Bears over Pack!!!
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My bad you know I have been tailing you since the beginning but people are really starting to crowd your thread.Originally posted by MaxlockComment -
Yea i've started to notice that also. Especailly while I was gone for a week.Originally posted by HiTMaNN
I ask of everyone to keep this thread centered around NFL picks relating to analysis and/ or pick selections AS THEY pertain to MAXLOCK picks. Additional questions regarding certain games is always welcome. Other off topic issues belong elsewhere.
This way we can leave MAXLock thread clear of junk messages and easier to navigate and see important posts.
**I'll start analyzing both conference championships games tomorrow and have the plays up Wed/Thurs.
Thanks,
MaxComment -
Max I love Green Bay-3. What do u think??Comment -
Max, what's your email, we need to talk...Comment -
maxlock1@yahoo.comOriginally posted by riggs
I PM'ed you twice on my smart phone, but it looks like they haven't been going through..I'll PM you once again on my laptop it.Comment -
At first glance I like GB -3, I want to do some more research before I officially make GB my pick. But if you're afraid it'll jump to -3.5 then I suggest you take them now at -3Originally posted by gilbert91016Comment -
Thank you max. I don't really wanna give the 3.5Comment -
Great week again Max, Congrats buddy.Originally posted by Maxlock
I was 8-1 myself (+ $4,700.00) for the weekend.
This Riggs-Max team for next year may be dangerous...
Email is sent Max, check your inbox and get back to me bro!Comment -
you are the man max. Many thanx. I will send points when i figure it out. Again thanx what a great weekendComment -
Are you playing NBA tomorrow?Comment -
good luck this weekendComment -
Nope, just NFL. It's where I'm best at and can make you guys $.Originally posted by VTranX
I'll be back next season.
Riggs and myself will probably combine each others capping abilities and open up a web site, along with his weekly radio show.Comment -
Max, another perfect weekend for you, wow!
Just 2-2 for me ATS, but + units from huge chunk on Bears. My initial gut screamed Jets (and I even posted that in a couple of threads), but I'm such a Pats homer that I switched over. Oh well.
Anyway, great work! Since you are hitting a legit 65% (and a silly 100% in the playoffs thus far), I've got to tip my hat -- much respect, brother. Expect your thread to start getting even more hits!
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Thank youOriginally posted by CapybaraMax, another perfect weekend for you, wow!
Just 2-2 for me ATS, but + units from huge chunk on Bears. My initial gut screamed Jets (and I even posted that in a couple of threads), but I'm such a Pats homer that I switched over. Oh well.
Anyway, great work! Since you are hitting a legit 65% (and a silly 100% in the playoffs thus far), I've got to tip my hat -- much respect, brother. Expect your thread to start getting even more hits!
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Another great weekend Maxlock! Great job. Hey, I have a general betting question for you guys. I've been betting for a couple years and I'm embarassed to say I might not know the answer. I placed a halftime NBA bet on the Nuggets last night that was a pick em. They were down by 13 at the half and when the game ended they were down by 13. There was no change in the margin of points. I thought this would be a push. This morning it counted as a loss. Is this the difference between pick em and moneyline? Thanks.Comment -
If I interepreted your question right...it is indeed a lose.Originally posted by martinmobley
You bet Denver PK for the first half, meaning for you to win your bet the would have to be leading by at least 1 pt at halftime. If the score was tied at half it would be a push. In your case Denver was losing by 13 pts at halftime, resulting in a lose.
