Week 10 NFL picks--(67% correct ATS on the season)

**ssk13809** · 11-09-10, 11:08 PM

Links of your success?

**Maxlock** · 11-09-10, 11:12 PM

We are new to this site, our documentation is on paper. I assure you we are 30-15-5 ATS through week 9. I understand your skepticism, but just keep an eye on these games, you'll be back next week I assure you.
-MAXLock

**ssk13809** · 11-09-10, 11:14 PM

Based on my analysis & estimation, I expect a 4-3 or 5-2 weekend for you.

**Maxlock** · 11-09-10, 11:24 PM

I think you'll be surprised by some of these outcomes.

**hitman2010** · 11-09-10, 11:30 PM

These seven plays I like 5 of them, the other twos are against me, but who know, too early, I will look into it to find some more information to see I am correct or you do.

**Fischnasty** · 11-10-10, 12:46 AM

im thinking abuot playing atlanta on thursday myself. good luck with the rest of your plays.

**Stevedore** · 11-10-10, 12:58 AM

Love his Houston pick and hate his Miami play. Miami is trending downward IMO.

**KingJIM** · 11-10-10, 01:06 AM

Originally posted by Maxlock

We are new to this site, our documentation is on paper. I assure you we are 30-15-5 ATS through week 9. I understand your skepticism, but just keep an eye on these games, you'll be back next week I assure you.
-MAXLock

On what paper? Toliet paper? Good Luck with your plays though.

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 09:46 AM

Originally posted by KingJIM

On what paper? Toliet paper? Good Luck with your plays though.

I'm hitting 67% on the season. My record of 30-15-5 ATS speaks for itself. Hate on it.

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 09:52 AM

Miami has through recent years has always been tough at home. I don't put much stock in the fact that they are winless at home this season simply due to the fact of that they have played some of the best teams at home. (Jets, Patriots, Steelers) Miami is the pick to pull away in the fourth quarter with a strong running game and a very reliable kicking game to cover the 1 point.

**hitman2010** · 11-10-10, 11:57 AM

Miami win over Tennessee. Maybe Ten lose because Moss make the bad move.

**gshock1** · 11-10-10, 12:01 PM

Miami, Buffalo and Atlanta are very solid picks. They are on my card this weekend too!

**big0mar** · 11-10-10, 01:05 PM

Quick question...

Why would you mention a record that you can provide no documentation for? Whats the purpose? Why would you feel the need to convince anyone of your success?

**big0mar** · 11-10-10, 01:06 PM

**WEEK 10 FREE PICKS*7 game slate*

Free picks? Are there picks you charge for? Do you run a service?

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 01:30 PM

In the past all i did was bet on my own picks. Therefore, I never felt the need to document via some sort of site. People around me recently suggested that I take this succesful hobby up publicly to prove all the doubters out there wrong and help people beat the books over the entire season. So to answer your question, yes the picks are free and no I don't run a site just yet, because I'm still new to public handicapping. Rest assured you'll make money doing my picks. The one suggestion I have to all my followers is that all my games are weighted equally. So whatever you put one game do the same for the others. I do my homework like non other and make my decisions completely unbiased, where as some handicappers weigh certain information too much and that is the ultimate downfall. Another thing, I don't fall into the trap of public betting, I've been following spreads and how teams respond in certain situations for quite some time. So my 30-15-5 ATS NFL record is not surprising for the people who have been following my advice.

**ChileCheese** · 11-10-10, 03:23 PM

you mention unbiased research, but you dont utter one word about any pick. I can flip a coin too.

**VicVega91** · 11-10-10, 03:27 PM

Bookmarked this to come back and check .............. I think you will be 2-5 but what the hell do I know

good luck!

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by VicVega91

Bookmarked this to come back and check .............. I think you will be 2-5 but what the hell do I know good luck!

I don't handicap my games like the general public, I try and put myself in the shoes of the oddsmakers. This is just one tactic in my overall success. Check back Monday on the results.

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by ChileCheese

you mention unbiased research, but you dont utter one word about any pick. I can flip a coin too.

First, off we're 30-15-5 ATS this year, so if you can flip a coin to do that for you go ahead. Secondly, the reason why I don't write up a summary of my prognosis on the games is because I dont get paid for giving you my winners. Thirdly, I myself wager on these games that I have listed. I still do very thorough research on each game even though I don't have a write up on here. When the demand is therefor me to write up a summary of why I choice which side, I will.

All I can ask of you is keep your skepticism at bay for now and check back on my results Monday/Tuesday, I think you'll be quite surprised my man.

**PUDS** · 11-10-10, 04:22 PM

Welcome and good luck for this week !
i will be looking into your thread

**Scully** · 11-10-10, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Based on my analysis & estimation, I expect a 4-3 or 5-2 weekend for you.

Well there you have it. Based on this above joke alone, I expect you to go 7-0 or 6-1.

**low Q** · 11-10-10, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by Maxlock

We are new to this site, our documentation is on paper. I assure you we are 30-15-5 ATS through week 9. I understand your skepticism, but just keep an eye on these games, you'll be back next week I assure you.
-MAXLock

Is there a website where we could see your past picks?

