Week 4: Oct. 2nd Cincinnati Bengals +3.5

[MexicanStallion]

Cincinnati Bengals +3.5

Bills have a let down game and Bengals win their second game of the season. I feel very strongly about this game and I am on the spread and ML for this upcoming week.

[Allure]

Any opinion on the total line? Leaning the under as of now. Expect a boring game like SF/CIN.

[GunShard]

There's an ATS trend that says the Bengals lose the spread in Week 4 for the past 9 seasons.

Also the fact that the Bills are on a roll.

Can a rookie QB Andy Dalton out play a veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick?

[MexicanStallion]

Any opinion on the total line? Leaning the under as of now. Expect a boring game like SF/CIN.

No opinion on totals. I'm awful with them. I pick and choose here and there. That game was extremely boring. I'm lucky that game was blacked out here, so I didn't have to watch it.

There's an ATS trend that says the Bengals lose the spread in Week 4 for the past 9 seasons.

Also the fact that the Bills are on a roll.

Can a rookie QB Andy Dalton out play a veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick?

That seems like such a ridiculous trend, but I find it interesting. Thanks for sharing.

The Bills are on a roll. I think they are a let down this week after pulling off the big win against the Patriots. Dalton has actually been fairly good. I'm surprised. I believe everybody will pound Buffalo thinking they are the real deal. They may be, I don't know, but why would they only be giving -3 on the road?

[Mr Handicapable]

Smells alot like the Minnesota/Detroit game to me....except Minnesota is a veteran team with a vet QB. Buffalo could come out flat but they've been a 2nd half team anyway. WR Shipley for Cincy is out for the year...their 2nd leading receiver Simpson might get suspended since they found out his house had more pot in it than a Cheech & Chong movie. Cedric Benson busted a long TD run late vs Cleveland...other than that he has 205 yards on 57 carries (3.6 yds/rush). I know its a square play but so was an easy Over on Pats/Bills on Sunday. Buffalo can take the 1Q off and still outscore these guys by atleast a TD imo!

I forgot to mention the dead Cincy crowd as well. They're pi$$ed at their cheap a$$ owner (20+ mil under the cap) and only drew a little over 40k in this last game.

[leetreaper]

like it

[MexicanStallion]

Smells alot like the Minnesota/Detroit game to me....except Minnesota is a veteran team with a vet QB. Buffalo could come out flat but they've been a 2nd half team anyway. WR Shipley for Cincy is out for the year...their 2nd leading receiver Simpson might get suspended since they found out his house had more pot in it than a Cheech & Chong movie. Cedric Benson busted a long TD run late vs Cleveland...other than that he has 205 yards on 57 carries (3.6 yds/rush). I know its a square play but so was an easy Over on Pats/Bills on Sunday. Buffalo can take the 1Q off and still outscore these guys by atleast a TD imo!

I forgot to mention the dead Cincy crowd as well. They're pi$$ed at their cheap a$$ owner (20+ mil under the cap) and only drew a little over 40k in this last game.

Don't forget Benson could be suspended too. With all of this, still Buffalo only giving 3? Could be a blow out, or Cincy wins. I'll stick with this play and see what happens. Just really liked this game and wanted to post, since my plays are usually posted on Sundays.

[a4u2fear]

Seriously? The bengals score 8 vs 49ers and the bills avg 34 PTs a game, I will gladly take the bills -3

[Allure]

49ers defensive line is way better than the Patriots'.

As for the secondaries, well they both kinda suck. Especially Pats have key injuries in their secondary.

[Lucky1g]

Chan Gaileys has instilled confidence and an "us against the world" mentality among these players..no superstars just one unit playing as a team. They have momentum and now believe there is no deficit they cant overcome..was extremely suprised at this line though..thought it shouldve been at least a TD..so i can see where you might think this is a classic vegas trap game..with that said. BILLS WIN BY A MINIMUM OF 3..31-20 type game, i dont expect a blowout but the bills will pull away in this one..good luck with your bet

[gambler CK]

good luck with that, but guys picking the bengals are getting wayy to cute with their picks

I know this bills team, and they will win by double digits

[a4u2fear]

Anyone going against the bills SU just isn't watching their games

[lakerboy]

Bengals will be my biggest play this week. Lets get it mex.

[gambler CK]

Anyone going against the bills SU just isn't watching their games

yea, i feel bad for the guys that do..

it should be a fun year to be a buffalo sports fan a4u2fear, cant wait for hockey season to start

[a4u2fear]

yea, i feel bad for the guys that do..

it should be a fun year to be a buffalo sports fan a4u2fear, cant wait for hockey season to start

Agreed

[loopydude11]

this is looking like a repeat of Lions vs Vikings. "NO WAY VIKINGS CAN GET WITHIN 4 POINTS OF THIS EPIC TEAM"

[Mr Handicapable]

this is looking like a repeat of Lions vs Vikings. "NO WAY VIKINGS CAN GET WITHIN 4 POINTS OF THIS EPIC TEAM"

1 tiny difference.....the Vikings were seconds from the SB just 2 seasons ago. They still have alot of veteran talent unlike the Bengals. If Buffalo can pick off Brady 4x then I like their chances against a rookie QB. The only reason Cincy isn't winless is because they snapped the ball before Cleveland was ready for an easy TD.

[loopydude11]

and the only reason the Bills are undefeated is because of a tipped ball that turned into an INT-TD.. if Brady played like he did week 1 and 2, they win by 21+. The pats scored 31 with 4 turnovers haha. Dalton will have a solid game

2 seasons ago.. yea and a diff QB, diff defense, diff team all around.

