Teaser Time

[crt253]

Been on a roll with these the past 2 weeks, here is my play for week 15

6 pt teaser: 200 to win 900

Pats pk

Raiders +7

Titans -.5

Cardinals -.5

Giants -1

Thoughts

The obvious fear here is the Tebow factor, but the last time the Broncos faced a team with a potent offense (Detroit), Tebow could not keep pace. The New England secondary sucks, but Tebow won't be able to exploit it until late in the game most likely, where I'm assuming the Patriots will have already built a substantial lead. Denver's number 2 cb suffered a concussion last week, which bodes well for Brady. Like the Titans even more with Locker starting, his mobility allows Tenn's average wideouts to get open more frequently. Raiders should rebound vs Detroits one dimensional offense, Detroit will probably play sloppy and undisciplined, especially traveling out west. Cardinals still pushing for a playoff spot, team seems to be firing on all cylinders. Browns do not have the skill position players to keep up in the dome, who knows how skittish Mccoy will be after last weeks hit. Giants should hopefully roll as they now control their own destiny.

[slacker00]

Looks solid.

[Big Bear]

i like the value 200 to win 900 sounds nice.

I don't trust the Cardinals and if it were me I would feel more comfortable with Lions +7 than Raiders +7. The Patriots "should" win but Tebow just seems like he can't lose right now.

[crt253]

Value is solid, the Cardinals are probably the pick I have the second most confidence in. At home they are a good team. I wouldn't be shocked by a Browns cover...maybe some backdoor bs where they lose by 6, but I can't see a Browns team putting up enough points to win a road game in a hostile environment. At a first glance the Lions look like an easy play, but their secondary is banged up, Moore and Ford could both be back which would be huge for Palmer. The Raiders defense will rebound...betting NFL is all about regression to the mean and not overreacting to the previous week's results

[Chance2087]

...betting NFL is all about regression to the mean and not overreacting to the previous week's results

So True! I also like Chiefs +20. Green Bay hasnt been smashing teams when they play away from home, and with their injuries and the Chiefs 10th ranked Pass D, I could see it tough to cover roughly 3 TDs, even with their goldenboy.

[p19101]

Not sure about Raiders but I like the other picks.

[RAVENSFAN]

Not sure about Raiders but I like the other picks.

Feel exact same way. Gonna play it minus the Raiders. OR maybe add one.....thoughts on the next best substitution?

[Ch Br]

Not sure about Raiders but I like the other picks.

i agree about this comment, but then again Det is no world beather themselves ahahahah

Which Stafford will show up, the gunslinger, or the pouty 6yr old who quits during adversity?????

[Ch Br]

Feel exact same way. Gonna play it minus the Raiders. OR maybe add one.....thoughts on the next best substitution?

replace raiders with a Bengals PK @ Rams

[ManBearPig]

replace raiders with a Bengals PK @ Rams

The Rams are bad and are playing like they don't even care about winning. Just watching them play Monday was pathetic and Bradford looked about 75% at best. Cincy lost last week and is fighting for a playoff spot, expect a hungry team on the road against a team not nearly as interested. This would be a pretty solid replacement at a PK. I'm looking at CIN as a play, but want to make sure I'm not missing anything because it's one of those games that seems to easy which always makes me nervous.

[Goat Milk]

yeah who on the raiders is going to guard the nfl's best wr?

routte? the most penalized cornerback in the nfl....good luck...

raiders are one of the worst teams in the afc

[Jutzu]

Raiders might kill you

[crt253]

The Lions didnt cover 7 playing against the Vikings in a dome...why would they cover on a grass field across the country vs a team fighting for its playoff life

[Ch Br]

yeah who on the raiders is going to guard the nfl's best wr?

routte? the most penalized cornerback in the nfl....good luck...

raiders are one of the worst teams in the afc

Not to mention 2 more Wrs got hurt, on an already depleted receiving corps, went down last week...

AND HUFF, arguably their best db, injured a Hammy last week----------> fade route to Megatron FTW

Wtf is with foot injuries in Oakland, is practice field so ghetto that it doesnt get repaired????? Get some Dr Schools in those practice spikes already, you cheap bastards

[Ch Br]

The Rams are bad and are playing like they don't even care about winning. Just watching them play Monday was pathetic and Bradford looked about 75% at best. Cincy lost last week and is fighting for a playoff spot, expect a hungry team on the road against a team not nearly as interested. This would be a pretty solid replacement at a PK. I'm looking at CIN as a play, but want to make sure I'm not missing anything because it's one of those games that seems to easy which always makes me nervous.

lol thats why its a teaser to a pk.....

besides if you dont like the line in the first place, you shouldnt tease a line into something you find 'mildly comfortable'...

****** if u wanna win in teasers, I believe the best Rule is: tease what you like to EVEN MORE OF THE ADVANTAGE YOU FAVOR then u dont sweat the fu<k outta it during the entire card

BOL all

[p19101]

replace raiders with a Bengals PK @ Rams

This is prob what I woulda done as well, in fact if you do we have all the same games except I have mine split on several teasers. Check my blog for details...

[Speedy88]

I'd tease the falcons down. I don't see how the Jags stay within 7 points of them. Atlanta is unstoppable at home, and lets not forget how bad the Jags are. Take out that Tampa Bay game last week, and the Jags simply can't score the ball.