Week 10 NFL picks--(67% correct ATS on the season)

[HiTMaNN]

01/20/2011 17:23:44

Team #1: Chicago Bears
Line #1: Spread +4 (-115)
Wager #1: $500

[StackinGreen]

Max,

Funny, I like both unders as well ... seems the only thing we disagree on is the Bears game, which I've just played cautiously. My worry for you there is that Chicago can't win big but the Packers clearly can ...

In any case, I know you've done your due diligence. Best,

Stacker

[martinmobley]

Max,

Funny, I like both unders as well ... seems the only thing we disagree on is the Bears game, which I've just played cautiously. My worry for you there is that Chicago can't win big but the Packers clearly can ...

In any case, I know you've done your due diligence. Best,

Stacker

I don't get your reasoning that the Bears can't win big but Packers can? A run back from Hester, a Rodgers INT or fumble.... if Cutler is having a hot day... Bears could blow out the Pack at home. I don't think it's necessarily going to happen, but I think Bears have as much of a chance blowing out the Packers as the Pack does the Bears. I think this game is a toss up and will be close. I see some value in taking Bears ML at +175.

[Lockitup1x]

Max, thanks for being so open with your analysis
I like the Bears pick

[jas19illini]

I think there's some value in the Bears ML as well, but i wouldnt say im super confident in that pick. Id much rather take the pts.

[Maxlock]

01/20/2011 17:23:44 Team #1: Chicago Bears Line #1: Spread +4 (-115) Wager #1: $500

Max, thanks for being so open with your analysis I like the Bears pick

I think there's some value in the Bears ML as well, but i wouldnt say im super confident in that pick. Id much rather take the pts.

Lets Cash

[jas19illini]

I havent been this excited for some football games in awhile. These matchups look so awesome on paper. Unfortunately, usually when games are hyped up this much they tend to not live up to the billing. Hope thats not the case this weekend.

[shiznit]

Just read all 26 pages of this thread.. Quite a journey.

Shows the difference that determination, hard work.. and great resolve can do.

THanks Max..

I agree with your pix this weekend.. Greenbay bogs down on this 3rd road game and i believe Jets will be emotionally spent after avenging the 45-3 asswhipping a few weeks ago. Last weekend was their superbowl.

I see a pitt whipping and a tight tight Bear game.

Good luck to all.

The Shiz

[Maxlock]

Here it is one more time..BOl to those playing these plays.

MAXLOCK NFL HANDICAPPING:
(all documented in thread)
Regular Season Weeks 10-17: 33-21-2 ATS

Wild Card Round: 3-0 ATS
-GB +2.5 over Phily=W
-Baltimore -3 over KC=W
-NY Jets +3 over Indy=W

Divisional Round 3-0 ATS
-GB +2.5 over Atl=W
-NY Jets +8.5 over New England=W
-Chicago -10 over Seattle=W

TOTAL: 39-21-2 ATS 65%

***********************************odds off sportsbook.com as of 5:00 pm eastern Thursday
AFC: NY JETS @Pittsburgh
PICK STEELERS -3.5 (-110)

NFC: GB Packers @ Chicago
PICK BEARS +3.5 (-110)

*How many units you wish to place on these games is up to you, BUT these are equal type games for me.
BOL....LETS ROLL

[gilbert91016]

Bol to everyone today. Let's make some $$$$

[CROANT]

Already locked in with these Max - let's roll!

[Maxlock]

Already locked in with these Max - let's roll!

[kenjikash]

Good luck to all those who are rolling with the bears and steelers.

[vitalyo]

GL Max (and a crew) i hope you guys finish strong .
Solid picks Max

Last night i got GB/Chi UNDER 44
and Jets /Pitt UNDER 39


GL.

[Capybara]

I'm 100% against ya today, Max! Which scares me since you're on a sick roll! Good luck, though. At least one of us will cash!

Also like the Jets/Steelers under 38.5.

[815Sox]

I am playing Bears and Steelers too. Chicago sports radio reporting that Harris has an injured hip, will start though. Do not forget Major Wright is also playing hurt as well.

"CHICAGO -- Chicago Bears safety Chris Harris (hip) is active for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game and will start.

It will be interesting to see how long Harris lasts in this game. As Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reported, Harris has a torn muscle in his hip and needed a pain-killing injection Sunday morning. Rookie Major Wright will be available in reserve.

As expected, Bears tight end Desmond Clark will play in this game after being deactivated for 11 games during the regular season. As a result, the Bears have four receivers and four tight ends active for this game.

Here are the Bears’ eight inactive players:
Quarterback Caleb Hanie
Receiver Devin Aromashodu
Safety Craig Steltz
Defensive back Joshua Moore
Running back Kahlil Bell
Offensive lineman Herman Johnson
Offensive lineman Edwin Williams
Defensive lineman Marcus Harrison"

Compared to the Pack, this is nothing but having Harris hurt is not good.

[sinhdinh]

Back to basic champinship game .Home teams and under is the best way to go. GB is wildcard .It was lucky to win two game to come here.This time CHI will blow them out.

