"The Sports Scientist" Kenneth Corey's 2011 NFL Plays

[Sports Scientist]

Another NFL season is upon us. Here's to another successful season!

NFL Week 1 - First Looks:

Saints +4.5 -110 (5Dimes, Legends)
Steelers +1 +105 (5Dimes)
Titans +1 +105 (5Dimes)
Redskins +3 +100 (Legends)
Rams +4.5 -110 (5Dimes, Legends)


(Like last season, all wagers are 1 unit unless otherwise noted.)

[Sports Scientist]

Last year's thread http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...nfl-plays.html
2009-2010 combined record: 131-99-6 (57%) +37.935 units.
(2009 posted at Rx)

[House]

If you like the Steelers and the Rams,why not tease them both 6pts .. Rams +11 and Steelers +8 ? That's how I rolled on this one...

Ticket #: 2 Teams FB 6, 6½ pts - BK 4, 4½ ptsPlaced: 09/07/2011 @ 11:41 AMStarting: 09/11/2011 @ 10:00 AMNFL - [453] PITTSBURGH +8½-110 (B+6½)Starting: 09/11/2011 @ 10:00 AMNFL - [464] ST. LOUIS +11½-110 (B+6½)Risking: 360.00
To Win: 300.00 This should do it.... lets get this going boys I'm here to make money...Another one on the House.....

[Sports Scientist]

That's a bad teaser.

Not saying it won't win, it's just -EV. Good luck though.

[House]

OK.....so the 360/300 bothers you? I understand,its 300 in the bank though...Packers win by 7 tonight....lets see whats more effective,my teaser or your picks...you down?

[mikey360]

Sports Scientist if I cant get the lines you post would you say its best to buy the odd half a point here and there or just take the game at the slightly worse line?

If your hoping to hit 30 Units again this year i'd imagine buying some half points wouldn't cause too much of a dent in overall profits, what do you think?

[Sports Scientist]

Sports Scientist if I cant get the lines you post would you say its best to buy the odd half a point here and there or just take the game at the slightly worse line?

If your hoping to hit 30 Units again this year i'd imagine buying some half points wouldn't cause too much of a dent in overall profits, what do you think?

I don't buy half points usually. If I do I will specify and adjust the juice accordingly. Which of the lines moved? Or can you just not the good line at your book? I put my bets in, then I post immediately after, usually the lines don't move too much because NFL lines normally dont move much until late Sat./early Sun. aside from obvious reasons like injury status

Most of the time the half point doesnt really have a lot of value, so let me know which line it is and we can go from there.

[mikey360]

I think it was just the Rams went down to +4 on Bet365, but also just in case of future bets just figuring out ahead of time whats best.

Cheers

[Sports Scientist]

Half point moves - 4.5 is obviously better than 4 but not a big deal.

Generally speaking, this is my advice on moving lines: unless it's +3 to +2.5, or +7 to +6.5, +6 to +5.5, +10 to +9.5, +14 to +13.5, etc, it doesn't matter much. If you can't get the good number at any of your outs, you just have to pass. In this case it's +4.5 to +4 and it's not really a big deal. So, for example, if I post a +3 and it moves to a +2.5, and you can't get the +3 at any of your outs, you just have to pass, because almost every book is going to charge you double juice to buy the half point to +3. In the long run it's just not worth it. (Same applies to the other numbers like a +7 that moved to +6.5 etc.. if you cant find the +7 at any of your books, dont buy the half point, just pass. Remember that sometimes a line will come back before gametime)

Any questions let me know - good luck

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 1 - Addition:

Bills +6 -110 (5Dimes, Legends)

[House]

Tough luck last night SScientist ? I made that HOUSE CALL and you missed it..Green Bay by 7 , is just what I said in this same thread yesterday....Not only did I hit GB minus the points and the over,I have them in a teaser and a paylay,thats how solid I had that play.....My last HOUSE CALL to you my friend will be to fade the BILLS.......why even touch this game....If Cassel plays,Chiefs by 13 at home this year after a close one at home last year with the Bills,no Moieaki could hurt a little but I dont see that stopping the Chiefs from covering......fade the Bills there's other games......or tease the Chiefs to even and tease something like the Steelers+ 8 I used the Steelers a couple times at +8 .... Good luck the rest of the year ......HOUSE CALL

[ScottLocke]

Tough luck last night SScientist ? I made that HOUSE CALL and you missed it..Green Bay by 7 , is just what I said in this same thread yesterday....Not only did I hit GB minus the points and the over,I have them in a teaser and a paylay,thats how solid I had that play.....My last HOUSE CALL to you my friend will be to fade the BILLS.......why even touch this game....If Cassel plays,Chiefs by 13 at home this year after a close one at home last year with the Bills,no Moieaki could hurt a little but I dont see that stopping the Chiefs from covering......fade the Bills there's other games......or tease the Chiefs to even and tease something like the Steelers+ 8 I used the Steelers a couple times at +8 .... Good luck the rest of the year ......HOUSE CALL

How can you brag about last night lol??? The Saints were 1 foot away from a TD and covering the spread and you would have lost. I'd feel fortunate to get out of that game with a W if I were you.

I think the Chiefs are quite over rated this year. People are gonna realize how much Charlie Weiss meant to that offense and now you have who I think is the worst head coach in football taking over the offensive playcalling... not good. I'd be very surprised if the Chiefs win more than 6 games this year.

