2012 NFL System - JM and Modified

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  • on3
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-10
    • 2197

    #106
    system record: 1-0
    mod system record: 0-0
    units: +1

    week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):


    (A) Detroit +5.5 @
    Philadelphia Eagles to win 1 unit

    week 7 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

    buffalo
    tenn
    ny jets (pending)
    jacksonville
    arizona (MOD)
    cincy (MOD)
    san diego (MOD)

    week 8 potential plays
    (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

    dallas
    arizona
    oakland
    tampa bay
    green bay
    cincy
    washington
    cleveland
    carolina
    denver
    san diego
    Comment
    • on3
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-10
      • 2197

      #107
      just wanted to give a small piece of advice. it takes very little vegas money to have the line move between 4.5 to 6 so dont go out buying points to get the +5.5, the value at +4.5 is about the same at +5.5. value starts to become significant at +4 or +6. if you want to wait for a +6, thats fine, but if the line drops to +4.5, i would not recommend buying the point to get to +5.5.
      Comment
      • MARCUS
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-19-09
        • 358

        #108
        Originally posted by cambertos
        Thanks for that. He's such a prick
        Comment
        • ChiLLx
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-24-11
          • 5412

          #109
          Originally posted by on3
          just wanted to give a small piece of advice. it takes very little vegas money to have the line move between 4.5 to 6 so dont go out buying points to get the +5.5, the value at +4.5 is about the same at +5.5. value starts to become significant at +4 or +6. if you want to wait for a +6, thats fine, but if the line drops to +4.5, i would not recommend buying the point to get to +5.5.
          It already dropped to 5 congrats to those that got 5.5 or 6
          Comment
          • hagball52
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-10
            • 3053

            #110
            Morrison's Invincible system had 4 (C) bet losses last year. Don't know what games he was playing to claim he was undefeated. What a douchebag!
            Comment
            • MARCUS
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-19-09
              • 358

              #111
              Originally posted by hagball52
              Morrison's Invincible system had 4 (C) bet losses last year. Don't know what games he was playing to claim he was undefeated. What a douchebag!
              ...your way 2 kind.....i've sent him emails calling him a lying prick..douchbag..roosterlicker..didn't phase him!
              Comment
              • hagball52
                SBR MVP
                • 09-22-10
                • 3053

                #112
                Originally posted by MARCUS
                ...your way 2 kind.....i've sent him emails calling him a lying prick..douchbag..roosterlicker..didn't phase him!
                Yeah I'm sure he gets that all the time and has become numb to it. All he cares about is bilking newcomers out of their money. I also have emailed him several times calling him out but he ignores the truth. Maybe some day we'll see an article somewhere where somebody beat him to a pulp and left him for dead.
                Comment
                • MARCUS
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-19-09
                  • 358

                  #113
                  Originally posted by hagball52
                  Yeah I'm sure he gets that all the time and has become numb to it. All he cares about is bilking newcomers out of their money. I also have emailed him several times calling him out but he ignores the truth. Maybe some day we'll see an article somewhere where somebody beat him to a pulp and left him for dead.
                  ..he wont hang at the hilton anymore.
                  Comment
                  • jmaldonado
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-12-09
                    • 28

                    #114
                    on3, can you confirm what the plays are for this week? thx!
                    Comment
                    • jmaldonado
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-12-09
                      • 28

                      #115
                      Originally posted by jmaldonado
                      on3, can you confirm what the plays are for this week? thx!
                      never mind, all set. sorry for the stupid question, I thought the DET play was a result from last week.
                      Comment
                      • NZT-48
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-29-11
                        • 522

                        #116
                        what do u say on3 when the freaking game is now at +3 like wow lol unreal but I think u are supposed to buy it to +3 1/2 no?



                        Originally posted by on3
                        just wanted to give a small piece of advice. it takes very little vegas money to have the line move between 4.5 to 6 so dont go out buying points to get the +5.5, the value at +4.5 is about the same at +5.5. value starts to become significant at +4 or +6. if you want to wait for a +6, thats fine, but if the line drops to +4.5, i would not recommend buying the point to get to +5.5.
                        Comment
                        • hagball52
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-10
                          • 3053

                          #117
                          Morrison will take the highest pointspread available for the week. All value is lost at 3.5 if it opened at 5.5. You either need to buy at least a point to get it to 4.5 or find another team and tease it.

                          Here's Morrison's email if anyone is interested.


                          Here are the upcoming Invincible NFL Betting System bet(s):

                          Detroit Lioins [A] bet

                          Always bet on the point spread if the team you're betting on is the
                          underdog (which happens most of the time), and on the money line
                          if the team you're betting for is the favorite. An underdog team
                          will always have a positive number in the point spread, while a
                          favorite will always have a negative number in the point spread.

                          I also advise buying half a point (.5) if the team you're betting
                          on has an exact point spread of either +3 or +7, and buy 1 point if
                          they have an exact point spread of either +2.5 or +6.5.

