This super bowl is a coin flip, right?

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  • El Stugoto
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-15-11
    • 655

    #1
    This super bowl is a coin flip, right?
    Why not steelers ML then? Talk me out of it....
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    That's basically my reasoning as well.
    Comment
    • pinchylarue
      SBR MVP
      • 01-04-11
      • 2666

      #3
      I think the real question is how much is GB going to win by and if they will cover. I say they win by 3-7
      Comment
      • slacker00
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-06-05
        • 12262

        #4
        Originally posted by pinchylarue
        I think the real question is how much is GB going to win by and if they will cover. I say they win by 3-7
        Seems like most people taking GB are laying the points. It's fairly unusual for a game to land in the 1-2 range.

        I started out last week putting Pitts in every teaser. If it hits in your range, I'll be happy, the pleasure of backing dogs.
        Comment
        • Power Play
          SBR MVP
          • 02-01-10
          • 1224

          #5
          The line is probably right where it needs to be.
          Comment
          • meader99
            SBR MVP
            • 10-30-10
            • 4223

            #6
            I think the best play is to Tease the dog up to the 8.5-9 range. I really believe this game goes down to the wire and possibly the last possession. I like Green Bay to win, but gonna take the Steelers +8.5 and over 38.
            Comment
            • agharah1
              SBR MVP
              • 09-07-10
              • 2304

              #7
              Since when are Super Bowls high scoring games? If anything teams waste time even more in this game. If this game was a 14-3 type affair it would not surprise me.
              Comment
              • xxxvince
                SBR MVP
                • 12-17-07
                • 2567

                #8
                both team evenly match.. no play for me.. sucks.. just enjoy a good game i guess
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  Originally posted by xxxvince
                  both team evenly match.. no play for me.. sucks.. just enjoy a good game i guess
                  Dude. There are thousands of props out there. Basically free money begging to be won.


                  Here's my most recent find:

                  BetPhoenix: Packers most penalty yardage +125


                  I looked up the stats for 2010 and the Packers are slightly more penalized than the Steelers, but it's basically a wash. Might as well take the free dog money.
                  Comment
                  • ferndog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-22-07
                    • 1386

                    #10
                    Starting to lean und
                    Comment
                    • Dutch
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-21-10
                      • 4339

                      #11
                      I'll end up betting a couple of props just for the action, but I see no value in the spread. I wouldn't be surprised to see either team win by 10 or lose by 3.

                      Go Steelers!
                      Comment
                      • pinchylarue
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-04-11
                        • 2666

                        #12
                        und is a good solid bet
                        Comment
                        • woody78
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-18-08
                          • 502

                          #13
                          I'll be laying the 2.3 but I do like the prop on GB penalty yards. Everyone knows the guys in stripes have been on PItt's side all year. NO way they get more penalties/yards called against them.
                          Comment
                          • eberetta1
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-27-09
                            • 1159

                            #14
                            Yep, not betting this one, agree with your call a coin flip. Gonna lay down a soccer bet instead and maybe play a poker game instead of watchin or while watching the game.
                            Comment
                            • KingJIM
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-25-09
                              • 757

                              #15
                              Agree with OP. Probably going small on Steelers ML. Just another game and nothing crazy.
                              Comment
                              • bobbyk1133
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-05-10
                                • 2245

                                #16
                                The line is perfect for both sides. If you like GB lay the -2.5. If you like PIT play the +3. Don't play the PIT ML because there isn't as much value as the +3..
                                Comment
                                • PlatinumBerg
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-10
                                  • 1058

                                  #17
                                  I like Steelers +3
                                  Comment
                                  • MR.HARRYtheHAT
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-20-09
                                    • 1018

                                    #18
                                    Steelers allow only 62.8 yards per game on the ground. It’s obvious that Super Bowl line odds makers believe the Packers’ wide receivers will have a big impact on the game because 44 ½ points is a lot of points in a contest between the 2nd ranked D in the league, Pittsburgh, and the 5th ranked D in the league,Green BayThe line for Super Bowl total of 44 ½ will go either up or down depending on how sports handicappers view Green Bay’s passing game versus Pittsburgh’s secondary.I’m not ready to say how much of an impact Green Bay’s wide receivers will have on the total assigned to the game.What I am ready to say is that if the total stays at over 44,that most football bettors believe Green Bay’s wide receivers are going to be very effective versus the Steelers’ D because Green Bay’s best shot (only shot?)of putting points on the board on February 6th is through their passing game.
                                    Comment
                                    • raiders32
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-17-10
                                      • 566

                                      #19
                                      I think it could go either way. I'm taking the Pitt ml .
                                      Comment
                                      • Nittany Lion
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-14-10
                                        • 1639

                                        #20
                                        This game rest on the Steeler's DBs and how Rodgers plays.
                                        Comment
                                        • bobbyk1133
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-05-10
                                          • 2245