**halofan** · 11-10-10, 05:18 PM

i call bullshit

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by halofan

i call bullshit

bookmark this thread, you'll be back the following week..

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by low Q

Is there a website where we could see your past picks?

As i wrote before, I am completely new to public handicapping, my picks were never recorded on a site. I only recorded them for myself, because I bet them. I have every pick written down starting from week 1 to now and the spread I bet it at. It was only after people around me started seeing the rate at which I was hitting my picks that they advised me to go public with my picks to have "proof." So this is what I am doing now..

**Maxlock** · 11-10-10, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by VicVega91

Bookmarked this to come back and check .............. I think you will be 2-5 but what the hell do I know good luck!

Appreciate you following up for the next week. I have kept my success to myself for too long, therefore I am now getting into public handicapping. I am looking forward to a very successful weekend!! 8 game slate..

**gshock1** · 11-10-10, 08:50 PM

Does Pennington starting impact your Dolphins pick?

**Jerbowski** · 11-10-10, 08:59 PM

Agreed. I am a Dolphins fan, but I dont think Pennington is better than Henne..........maybe not worse but definately not better. Miami cant score in the endzone. Ten is actually #1 on my overall numbers.
Some stats- OFF avg TEN 28pts vs MIA 18pts
DEF avg TEN 19pts vs MIA 22pts
I know that Miami wants to FINALLY win at home this year, but I dont think that this will be the team or the week.

ALSO, I cant see Washington beating Philly. Especially with the McNabb controversy.

**Dr.Money** · 11-10-10, 10:23 PM

Bol2u!

**Maxlock** · 11-11-10, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by Jerbowski

Agreed. I am a Dolphins fan, but I dont think Pennington is better than Henne..........maybe not worse but definately not better. Miami cant score in the endzone. Ten is actually #1 on my overall numbers. Some stats- OFF avg TEN 28pts vs MIA 18pts DEF avg TEN 19pts vs MIA 22pts I know that Miami wants to FINALLY win at home this year, but I dont think that this will be the team or the week. ALSO, I cant see Washington beating Philly. Especially with the McNabb controversy.

Sparano choose Pennington as the starting QB because he will eliminate dumb decisions and turnovers that Henne was prone to make over and over. Pennington is known as a very accurate passer, although hes not known to fling the fall downfield. In my opinion this move will work out well for the Dolphins. Brandon Marshall is more of a Yards after catch type reciever versus a vertical receiver so he will get alot of yards after the catch. The same goes for Devon Bess. More on Henne: he's been on a steady down slope the past few weeks. Last week he had 3 interceptions and 2 fumbles against the Ravens. In the win over the Bengals he has one pic, and a very pedestrian 69.3 QB rating. I really put much of the red zone woes on Henne, he just doesn't seem to be a smart decision maker right now especially when it matters most in the red zone. Now with Pennington, they will have a very balanced running attack, accurate passer with the ability to give his receivers YAC, a very reliable kicker, and an above average defense.

The dolphins don't blow anyone out but they are the smart play here at home +1. Tennessee is getting to much respect from the general public simply because of the Moss move.

Now on to the Monday Game: Phily at Washington

Mike Shanahan is 9-4 ATS coming off the bye. Don't think he'll be ready for Vick and his antics? Give the smartest coaches 2 weeks to prepare and I think he will. I actually think this Eagles team is vastly overrated due to the Vick presence. I see Washington limiting Vick's ability to scramble and this will lead to some ill advised throws in favor of the Redskins. So far last time I checked Vick has 0 interceptions on the season. One can only wonder is this the game he finally throws 2 picks. Did we forget the last time Mcnabb got benched during his pitiful performance vs the Ravens in 2009? He came back and had one of his strongest games and seasons. Following his in game benching, Mcnabb went on to beat Arizona 48-20 as he threw for 260 yards and 4 Tds. They went on to win 4 0ut of their last 5 games.

Washington getting points at home on Monday Night is the right choice here. When the Packers lost here this year, Aaron Rodgers stated that he was surprised by how loud the fans at FedEX were. In Vegas about 90% of the bets are going on Phily, yet the line has not moved at all. Vegas is baiting people to bet Phily.

Take Washington plus the 3

**Maxlock** · 11-11-10, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by gshock1

Does Pennington starting impact your Dolphins pick?

No, Pennington starting does not affect my pick. I actually think he will help them by eliminating the turnovers that Henne constantly made. Check out my other post for a better analysis on that move.

**EXhoosier10** · 11-11-10, 10:31 AM

glad you're so good at paper betting. I hope one day you can actually prove to be a .500+ bettor

**Maxlock** · 11-11-10, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

glad you're so good at paper betting. I hope one day you can actually prove to be a .500+ bettor

The people who bet my games know that I am 30-15-5 on the season ATS. I'm looking forward to a big week this week with 8 games on the slate, follow through on Monday and you'll be a believer. Till then hold on to the hatarade.

**PayDay** · 11-11-10, 11:26 AM

Atlanta seems solid tonight.

Bol