Machine Choice: Ravens at Jaguars

[Machine Choice]

Machine Choice Football: 25-13 (66%)

The only way Baltimore doesn't win this by double digits is if Flacco lays one of his classic road eggs. I'm gonna go ahead and hope he only throws 1 pick in this game. Other than that, I don't see the Jags doing much even if they get a couple of turnovers. Blaine Gabbert is completing only 48% of his passes, and I don't see Jones-Drew getting anything going against the Ravens' #3 rush defense.

It's probably gonna take four quarters, but eventually the Ravens are gonna wear out the Jags with a constant dose of Ray Rice and a defense that will probably physically hurt Gabbert at some point in the game. He's already endured 14 sacks this year, bet your ass the Ravens will add to that total.

If the Ravens come out motivated and play clean ball, they'll win this by 14+. They're 4-1 ATS this year, and after seeing the Steelers win yesterday they'll need to keep their division lead in tact.

I'll play the percentages and hope I get Dr. Jekyll Flacco and not Mr. Hyde Flacco

Ravens 24
Jaguars 13

RAVENS -10
$392 to win $357

[paranoyd androyd]

hate swallowing this much road chalk but it's ravens or pass, gabbert will be a deer in headlights without much of a home crowd and franchise in flux

[georgekobe8]

Just giving me more confidence in my parlay ravens -10 and U38.5

[riffraff24]

Rollin with it. Thanks Machine and GL to you!

[GunShard]

What I notice is that favorites win Monday Night Football games most of the time.

[gimpy]

Just giving me more confidence in my parlay ravens -10 and U38.5

U38.5 is something I could possibly be scared of. BOL

[chrisharvard01]

Surprised you aren't laying the UND here Machine, even though I don't follow you enough to know if you even play totals.

Gimpy is right, anything under 40 is tough in NFL to bet under but games like the browns 6-3 win make you understand it's certainly possible.

I think the UNDER is the safe play here, but I agree with your final score analysis.

PS: change your avatar back to the old one pal

[AceKingHigh]

Sticking with your pick Machine! Lets go Baltimore!!!!!! SCORE SOME TD'S!!!!

[Veets]

Under is a safe play but watch out for those pick 6's that the Balt. D is so capable of doing every game, especially against a rookie QB. I am rolling on the over monday night lights Ravens SHINE.

[Pivotpoint]

Good luck tonight. We're on the same page here. Did a write -up last night and saw this Ravens 27 - Jags 13. I booked it yesterday at Ravens -9 1/2 . Markets up big now and feeling lucky so added a two team teaser Ravens - 3 1/2 and Ravens OV + 33 . Lets keep this streak going and build the bankroll for the upcoming weekend. What happened to the guys last night arguing about the 1/2 point buy off 14? Stopped at a light this morning and tossed a guy a buck for washing my windshield. He had a soiled Colts t-shirt and was muttering something how he lost his bottle deposit bank on the Colts. He must have been a "Sharp".

[bigsmitty]

Agreed Machine. Good luck guys.

[NoHero]

I'm rolling with you, Machine. Good luck boys!

[5mike5]

RAVENS -9.5 at -118 easy!!!!!!!!!!!

[scarface0800]

good luck bro

[tombrady]

i hope this game will be over by half time like yesterday.... BOL to all baltimore and the over .

[numismatist]

Good luck machine.

[AC Executive]

-10...im with you!!...GL

[Machine Choice]

At this point, even if Jax doesn't score another point, The Ravens need 17 points for me to win. I don't see that happening. I was worried about a cold Baltimore offense, and that is what I got.

At this point, less than 20% chance of covering. Bankroll management.

[Pick'nParlays]

waiting for a big special teams play.....

[gunnersgun]

lol, so in your last 14 plays you're 12-2, inluding tonight i will have trailed u three times with the other 2 being the zona/fiu ml play and wvu -14...lol fml

[Machine Choice]

waiting for a big special teams play.....

It will require either a special teams miracle or a scoring turnover or both. Flacco is not going to get it done tonight obviously. He is more hot/cold and fickle than a gold-digging bitch.

[csknight3]

Pick six

[Machine Choice]

lol, so in your last 14 plays you're 12-2, inluding tonight i will have trailed u three times with the other 2 being the zona/fiu ml play and wvu -14...lol fml

LOL, I'll choose to look at it this way: I'm gonna lose this play on the worst half of offensive football that Balti has had in their FRANCHISE HISTORY. It takes historical shit for me to lose.

[Machine Choice]

Great, and now Pollard called for a PF for playing football. What else can go wrong???

[csknight3]

WOW