NE down to -5.5?

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  • mcwmiamisc
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-30-10
    • 238

    #1
    NE down to -5.5?
    I know every one is on NE. And I don't think they will win by 13+ but is this a strong ML game where they still could win anywhere from 3-10 points or does Tenn have a legitimate chance with Locker. I know the SB loser curse like 3-12 ATS and 2-12 SU

    But come on... Brady vs Locker.... enough said
  • Umad Brasiek
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-29-11
    • 130

    #2
    Apparently the loser of the superbowl hasn't covered ATS in their season opener for 12 years.

    I mean its the Pats, you wouldn't often go against them, but it is something worth thinking about.

    But records are made to be broken, so 13th time lucky right?
    Comment
    • White Rhino
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-05-09
      • 601

      #3
      where do you see it a -5.5? My book is at -7
      Comment
      • bulichm
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-10-10
        • 181

        #4
        When I was looking at this game the biggest questions that remain are the OL of NE. If it's as bad as some of the analyst say then you've got problems and a lot of 2 TE sets. Then on D with all of the new blood it will be a question of how soon will it take for them to jell and that if they do.
        If they had even last years OL in tact I would have speculated on them having another undefeated season with their offseason upgrades. So I'm willing to wait and see them in action.
        Comment
        • bulichm
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-10-10
          • 181

          #5
          Originally posted by White Rhino
          where do you see it a -5.5? My book is at -7
          5dimes
          Comment
          • NathanUK
            SBR Rookie
            • 10-11-07
            • 15

            #6
            5Dimes still has it at -7, as far as I see.
            Comment
            • mcwmiamisc
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-30-10
              • 238

              #7
              sbgglobal
              Comment
              • k13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-16-10
                • 18104

                #8
                Those trends are irrelevant.
                Comment
                • mcwmiamisc
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-30-10
                  • 238

                  #9
                  Yes but with 90% on NE it drops from -7 to -5.5 Vegas isn't stupid.... NE will not win by more than 14. I would predict a 24-21 score probably being in a back door cover with NE up 24-14 and TN scoring a TD late. Don't see how NE will win -5.5 from numbers I see but I have them ML so I hope they win at the least...
                  Comment
                  • musky123
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-03-12
                    • 236

                    #10
                    6 at Bovada
                    Comment
                    • k13
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-16-10
                      • 18104

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mcwmiamisc
                      Yes but with 90% on NE it drops from -7 to -5.5 Vegas isn't stupid.... NE will not win by more than 14. I would predict a 24-21 score probably being in a back door cover with NE up 24-14 and TN scoring a TD late. Don't see how NE will win -5.5 from numbers I see but I have them ML so I hope they win at the least...
                      Dropping off key numbers IS relevant.
                      Comment
                      • Blazermaniac
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-30-08
                        • 556

                        #12
                        One thing I learned from betting against Belichshit is that you do not mess with the man. Either you take his team or you leave it alone. He has a vendetta against the league for punishing him on his cheating. If the line drops like mentioned above....Titans will cover against any other team. You watch....the moment I put my money on his as....his team will all a suddenly doesn't know how to play. He has cost me so much money.
                        Comment
                        • bobbyk1133
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-05-10
                          • 2245

                          #13
                          The correct line for this game should be NE -3. With their history of overperforming their stats and ATS, then -3.5 tops. The problem is the Patriots are almost spread-proof. Bet against them at your own risk. There's much better options on the board.
                          Comment
                          • bulichm
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-10-10
                            • 181

                            #14
                            Originally posted by NathanUK
                            5Dimes still has it at -7, as far as I see.
                            Not at -110, they are offering -7 at +120.
                            Comment
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