JAX +10 or possibly even +11

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    JAX +10 or possibly even +11
    This SNF is going to freak everyone out and make it seem like Monday's game will go in a similar lopsided direction due to the talent gap between the two teams.

    Don't let it. Jags will cover.

  • WinningIsKeY
    SBR MVP
    • 10-17-11
    • 1200

    #2
    Agree will wait to bet before game see if the spread rises GL get money!
    ALERT! changed- BAL ROUT- $$$
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      This SNF is going to freak everyone out and make it seem like Monday's game will go in a similar lopsided direction due to the talent gap between the two teams. Don't let it. Jags will cover.


      Fading the Ravens is a very scary propisition right now


      Not only are they 4-1, all 4 wins were by at least 15 points (including wins against 2 or 3 likely playoff teams in the Jets, Steelers and Texans). They're doing all this despite a mediocre start to the season by Joe Flacco whose passer rating is well below last season's numbers. IMO you take out their one let down game against the Titans where they did not play up to their usual intensity and they've looked like the best team in football



      With that being said, your absolute only chance of a cover here is a terrible offensive outing by the Ravens. The jags offense with a bad oline and a rookie QB will generate very little offense against a ferocious ravens defense... I would be shocked if the jags score more than 14 points or so in this game



      You're looking at a 24-7 type game here
      Comment
      • Balco10
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-11-10
        • 5478

        #4
        You get 11.5 at 5 dimes now.
        Comment
        • ShogunRua
          SBR MVP
          • 12-23-09
          • 4668

          #5
          Originally posted by brahmabull117
          Fading the Ravens is a very scary propisition right now


          Not only are they 4-1, all 4 wins were by at least 15 points (including wins against 2 or 3 likely playoff teams in the Jets, Steelers and Texans). They're doing all this despite a mediocre start to the season by Joe Flacco whose passer rating is well below last season's numbers. IMO you take out their one let down game against the Titans where they did not play up to their usual intensity and they've looked like the best team in football



          With that being said, your absolute only chance of a cover here is a terrible offensive outing by the Ravens. The jags offense with a bad oline and a rookie QB will generate very little offense against a ferocious ravens defense... I would be shocked if the jags score more than 14 points or so in this game



          You're looking at a 24-7 type game here
          yes yes, everyone on SBR already knows you like the Ravens here along with any other team favored by 10 or more.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by brahmabull117
            Fading the Ravens is a very scary propisition right now


            Not only are they 4-1, all 4 wins were by at least 15 points (including wins against 2 or 3 likely playoff teams in the Jets, Steelers and Texans). They're doing all this despite a mediocre start to the season by Joe Flacco whose passer rating is well below last season's numbers. IMO you take out their one let down game against the Titans where they did not play up to their usual intensity and they've looked like the best team in football



            With that being said, your absolute only chance of a cover here is a terrible offensive outing by the Ravens. The jags offense with a bad oline and a rookie QB will generate very little offense against a ferocious ravens defense... I would be shocked if the jags score more than 14 points or so in this game



            You're looking at a 24-7 type game here
            I can't believe you're still posting.

            Did you not get ass-raped this weekend?

            Thanks for the advice chief.
            Comment
            • brahmabull117
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-08-10
              • 8622

              #7
              Originally posted by ShogunRua
              yes yes, everyone on SBR already knows you like the Ravens here along with any other team favored by 10 or more.

              no I have the ravens in a teaser down to 1.5



              IMO it's free money, I would give you less than 5% chance that the jaguars can beat this ferocious ravens defense starting a seemingly clueless rookie QB
              Comment
              • brahmabull117
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 8622

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                I can't believe you're still posting.

                Did you not get ass-raped this weekend?

                Thanks for the advice chief.

                I went 1-5 in college this week - sht happens though, I'm still well over 60% in college for the season




                I hit one huge teaser in the NFL today with the chargers, seahawks and packers so I have recooped most of my losses
                Comment
                • ShogunRua
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-23-09
                  • 4668

                  #9
                  Originally posted by brahmabull117
                  I went 1-5 in college this week - sht happens though, I'm still well over 60% in college for the season




                  I hit one huge teaser in the NFL today with the chargers, seahawks and packers so I have recooped most of my losses
                  1-5??

