

[suicidekings]

Broncos -6 (-107) x1
Under 55 (-105) x1

LIVE (1Q, 0-0)

Under 52.5 (+111) x2

[suicidekings]

Vikings (-148) x9.95

0-1 (-14.75u)

Falcons -1 (+130) x3
Dolphins ML (+103) x2
Seahawks +3 (-110) x2
Seahawks ML (+124) x1
Parlay: Redskins ML / Over 44.5 (+456) x0.5
Cowboys +2.5 (-104) x2
Cowboys +3 (-119) x2
Cowboys +19.5 (-119) x3
Broncos -6 (-107) x1
Under 55 (-105) x1

Under 52.5 (+111) x2

6-5 (+4.02u)

YTD: 46-45 (+17.17u)

[suicidekings]

MNF

Teaser: Arizona +14 / Over 31 (-110) x2

[suicidekings]

LIVE (7-0 SF, 1:53 1Q)

Under 37 (-105) x2

[jinxpro13]

been silently tailing your ncaa picks. love em bro! keep it up plz

[suicidekings]

MNF

Teaser: Arizona +14 / Over 31 (-110) x2
Under 37 (-105) x2

10/29: 1-1 (-0.2u)
YTD: 47-46 (+16.97u)

JUST missed the push on the teaser, if only Fitzgerald could have gotten 1 more yard.

[suicidekings]

been silently tailing your ncaa picks. love em bro! keep it up plz

Probably none this week. I don't really like the card all that much. Maybe Oregon, but I don't like playing big spreads.

[suicidekings]

TNF

Parlay: KC ML / Over 41 (+593) x0.75

[suicidekings]

LIVE (7-0 Chargers, 1Q 10:19)

Chiefs +13 (-119) x1

[suicidekings]

TNF

Parlay: KC ML / Over 41 (+593) x0.75
Chiefs +13 (-119) x1

11/1: 0-2 (-1.94u)
YTD: 47-48 (+15.03u)

The Chiefs were looking great for 3 quarters...