                          Note that if you're betting on the point spread, then as long as
                          the team you're betting on is able to cover the point spread, you
                          will win your wager, regardless if they had won or lost the game.
                          For example, if your team has a point spread of +6, and they end up
                          losing the game by 5 points, then yes, you would have won the bet
                          since your team did not lose by more than 6 points.

                          I recommend using BetOl ([IMG]chrome://litmus-ff/skin/small/lvl2.png[/IMG]http://sportsbettingchamp.com/betol)
                          Comment
                          • DustyDiamond
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-19-09
                            • 772

                            #118
                            Nice Win today!!
                            Comment
                            • Kev the Brit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-09
                              • 2027

                              #119
                              Bet365 gave me +3.5 for -110 (hurrah!). Couldn't think of any reason to buy up to 4.5 or higher. I buy the points up to 3.5, 7.5 and 10.5 only. The regular spread price was -110 and I don't know why they gave me the .5 for nothing. But who cares.

                              Kev the Content
                              Comment
                              • MARCUS
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 06-19-09
                                • 358

                                #120
                                Originally posted by MARCUS
                                ..DOG WITH'A BITE!!..MN/LN $$ LOCK'N AND LOAD UP MEN!!
                                ...MN/LN...$$$...
                                Comment
                                • on3
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-23-10
                                  • 2197

                                  #121
                                  system record: 2-0
                                  mod system record: 0-0
                                  units: +2

                                  week 7 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):


                                  (A) Arizona (MOD) +5.5
                                  @ Minnesota Vikings for 1 unit
                                  (A) Cincy (MOD) +1.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers for 1 unit

                                  week 8 potential plays
                                  (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                  jacksonville
                                  san diego (MOD) (pending)
                                  arizona
                                  cincy
                                  minnesota (MOD)
                                  san fran (MOD)
                                  houston (MOD)

                                  week 9 potential plays
                                  (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                  carolina
                                  denver (pending)
                                  san diego (pending)
                                  indianapolis
                                  kansas city
                                  philly
                                  new england
                                  pittsburgh
                                  minnesota
                                  san fran
                                  houston
                                  Comment
                                  • on3
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-23-10
                                    • 2197

                                    #122
                                    Cincy currently at +3 (-130) and Arizona at +6 (-110)
                                    Comment
                                    • alexknyc
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-22-11
                                      • 861

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by on3
                                      Cincy currently at +3 (-130) and Arizona at +6 (-110)
                                      -130 is what you'd get buying a full point at 5 dimes. I thought this system doesn't buy points.
                                      Comment
                                      • on3
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-23-10
                                        • 2197

                                        #124
                                        the system buys half points on key numbers (3 to 3.5, 7 to 7.5). right now the cincy line is +2.5 (-110) and +3 is (-130). im just listing current odds. the system record is graded on the post which lists the plays.
                                        Comment
                                        • cleonhr
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-22-10
                                          • 586

                                          #125
                                          San Diego should be also MOD play, doesnt it?
                                          Comment
                                          • jcygts6
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-05-09
                                            • 3316

                                            #126
                                            Kolb is out for arizona. He is their best player. I would err with caution since mr. skeleton is starting
                                            DO WORK + KROW OD
                                            do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                            od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                            Comment
                                            • on3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 2197

                                              #127
                                              San Diego will be a play week 8 because they have a bye this coming week.
                                              Comment
                                              • on3
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-23-10
                                                • 2197

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by jcygts6
                                                Kolb is out for arizona. He is their best player. I would err with caution since mr. skeleton is starting
                                                Kolb is not, by any means, Arizona's best player. He is a horrible QB.
                                                Comment
                                                • NZT-48
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-29-11
                                                  • 522

                                                  #129
                                                  hey one3 I didnt exactly do what I call a backtest if u can give me the full plays for last yr I will at least do it for last yr b/c once the 1st 2 plays of last season lost I kind of lost interest in the system and didnt properly keep up to date with the actual plays throughout the full season.....but the 1st 2 plays I did go back and look and they both won on D Bets sooo yeah maybe something to consider.....even though JM mentions nothing of the sort of doing any D Bets......me personally I am not a fan of it but sometimes it can and does make sense so let me know on3 if you can send me all of last yrs plays and stuff and I will do the research


                                                  I have the plays for 2009 and 2010 and those years according to my info we didnt lose any plays it was only last yr was a disaster....so send them on if you have on3.....heres what I kept up with Im sure it is incomplete......