                  1-8 at the VERY VERY least. And of course you made a HUGE bet on a teaser to win most of it back.
                  You can't make this sh it up.
                  Comment
                  • dynamite140
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-05-08
                    • 4958

                    #10
                    Originally posted by brahmabull117
                    I went 1-5 in college this week - sht happens though, I'm still well over 60% in college for the season




                    I hit one huge teaser in the NFL today with the chargers, seahawks and packers so I have recooped most of my losses


                    No point in using your time talking to someone who looks at line movement 12 hours a day and then unloads his $20 bets?
                    Comment
                    • lunchbawks
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-10
                      • 12873

                      #11
                      jags are going to get raped
                      Comment
                      • chrisharvard01
                        Restricted User
                        • 10-24-08
                        • 2943

                        #12
                        DREW is a monster
                        Comment
                        • WinningIsKeY
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-17-11
                          • 1200

                          #13
                          First half line mnf -6 1/2 ravens NOW lol(will go up to 7 or 7 1/2), call me but i pounded it
                          JAX wont generate any rythm on the big MNF stage GL all!
                          Comment
                          • Producer2627
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-15-11
                            • 333

                            #14
                            Im also taking the jags, and I will also bet the under will happen
                            Comment
                            • GimpedMaster
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-15-10
                              • 764

                              #15
                              Have these been posted yet today? They seem relevant right now.




                              Comment
                              • Vitooch
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-11
                                • 3470

                                #16
                                Reading this thread has completely lowered my confidence in betting Ravens at -9 1/2.

                                Bhramabull is a clown. You should see the garbage he posted on the MMA betting forum.
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #17
                                  Except that Jacksonville relies very heavily on their running game while featuring abysmal passing from Gabbert. The limited production he's had this season has largely come in the second half when the games were out of reach. Granted, the Jags have faced good defensive teams this season, but Baltimore has very strong defense against the run, and will absolutely force Gabbert to throw the ball more than he'd like. Jacksonville will be forced into one-dimensional play and have a very hard time sustaining drives.

                                  Their only chance is to slow the game down with long possessions and for the above-mentioned reasons, I really doubt that will happen. The books are charging a premium price here with this line, but given the specifics as to how these teams will match up, I can't really say it's unwarranted. Jacksonville succeeds only when they can establish their ground game and wear away at a team's defense steadily. This is not the team to do this against.

                                  I'm not overly interested in betting on this game but I suspect that Baltimore will be very aggressive in the first half and almost definitely be the first to score in this game so you can do better in live betting. Even if you get +11, you're taking a bad line on a bad team that doesn't have the explosiveness to put the Ravens on their heels, even coming out of a bye.

                                  Not a good bet, IMO.
                                  Comment
                                  • blackeyeshamus
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-19-11
                                    • 6632

                                    #18
                                    hahahahahah shogun rua, no co, and crew...
                                    now I'm leaning toward jacksonville for the cover.
                                    jacksonville can play defense, too. let the public
                                    continue pounding bmore, and then hit jax 1x...
                                    my bookie thinks I made a f@#kin' deal with the devil:
                                    going 8-1 for 34.50 in the NCAA on saturday. today:
                                    hey, shamus... how you doin'?
                                    oh, I'm all right. how about yourself?
                                    all right! I guess the hell you're all right! how the f@#k... (etc)
                                    pushed after a long day in the NFL... starting slow
                                    with a unit on the dixie kittens tomorrow night...
                                    good luck, gentlemen! may the force be witcha...
                                    Comment
                                    • jalen__rose
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-19-10
                                      • 165

                                      #19
                                      remember what happened to the jags when they played the jets? And remember what the ravens did to the jets? IM POUNDING RAVENS -10.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • blackeyeshamus
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-19-11
                                        • 6632

                                        #20
                                        y'all ever been to jacksonville?
                                        oh and the "if A loses to B, and C defeats B, then A will lose to C" logic?
                                        good luck with that, brah! see you in church...
                                        thanks for all of your hard work cappin' games, gentlemen!
                                        let's start another great week! oh, yeah...
                                        Comment
                                        • DHK
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-30-11
                                          • 870

                                          #21
                                          Already on Ravens -9.5, should be an EASY win..surprised it's not -13.5 at the least
                                          Comment
                                          • Urbanwildlife
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-06-11
                                            • 5958

                                            #22
                                            On the site that I use the juice already jumped to-128 at -9.5 spread
                                            Comment
                                            • brahmabull117
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 8622

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
                                              hahahahahah shogun rua, no co, and crew... now I'm leaning toward jacksonville for the cover. jacksonville can play defense, too. let the public continue pounding bmore, and then hit jax 1x... my bookie thinks I made a f@#kin' deal with the devil: going 8-1 for 34.50 in the NCAA on saturday. today: hey, shamus... how you doin'? oh, I'm all right. how about yourself? all right! I guess the hell you're all right! how the f@#k... (etc) pushed after a long day in the NFL... starting slow with a unit on the dixie kittens tomorrow night... good luck, gentlemen! may the force be witcha...