Since you bet the first half only, the 2nd half doesn't come into play at all.Comment -
"I placed a halftime NBA bet on the Nuggets last night that was a pick em"
I think he's saying he placed a ML bet AT halftime and the 2nd half resulted in an tie. I thought this was a push, but different sports books have different rules.Comment -
Oh I see now. In that case it would seem like a push, but as you noted different sportsbooks have different rules.Originally posted by Pap45murF
Martin, ask your sportsbook to clarify that for you.Comment -
Exactly.... I placed a 2nd half bet that was PK and there was no change in the margin of points. The Nuggets started the 2nd half at 13 points down and finished the game at 13 points down. I don't understand why it wasn't a push. I don't see why different sports books would have different rules either. Should be black and white. I'll check with my bookie, I just didn't want to bother them with a stupid question.Originally posted by Pap45murFComment -
I'm not THAT dumb Maxlock!! Geeeeez... haha...Originally posted by Maxlock
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Thanks for the response guys... I will follow up.Comment -
I can't see anyway that should be graded as a loss. That is a push. Are you sure you didn't get in a -0.5 bet? Perhaps the line had changed right at the end?Originally posted by martinmobley
Or maybe there really are special rules with o/u 2h bets...? Never had that happen.Comment -
Think I've got your answer, Martin:Originally posted by martinmobley
The Nuggets weren't down by 13 at halftime, they were down by 12! Bet was a loser.Comment -
Just figured that out... I'm a tard.Comment -
Back to football - Bears +3 is the play for this guy...Comment -
I'm leaning GB...Originally posted by CROANT
What's your reasoning for Chi+3Comment -
Only three games left...Lots of pressure to deliver for you guys
With three games left in the playoffs and currently standing at 6-0, I'm shooting for a 9-0 ATS record out of a possible 11 games ( not counting over/unders)Comment -
Be careful..going to be a good game IMO. Lovie's Tampa 2 scheme always seems to limit Rodgers and his explosive passing game but with the emergence of James Starks I see GB prevailing in this one.Originally posted by CROANT
Cutler won't have all day to throw like he did against Seattle. Get him off his spot and on the move and he'll throw picks. Did it last game and I see him doing it again. Pack in this one.
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Things to keep in mind...
Bears special teams in the best in the NFL, while the Packers teams has been prone to coverage lapses....The bears not only have great return men (including the best of them all) but also have very good coverage units....If the Bears use this to their advantage and make the Packers use time (long drives) to get their points, they can absolutely win.
Rodgers has not been fantastic yet vs the Bears. He's not been bad by any means, but he has had only 2 TD's to 2 INTs in the 2 previous games vs the Bears. I dont foresee Rodgers going off for 350 and 3 TD's against this Bears team....Further, their bend but don't break defense will give Rodgers some yards but they've been fantastic all season preventing TD's. This Packers offense is reliant on Rodgers. If he's average, the bears will probably win.
Week 17 the Bears reverted to their pre bye week offense (40 passes to 20 rushes) and scored 3 points. Don't expect that again. If the Bears can control field position through special teams, make Rodgers use time to get his points (prevent big plays) and get some semblance of a running game going, they'll win the game.
Will this all happen? I don't know......but the public sure is giving the bears no chance to win this game (75% on GB-3 according to sportsinsights).Comment -
Originally posted by StevedoreBe careful..going to be a good game IMO. Lovie's Tampa 2 scheme always seems to limit Rodgers and his explosive passing game but with the emergence of James Starks I see GB prevailing in this one.
Cutler won't have all day to throw like he did against Seattle. Get him off his spot and on the move and he'll throw picks. Did it last game and I see him doing it again. Pack in this one.
The emergence of James Starks? He's had 1 good game vs the Eagles (23 for 123) and 1 not so good (25 for 66)......And you think he'll be able to run on the Bears D that is 2nd in the NFL in rush d?Comment -
They don't have to get a lot of yards on the ground against the Bears to be successful. It's all about the attempts with GB's running game. 25 for 70 yards will be more than enough against the Bears. It's the threat of the run and favorable down and distance that is the key to GB's offense. Stay away from the 2nd and 9's, 3rd and 10's and they'll be fine.Originally posted by bigkrezca32
On ST's they punted away from Hester out of bounds and when he did catch it he was pinned on the sidelines. Expect more of the same.
What is Cutler and his average receivers going to do against GB's secondary? Contain Forte on the ground which they did last game and make Cutler beat you with his arm. Don't think it's in him to do that.Comment -
Good luck with that, I don't care if if 90% of the public is on Green Bay, I'll be on the Packers!!!Originally posted by CROANT
Looks like 80% is on the Pack now, and the spread is rising, as it's at -3.5 now...
65-70% of the public is also on the Steelers as that line is now at -3.5Comment -
Did you get the email Max?Comment -
Yes. Did you get my reply?Originally posted by riggsComment