[House]

LOL get the pompoms out mary,you have to be a Charger fan lol Nope a Eagle fan,just as worthless,your eagles lose to the Rams on Sunday,
..thats money in my pocket ,so dont bet on your team unless you tease the sh!t out of them 14pts lmol ... Last nights GB/NO game is a linedrive in the books baby,If you ever played ball,you might know what that means...how did yo do last night? ....SLocke,so you would take the Bills +6 also ? Do it then and post that bad boy up "expert" .... how can I brag? isnt that what this forum is all about,(a couple so called experts and a bunch a drunks calling these games the way they see it?) I'm both just so you know hehahha,I look at every thread and thats all you see,I talk the talk and back it up with WINS..I thought this was a forum to let others in on how you are doing betting on these games? Haters are a funny breed,cant handle anything and experts are worse..I was 9-13 last week with a 5 game parlay that hit,won on both games that I played last night..GB -5 the over,also have them in a teaser and a parlay,...Oklahoma hit also,that was easy.....you probobly took the Saints and AZ RIGHT? I'm not here to make friends with close minded experts...I rep the little man with deep pockets lol....good luck with your career in Cheerleading,capping's probobly not going to work for you....And yes the Chiefs are in the top 5 as far as tough schedule's go..Great call lol................You shouldn't never listen to me....unless you wanna be right for once.....HOUSE in your HOUSE for the last time........Since you wanted to get all up in this ...

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 1 - Results:

Saints +4.5 -110 (5Dimes, Legends) LOSS -1.1
Steelers +1 +105 (5Dimes) LOSS -1
Titans +1 +105 (5Dimes) LOSS -1
Redskins +3 +100 (Legends) WIN +1
Rams +4.5 -110 (5Dimes, Legends) LOSS -1.1
Bills +6 -110 (5Dimes, Legends) WIN +1

2011 NFL Week 1: 2-4 (33%) -2.2 units

2011 NFL Year-to-date: 2-4 (33%) -2.2 units

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 2 - First Look:

Bears +7 -125 (Legends)
Bills -3 -115 (5Dimes, Legends)
Bengals +4 -110 (Legends)

[Wrecktangle]

marking this thread.

BTW, here's who I am on:

IND+1.5
SF+3
Cin+3.5
CHI+6.5

BOL

[Sports Scientist]

marking this thread.

BTW, here's who I am on:

IND+1.5
SF+3
Cin+3.5
CHI+6.5

BOL

GL to you as well

[Wrecktangle]

Thanks, now back into NFL. CFB has been my specialty lately. I'm a modeler also.

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 2 - Addition:

Jaguars +9 -110 (5Dimes)

I expect at least one more selection by Sunday morning.

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 2 - Additions:

Redskins -4.5 -110 (Legends)
Chargers +7 -121 (Legends)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 2 - Results:

Bears +7 -125 (Legends) LOSS -1.25
Bills -3 -115 (5Dimes, Legends) PUSH +0
Bengals +4 -110 (Legends) WIN +1
Jaguars +9 -110 (5Dimes) LOSS -1.1
Redskins -4.5 -110 (Legends) LOSS -1.1
Chargers +7 -121 (Legends) LOSS -1.21

2011 NFL Week 2: 1-4-1 (20%) -3.66 units

2011 NFL Year-to-date: 3-8-1 (27%) -5.86 units

[shopbar picks]

better luck this week

[Sports Scientist]

Thanks SP, good luck to you as well

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 3 - First Look:

Raiders +3.5 -120 - 2 units (5Dimes, Legends)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 3 - Addition:

Lions -2.5 -130 (5Dimes)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 3 - Additions:

Patriots -7 -110 (5Dimes)
Falcons PK +105 (5Dimes)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 3 - Results:

Raiders +3.5 -120 - 2 units (5Dimes, Legends) WIN +2
Lions -2.5 -130 (5Dimes) WIN +1
Patriots -7 -110 (5Dimes) LOSS -1.1
Falcons PK +105 (5Dimes) LOSS -1

2011 NFL Week 3: 2-2 (50%) +0.9 units

2011 NFL Year-to-date: 5-10-1 (33%) -4.96 units

[Sports Scientist]

.My last HOUSE CALL to you my friend will be to fade the BILLS.......why even touch this game....If Cassel plays,Chiefs by 13 at home this year after a close one at home last year with the Bills,no Moieaki could hurt a little but I dont see that stopping the Chiefs from covering......fade the Bills there's other games......or tease the Chiefs to even and tease something like the Steelers+ 8 I used the Steelers a couple times at +8 .... Good luck the rest of the year ......HOUSE CALL

miss this guy

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 4 - First Look:

Bears -6 -110 (5Dimes, Legends)
Vikings -2.5 -110 (Legends)
Cardinals PK +100 (5Dimes, Legends)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 4 - Addition:

Dolphins +7 -110 (Legends)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 4 - Results:

Bears -6 -110 (5Dimes, Legends) LOSS -1.1
Vikings -2.5 -110 (Legends) LOSS -1.1
Cardinals PK +100 (5Dimes, Legends) LOSS -1
Dolphins +7 -110 (Legends) LOSS -1.1

2011 NFL Week 4: 0-4 (0%) -4.3 units

2011 NFL Year-to-date: 5-14-1 (26%) -9.26 units

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 5 - First Look:

Chiefs +1 +105 - 2 units (5Dimes)
Bengals +1 +105 (5Dimes)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 5 - Addition:

Jets ML +320 (5Dimes)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 5 - Addition:

Jets +9 -130 (Legends)

[Sports Scientist]

NFL Week 5 - Additions:

Cardinals +3 -110 (Legends)
Panthers +7 -125 (5Dimes)