[loopydude11]

not to mention the raiders barely lost on the last play of that game. the WR had a legit chance to steal that ball away. Bills are 2 plays from 1-2 and being who we thought they were

[Mr Handicapable]

I'm not sure why you want to ride a young team thats missing players and depth ($20+ mil under the cap). I'll give you a chance to double up your 203 points if you want? I have plenty of points in the sportsbook. AJ Green will get 100+ and a TD in catchup mode in front of a 50/50 crowd...thats about it for the Bengals.

Bills 30-16

[Mr Handicapable]

and the only reason the Bills are undefeated is because of a tipped ball that turned into an INT-TD.. if Brady played like he did week 1 and 2, they win by 21+. The pats scored 31 with 4 turnovers haha. Dalton will have a solid game

2 seasons ago.. yea and a diff QB, diff defense, diff team all around.

You're right...Carson Palmer was better and the Bengals are now worse!

[loopydude11]

what's the spread and odds you wanna offer?

[Hootie500]

Just because the Bills hit the road after 2 home games and they give them no respect?? Are you kidding me!! This could be where the Bills are a team that loves to play in front of a hostile crowd. I put the Bengals in the same class as KC and what happened there? Granted San Fran has a very good defensive line and thats why the Bengals had a hard time scoring last week. Buffalo has alot more tricks up their sleeve offensively and defensively and will keep the Bengals back on their heels. The Bengals stadium last week was only 70% full because they know the team has problems... Bills are in a spot that they haven't been in years and you think someone like the Bengals are going to put an end to it.. NO WAY!!! Pound the Bills NOW!!!!

[gambler CK]

not to mention the raiders barely lost on the last play of that game. the WR had a legit chance to steal that ball away. Bills are 2 plays from 1-2 and being who we thought they were

LOL

its obvious you havent watched any bills games this year, but i wouldnt be surprised if youve never watched a football game period

[loopydude11]

i don't need to watch a Bills game to see they won by 3 points in each game and are lucky to be 3-0. they aren't going to win that divison and I'd even be surprised if they went to the playoffs in the tough AFC.

never watched a football game? youre an idiot.

[gambler CK]

i don't need to watch a Bills game to see they won by 3 points in each game and are lucky to be 3-0. they aren't going to win that divison and I'd even be surprised if they went to the playoffs in the tough AFC.

never watched a football game? youre an idiot.

[loopydude11]

good luck homer

[Mr Handicapable]

The spread is 3 with a little juice....I'll lay 210 to your 200 if you want.

[loopydude11]

how about 155 to 150, so if i lose i can lay the rest down later to try and double the last 50 up. i havent wagered against someone on here before, do i send you the points and if you lose you send them back +the rest? or do we wait til after

[MexicanStallion]

Chan Gaileys has instilled confidence and an "us against the world" mentality among these players..no superstars just one unit playing as a team. They have momentum and now believe there is no deficit they cant overcome..was extremely suprised at this line though..thought it shouldve been at least a TD..so i can see where you might think this is a classic vegas trap game..with that said. BILLS WIN BY A MINIMUM OF 3..31-20 type game, i dont expect a blowout but the bills will pull away in this one..good luck with your bet

Thanks for sharing your opinion on the game. Very fair and honest.

good luck with that, but guys picking the bengals are getting wayy to cute with their picks

I know this bills team, and they will win by double digits

I will gladly make some kind of bet with you, that Cincinnati loses by 9 or better. I don't see a double digit win.

Anyone going against the bills SU just isn't watching their games

I have not watched much of the Bills. I just can't watch every single game so far

Bengals will be my biggest play this week. Lets get it mex.

They will be my biggest play too. I already locked in 5 units on spread and 2 units for ML. Glad to have some support.

[MexicanStallion]

Just because the Bills hit the road after 2 home games and they give them no respect?? Are you kidding me!! This could be where the Bills are a team that loves to play in front of a hostile crowd. I put the Bengals in the same class as KC and what happened there? Granted San Fran has a very good defensive line and thats why the Bengals had a hard time scoring last week. Buffalo has alot more tricks up their sleeve offensively and defensively and will keep the Bengals back on their heels. The Bengals stadium last week was only 70% full because they know the team has problems... Bills are in a spot that they haven't been in years and you think someone like the Bengals are going to put an end to it.. NO WAY!!! Pound the Bills NOW!!!!

The Bengals aren't quite the Chiefs. At least the current Chiefs without Berry and Charles. I don't like the Bengals and have futures riding on them underachieving, but I believe they win this game.

Another thing, let's get one fact right. They sold roughly 60% of tickets, and the stadium was even less than that during game time. They are a sad franchise. One reason, why I have never cared for them.

[brooks85]

this will be the first "good" defense the bills play but i still couldn't back the bengals. Their third down conversion rate is shameful, fix that this team could win 8 games.

[bluegg]

awwww snaps,

LB and Mex on one side usually mean its a go... just saying

[dontbuythehook]

yea line looked interesting when it opened and when i saw lb on it as well decided to hop on for 3500

[MexicanStallion]

awwww snaps,

LB and Mex on one side usually mean its a go... just saying

I have no idea if any of that is true, but I am happy when LB is on my side. It never bothers me.

yea line looked interesting when it opened and when i saw lb on it as well decided to hop on for 3500

Best of luck for you.