" just don’t trust the 49ers, who come out of their bye at 2-6, to be laying this kind of price against any opponent, even one that’s starting a rookie quarterback who’s still searching for his first NFL road win. Yes, San Francisco went to London and took out the Broncos 24-16 two weeks ago, and in its previous home game it knocked off the suddenly red-hot Raiders. But let’s not forget that in between these two victories the Niners lost 23-20 to the Panthers (Carolina’s only victory to date).
Also, San Francisco is just 1-4 ATS as a favorite on American soil, losing outright to the Seahawks, Chiefs, Eagles and Panthers while barely cashing as a seven-point favorite in the eight-point win over the Raiders.
Conversely, the Rams have been a bettor’s dream this season. They lost 17-13 as a three-point home underdog in the season opener, but have since gone 6-1 ATS (5-1 ATS as an underdog). That includes two spread-covers in narrow road losses at Oakland (16-14) and Tampa Bay (18-17, when the Rams blew a 17-3 lead). Meanwhile, the 49ers have covered just once in the last six years coming out of a bye, and they’re 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a spread-cover.
Finally, believe it or not, I trust St. Louis rookie QB Sam Bradford, who is getting better every week, more than I trust Troy Smith, who was a third-stringer three weeks ago. Yes, Smith had a strong performance against Denver in London, but the Broncos’ defense is awful. The Rams’ D is holding foes to 17.6 points and 314 yards per game, and that includes an aberration “Murphy’s Law” game (44-6 loss at Detroit).
This figures to be a low-scoring contest (seven of the last eight meetings have stayed under the total), and with points at a premium, I’ll side with a feisty pup."
Comment
ukbro00
SBR Sharp
04-02-07
388
#44
Should be a really good/exciting game. Wouldn't be surprised if either side won, but I'm leaning toward Troy Smith and the 49ers
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#45
"Take St. Louis plus the points on Sunday. Coming off their bye week, they should (at least) keep it close against their NFC West divisional rivals. The Rams (4-4) have covered 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. They face a San Francisco team (2-6) that earned their second win of the season in their 24-16 victory over Denver in the game played in London. While Troy Smith was effective in his first start for the 49ers, it was disappointing to hear that he spent his bye week back in Ohio rather than staying in San Francisco and working with the team. That is not what teams do when they still feel they are in the playoff hunt. They are unlikely to build off their win over the Broncos as they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games coming off a point spread win. They also have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as a favorite. St. Louis' strong front seven on defense will keep them in this game. Take the point with the Rams"
Comment
phillydon215
SBR Hustler
08-08-10
72
#46
So wait lakerboy u changing. Ur play?
Comment
me-first
SBR MVP
05-01-10
1054
#47
Good luck..I'm on the Rams as well, taking the points though..
Comment
goduke
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-10
11580
#48
Gotta say im liking this rams play more and more by the minute. I think youre definitely on to something
Comment
rockland
SBR Sharp
05-08-10
347
#49
Originally posted by lakerboy
the 49ers won there last game. so did the rams. do you even you know what you are typing? bye bye
SF is a losing team. It's record is under .500. If I had meant to say "teams off a loss after their bye week," I would have said that.
Also, the word is "their." Please learn how to spell and to read.
Comment
crustyme
SBR Posting Legend
09-29-10
16896
#50
this has no chance whatsoever.
+5.5 is a loser too now since it is Langs big play.
Comment
D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#51
Rams ML is down to +197 thats a 13 cent drop in less than 12 hours. Significant? I think so
Comment
crustyme
SBR Posting Legend
09-29-10
16896
#52
ML on dogs always drop. LOL
Comment
slacker00
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-05
12262
#53
Originally posted by crustyme
ML on dogs always drop. LOL
HUH?
Actually it's just the opposite.
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#54
ROOKIE QB on the road?
Take the points. SF will most likely win by 3.
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#55
I've been scratching my head at this line all week, especially when it was at 6. I like the Rams and the under here in a 17-14 type game.
Comment
DrAwInGdEaD
SBR Wise Guy
05-25-10
529
#56
LAKERBOY YOU WERE RIGHT ON THE MONEY WITH THE RAMS! 49ERS ARE GARBAGE.
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#57
Originally posted by DrAwInGdEaD
LAKERBOY YOU WERE RIGHT ON THE MONEY WITH THE RAMS! 49ERS ARE GARBAGE.
jumped the gun a little bit.
LB you need to teach your Kool Aid drinkers it's a 60 minute game.
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#58
Nice shot on the moneyline LB......we almost got there
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#59
Tough one LB... Did you take the Rams +the points at least?
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#60
Originally posted by JR007
Nice shot on the moneyline LB......we almost got there
ALMOST doesn't pay the bills. Get 'em on the next one
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#61
Stop trolling ronjon.
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#62
Originally posted by t-wizzle
Stop trolling ronjon.
sure. Try picking a winner on your own. I'll tell you what, take the steel curtain tonight. You got enough time to post that pick in some other threads.
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#63
Originally posted by ronjon619
sure. Try picking a winner on your own. I'll tell you what, take the steel curtain tonight. You got enough time to post that pick in some other threads.
I've got a better idea. Make your own thread and post all your plays. That way we can all fade your sorry ass and make money.
Comment
Chuck Sims
SBR MVP
12-29-05
3072
#64
Originally posted by ronjon619
ROOKIE QB on the road?
Take the points. SF will most likely win by 3.
Winner
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#65
Not sure what the big deal is ronald. I took the rams +5.5 for 1.5 units so I still made money on this game.
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#66
Originally posted by t-wizzle
I've got a better idea. Make your own thread and post all your plays. That way we can all fade your sorry ass and make money.
OK, fade my sorry azz to easy street.
Your better off playing the SUPER LOTTO chief. Good Luck.
Comment
t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#67
Originally posted by ronjon619
OK, fade my sorry azz to easy street.
Your better off playing the SUPER LOTTO chief. Good Luck.
Ok, maybe i'll try that.
By the way, Pittsburgh is down 7-0.
Comment
ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#68
Originally posted by ronjon619
jumped the gun a little bit.
LB you need to teach your Kool Aid drinkers it's a 60 minute game.
Originally posted by t-wizzle
Ok, maybe i'll try that.
By the way, Pittsburgh is down 7-0.
your almost on EASY STREET.
Comment
lucky cat
SBR High Roller
11-16-09
138
#69
Thank you to LB, SHOE and PACMAN. My bank roll get bigger everyday.