                                              except that the ravens have averaged 35 points per game against the Steelers, Jets and Texans - 3 teams with a vastly superior defense to Jacksonville. I'm not saying Jacksonville has a bad defense but I dunno how much of a poor offensive effort you can really expect from Baltimore



                                              With that being said, your best bet here is that the ravens offense lays an egg, because it's gonna be punt after punt after punt for Jacksonville
                                              Comment
                                              • brahmabull117
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 8622

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                Except that Jacksonville relies very heavily on their running game while featuring abysmal passing from Gabbert. The limited production he's had this season has largely come in the second half when the games were out of reach. Granted, the Jags have faced good defensive teams this season, but Baltimore has very strong defense against the run, and will absolutely force Gabbert to throw the ball more than he'd like. Jacksonville will be forced into one-dimensional play and have a very hard time sustaining drives.

                                                Their only chance is to slow the game down with long possessions and for the above-mentioned reasons, I really doubt that will happen. The books are charging a premium price here with this line, but given the specifics as to how these teams will match up, I can't really say it's unwarranted. Jacksonville succeeds only when they can establish their ground game and wear away at a team's defense steadily. This is not the team to do this against.

                                                I'm not overly interested in betting on this game but I suspect that Baltimore will be very aggressive in the first half and almost definitely be the first to score in this game so you can do better in live betting. Even if you get +11, you're taking a bad line on a bad team that doesn't have the explosiveness to put the Ravens on their heels, even coming out of a bye.

                                                Not a good bet, IMO.

                                                exactly


                                                this is a very bad matchup if you look at how both teams run their offense/defense. The jaguars scored 13 points against the Steelers because the Steelers run defense is awful this year. I don't know how they're gonna score at all in this game...



                                                Look at the ravens defense so far this year - 7 points allowed to Pittsburg, 26 against Tennessee, 17 points allowed to Jets (14 of those were defense/special teams), 7 points allowed to STL and 14 to Houston (7 off defense)


                                                you're looking at a team that has given up 50 offensive points in 5 games this year facing the worst offense in the league (the jags are dead last in yards per game)
                                                Comment
                                                • Sambooka
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-21-11
                                                  • 822

                                                  #25
                                                  Ravens win by 14

                                                  27-13 or 24-10 Ravens





                                                  .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dontbuythehook
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 09-23-11
                                                    • 837

                                                    #26
                                                    Thanks for the heads-up brahma. Jags (30x). If I lose this bet I will leave the site forever.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Urbanwildlife
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-06-11
                                                      • 5958

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice post above Brahmabull. Very good info.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chrisharvard01
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 10-24-08
                                                        • 2943

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by dontbuythehook
                                                        Thanks for the heads-up brahma. Jags (30x). If I lose this bet I will leave the site forever.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paranoyd androyd
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-01-11
                                                          • 6459

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by GimpedMaster
                                                          Have these been posted yet today? They seem relevant right now.


                                                          lmfao
                                                          Comment
                                                          • riffraff24
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-20-11
                                                            • 7234

                                                            #30
                                                            The line will likely go higher. I don't see the jags covering but you never know. They're 2nd to last in scoring and Ravens are on a roll. Yes the jags played a close game to the Steelers, but so did the Colts and look what just happened to them.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • brahmabull117
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 8622

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by riffraff24
                                                              The line will likely go higher. I don't see the jags covering but you never know. They're 2nd to last in scoring and Ravens are on a roll. Yes the jags played a close game to the Steelers, but so did the Colts and look what just happened to them.

                                                              Jags Team total Under =
                                                              Comment
                                                              • chrisharvard01
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-24-08
                                                                • 2943

                                                                #32
                                                                Who is the dude that is posted pics of in this thread?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jalen__rose
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-19-10
                                                                  • 165

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
                                                                  y'all ever been to jacksonville?
                                                                  oh and the "if A loses to B, and C defeats B, then A will lose to C" logic?
                                                                  good luck with that, brah! see you in church...
                                                                  thanks for all of your hard work cappin' games, gentlemen!
                                                                  let's start another great week! oh, yeah...
                                                                  ... really?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                                    • 36581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lets compare Bal/Jax ATS records for the year

                                                                    Ravens W4 L1

                                                                    Jaguars W2 L4

                                                                    What does this tell us?

                                                                    Odds-makers are off a considerable amount on the lines for both teams,however until they get it right Baltimore has a lopsided advantage on tonight's match up ATS.......
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheCommish
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                                      • 1013

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I've got the ravens -7.5 on the tail end of a $6K 3 teamer (DAL/PIT/BALT).

                                                                      Picked up a nice $1K hedge on Jax with a 3 point middle.

                                                                      I expect a Baltimore blowout, but hoping for an 8-10 point win.

                                                                      Best of luck, whichever side you're on.
                                                                      Comment
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