[JMF2479]

I'm on board this week with your plays max. Good luck

[Maxlock]

MAXLOCK NFL HANDICAPPING: (all documented in thread) Regular Season Weeks 10-17: 33-21-2 ATS
Wild Card Round: 3-0 ATS
-GB +2.5 over Phily=W
-Baltimore -3 over KC=W
-NY Jets +3 over Indy=W
Divisional Round 3-0 ATS
-GB +2.5 over Atl=W
-NY Jets +8.5 over New England=W
-Chicago -10 over Seattle=W

TOTAL: 39-21-2 ATS 65% ***********************************odds off sportsbook.com as of 5:00 pm eastern Thursday
AFC: NY JETS @Pittsburgh PICK STEELERS -3.5 (-110)
NFC: GB Packers @ Chicago PICK BEARS +3.5 (-110)

*How many units you wish to place on these games is up to you, BUT these are equal type games for me. BOL....LETS ROLL

Bears +3.5=Lose

Steelers =3.5=Win

Documented ATS Record to date: 40-22-2

Playoff ATS: 7-1

I still stand by my Bears +3.5 selection. I don't and won't whine about officiating, but I think it clearly favored the Packers in key situations. Not to mention a horrible play call on third and three as the Bears were driving for the tying TD with one minute left. The Bears defense did an excellent job on Rodgers and the Pack offense, as they only gave up 14 points offensive points, all of which were scored in the first half. Its a shame that the Bears have a pussy of a QB in Cutler. A bigger "shame" for lack of a better term is that the third stringer outplayed Cutler...anyways..1-1 ATS to end the day. There was no denying me and the Steelers selection.

I WILL NOT BE DENIED IN THE SUPERBOWL. BANK THIS SH*T. I WILL FINISH THE PLAYOFFS 8-1***

[daneault23]

Bears +3.5=Lose

Steelers =3.5=Win

Documented ATS Record to date: 40-22-2

Playoff ATS: 7-1

I still stand by my Bears +3.5 selection. I don't and won't whine about officiating, but I think it clearly favored the Packers in key situations. Not to mention a horrible play call on third and three as the Bears were driving for the tying TD with one minute left. The Bears defense did an excellent job on Rodgers and the Pack offense, as they only gave up 14 points offensive points, all of which were scored in the first half. Its a shame that the Bears have a pussy of a QB in Cutler. A bigger "shame" for lack of a better term is that the third stringer outplayed Cutler...anyways..1-1 ATS to end the day. There was no denying me and the Steelers selection.

I WILL NOT BE DENIED IN THE SUPERBOWL. BANK THIS SH*T. I WILL FINISH THE PLAYOFFS 8-1***

You already have your play?

[Maxlock]

You already have your play?

Early lean, nothing final.

[Binhduong]

Just glad your first come early. Big double down on the Steelers. Great Job again, Max.

[geauxtac1911]

The suspense is killing me...sportsbook.com has GB -2.5 right now. If that's the play, obviously I'd love to hit before it reaches -3. But I understand patience is key, and that's why I'm tailin you Max and not doing my own thing.

Thanks Max for some great picks! Have to be honest, I was with you on the steelers, but followed Riggs with the packers. But I was also on the under for the steelers/jets, so that sucked!

[Maxlock]

The suspense is killing me...sportsbook.com has GB -2.5 right now. If that's the play, obviously I'd love to hit before it reaches -3. But I understand patience is key, and that's why I'm tailin you Max and not doing my own thing.

Thanks Max for some great picks! Have to be honest, I was with you on the steelers, but followed Riggs with the packers. But I was also on the under for the steelers/jets, so that sucked!

I'll talk it over with a few cappers I trust and see if we can determine which way the line will move.


If that can be determined then I could release the Superbowl pick sooner.

[geauxtac1911]

Sounds great Max...I'll be here waiting!!

[geeze]

Do you think it's important that Ben was held scoreless the entire second half against 19 unanswered points with regard to analyzing the Super Bowl?

Or will the dynamics of the SB be different and make that irrelevant?

Thank you.

[Maxlock]

Do you think it's important that Ben was held scoreless the entire second half against 19 unanswered points with regard to analyzing the Super Bowl?

Or will the dynamics of the SB be different and make that irrelevant?

Thank you.

With regards to your question, that particular factoid is pretty irrelevant. The jets adjusted their defense in the second half which resulted in 0 second half points.

Let's not forget Rodgers was also held scoreless in the second half. Neither Big Ben nor Rodgers played particularly well.

As far as the analyzing the match up for the Superbowl game, its a whole different ball game and brings on unique perspectives and dilemmas as it pertains to capping.

When I do analyze everything and come up with a pick..Im confident ill have a winner.

[gilbert91016]

Im Leaning Pitt ML. Max.

[Prop Bet Master]

Pittsburgh came through, I figured they would. Nice run! I'll definitely check in for your lock Super Bowl winner! Hopefully you and riggs will be on the same side. Good luck!

[HiTMaNN]

After the bears loss I tripled down on the steelers so I could see some profit.

[Maxlock]

After the bears loss I tripled down on the steelers so I could see some profit.

There was no way id go 0-2. Nice job of recognizing that.


I'll be spending some time today sifting through data and stats and other capping perspectives..ill have a Superbowl winner later in the week

[demens]

You're approving his chasing.

[Maxlock]

You're approving his chasing.

I provide winning picks. At 65% ATS on the season its up to the individual how much units they want to bet. I think everyone can decide how they want to manage and space out their bets.

All I was saying is that at 65% on the season and 7-1 ATS playoffs, odds were hugely in our favor that Pittsburgh would cover the spread.

[HiTMaNN]

You're approving his chasing.

It's only called chasing if you lose Shouldn't you be in Lakerboys thread anyways?

[demens]

I provide winning picks. At 65% ATS on the season its up to the individual how much units they want to bet. I think everyone can decide how they want to manage and space out their bets.

All I was saying is that at 65% on the season and 7-1 ATS playoffs, odds were hugely in our favor that Pittsburgh would cover the spread.

Wouldn't hitting 65% and being 7-1 in the last 8 put the odds against you?