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MR.HARRYtheHAT
                                          Steelers allow only 62.8 yards per game on the ground. It’s obvious that Super Bowl line odds makers believe the Packers’ wide receivers will have a big impact on the game because 44 ½ points is a lot of points in a contest between the 2nd ranked D in the league, Pittsburgh, and the 5th ranked D in the league,Green BayThe line for Super Bowl total of 44 ½ will go either up or down depending on how sports handicappers view Green Bay’s passing game versus Pittsburgh’s secondary.I’m not ready to say how much of an impact Green Bay’s wide receivers will have on the total assigned to the game.What I am ready to say is that if the total stays at over 44,that most football bettors believe Green Bay’s wide receivers are going to be very effective versus the Steelers’ D because Green Bay’s best shot (only shot?)of putting points on the board on February 6th is through their passing game.
                                          This is all irrelevant. 5 of the last 6 SB totals have gone under, and this season overs have hit at 58% since week 3 or 4 (including bad weather games and playoffs).

                                          There is no logic justifying either play. 44.5 was bet up early to 46 and that was promptly bet back down.
                                          Comment
                                          • Art Vandeleigh
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-06
                                            • 1494

                                            #22
                                            Coin flip seems to be the logical way to analyze this game, but do 2 out of 3 to be sure.
                                            Comment
                                            • cadillac pete
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-15-06
                                              • 1675

                                              #23
                                              I can't get away from backing the Pack....taking Pitt + the pts seems too easy.
                                              Comment
                                              • bigsmitty
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-12-10
                                                • 3026

                                                #24
                                                This is a contested issue but I really don't like how Big Ben is almost encouraged to stand in the pocket/withstand very dangerous pressure. I realize it can be a plus but in my mind your QB should be pressured as little as possible and contacted even less. Small coin on GB spread-good luck.
                                                Comment
                                                • slacker00
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-06-05
                                                  • 12262

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                                  This is a contested issue but I really don't like how Big Ben is almost encouraged to stand in the pocket/withstand very dangerous pressure. I realize it can be a plus but in my mind your QB should be pressured as little as possible and contacted even less. Small coin on GB spread-good luck.
                                                  It's been this way for Roethlisberger's entire career. He's got 2 rings going on 3. He's 10-2 in the playoffs.

                                                  Last week, Ben's QB rating was 35.5 and they won. His QB rating was 22.6 when they beat Seattle for his first ring. It's a scheme that seems to win, they play light's out defense and smash mouth run game. I'm somewhat amazed that people forget how their WRs are nearly as good as GB's WRs. Ben is old school and can win games with a broken nose folded over to the side of his face. He's not one of these modern QBs who gets touched on the helmet and has to leave the game with a concussion.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Checkerboard
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-15-06
                                                    • 7799

                                                    #26
                                                    ok stu, but since it's a coin flip, why not take pitt ml 2h (if they're behind) for better value? If they're ahead at the half, it becomes a no play.

                                                    (no action on the show being a small 'price' to pay for possible added value on what is felt to be a coin flip play.)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gohabsgo
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-19-10
                                                      • 1903

                                                      #27
                                                      I am on Pittsburg ML, best bet IMO and with no bet i'd probably be cheering for GreenBay
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Shafted69
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-04-08
                                                        • 6412

                                                        #28
                                                        Yea, I'm taking heads(GB) and hittin hard.

                                                        No way in hell a wild card should be the favorite in a super bowl against a Division Champ.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • slacker00
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-06-05
                                                          • 12262

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Shafted69
                                                          No way in hell a wild card should be the favorite in a super bowl against a Division Champ.
                                                          I think this pretty much sums it up for me too.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sanchez
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-02-11
                                                            • 223

                                                            #30
                                                            Many advantageous lines with the props, that's where the money can be made
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sanchez
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-02-11
                                                              • 223

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Shafted69
                                                              Yea, I'm taking heads(GB) and hittin hard.

                                                              No way in hell a wild card should be the favorite in a super bowl against a Division Champ.
                                                              Wild Card vs Division Champ... why does that mean anything?

                                                              If it was Jets vs Seattle who should be the favorite? Seattle won their division...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vividjohn45
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-21-10
                                                                • 6331

                                                                #32
                                                                eberetta.? u are betting soccer instead of the superbowl? man. what a wus out. a bunch of half naked guys running around falling on the field and crying they got pushed. oooohhhh ohhhhh did ya see that play.
                                                                go on man. don't post in the superbowl section. u got a pansy soccer bet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vividjohn45
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-21-10
                                                                  • 6331

                                                                  #33
                                                                  by tomorrow game time. las vegas hotels will be full and around 100 million dollars will be wagered on the superbowl.

                                                                  but ebretta just placed a 25 dollar wager on. fc cologne and let us know about it and that he will have none of this superbowl matters.

                                                                  dude. please go on.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • vividjohn45
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-21-10
                                                                    • 6331

                                                                    #34
                                                                    steelers ml. is the manly man's play. gb is 10-6. and those games were won in wisconsin. 7-1.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vividjohn45
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-21-10
                                                                      • 6331

                                                                      #35
                                                                      steeler's away 7-1 ml.
                                                                      Comment
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