                                                  October 2011
                                                  1. Rams 10/2/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Loss/C Bet Loss) - (D Bet Won)
                                                  2. Dolphins 10/2/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Loss/C Bet Loss) - (D Bet Win)
                                                  3. Jaguars 10/9/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)
                                                  4. Eagles 10/9/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)
                                                  5. Jets 10/17/11 (A Bet Win) * Didnt mention it or send out as a play*
                                                  6. Cardinals 10/23/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MARCUS
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-19-09
                                                    • 358

                                                    #130
                                                    ..on3 not 1-3..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • on3
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                      • 2197

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by NZT-48
                                                      hey one3 I didnt exactly do what I call a backtest if u can give me the full plays for last yr I will at least do it for last yr b/c once the 1st 2 plays of last season lost I kind of lost interest in the system and didnt properly keep up to date with the actual plays throughout the full season.....but the 1st 2 plays I did go back and look and they both won on D Bets sooo yeah maybe something to consider.....even though JM mentions nothing of the sort of doing any D Bets......me personally I am not a fan of it but sometimes it can and does make sense so let me know on3 if you can send me all of last yrs plays and stuff and I will do the research


                                                      I have the plays for 2009 and 2010 and those years according to my info we didnt lose any plays it was only last yr was a disaster....so send them on if you have on3.....heres what I kept up with Im sure it is incomplete......


                                                      October 2011
                                                      1. Rams 10/2/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Loss/C Bet Loss) - (D Bet Won)
                                                      2. Dolphins 10/2/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Loss/C Bet Loss) - (D Bet Win)
                                                      3. Jaguars 10/9/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)
                                                      4. Eagles 10/9/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)
                                                      5. Jets 10/17/11 (A Bet Win) * Didnt mention it or send out as a play*
                                                      6. Cardinals 10/23/11 (A Bet Loss/B Bet Win)

                                                      took a look at the thread last year. it is in the first post of this thread and it has the records/units there too. the first post of this thread also has the records and units.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NZT-48
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-29-11
                                                        • 522

                                                        #132
                                                        gotcha thanks but can u do me a favor brother and tell me which page your final results are on b/c there is a lot of pages to sift thru is all on last yrs thread.......


                                                        Originally posted by on3
                                                        took a look at the thread last year. it is in the first post of this thread and it has the records/units there too. the first post of this thread also has the records and units.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GGPLAYER
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-26-09
                                                          • 2981

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by jcygts6
                                                          Kolb is out for arizona. He is their best player. I would err with caution since mr. skeleton is starting
                                                          I might give that to Fitz
                                                          Comment
                                                          • on3
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-23-10
                                                            • 2197

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by NZT-48
                                                            gotcha thanks but can u do me a favor brother and tell me which page your final results are on b/c there is a lot of pages to sift thru is all on last yrs thread.......
                                                            if youre only looking for the final result, it is in the FIRST post of this thread. on last year's thread the final results are on the LAST page. come on man, that took literally 5 seconds of effort.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MARCUS
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-19-09
                                                              • 358

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by on3
                                                              if youre only looking for the final result, it is in the FIRST post of this thread. on last year's thread the final results are on the LAST page. come on man, that took literally 5 seconds of effort.
                                                              ..lay z..cheap..parasites.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jcygts6
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-05-09
                                                                • 3316

                                                                #136
                                                                Yeah on3... But still how can you trust a guy named skeleton
                                                                DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                                do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                                od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                                  • 2027

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Hi on3,

                                                                  You're doing a great job, as always. However, I do have a suggestion which might make your task a little easier:

                                                                  Would it be convenient for you to post the upcoming plays after the last match of the preceeding week, so you don't waste time writing "pending". A post on, say, Mon/Tue night would be completely unambiguous with no what ifs, etc.

                                                                  But only if it is convenient to you.

                                                                  Keep up the great work and lets make some cash this season.

                                                                  kind regards

                                                                  Kev the Follower
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Andy3568
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-17-10
                                                                    • 615

                                                                    #138
                                                                    For those who waited, I believe the Arizona line got up to +7, increasing to +7.5 after buying 1/2 point. That means Arizona will have been a win for some. Cincy's a loss no matter what line you got.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • on3
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                                      • 2197

                                                                      #139
                                                                      strict rules, lines posted when i list the plays will be used to determine records. closing lines will determine plays. therefore, ARZ was a (MOD) loss, but will not be a regular (A) bet JM play.

                                                                      if your (A) bet on ARZ won (+7.5), then do not carry on. if it lost, then play the (B) bet.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • on3
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-23-10
                                                                        • 2197

                                                                        #140
                                                                        system record: 2-0
                                                                        (A: 2-0, B: 0-0, C: 0-0)
                                                                        mod system record: 0-0
                                                                        (A: 0-2, B: 0-0, C: 0-0)
                                                                        units: -0.2

                                                                        week 8 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):


                                                                        (B) Arizona (MOD) +7.5
                                                                        (-130) vs. San Francisco for 2 units
                                                                        (A) San Diego (MOD) -2.5 @ Cleveland Browns for 1 unit

                                                                        week 9 potential plays
                                                                        (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                                        (B) Cincy (MOD) vs. Denver Broncos for 2 units
                                                                        (A) Cincy vs. Denver Broncos for 1 unit
                                                                        carolina

                                                                        san diego
                                                                        baltimore (MOD)

                                                                        week 10 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                                        kansas city
                                                                        philly
                                                                        tampa bay
                                                                        st louis
                                                                        baltimore
                                                                        cleveland
                                                                        buffalo

                                                                        Comment
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