SSK's NFL Thread

[ssk13809]

I've also found new confidence in teasers. Everyone knows when I miss my ATS plays I barely miss them. So naturally teasers might be a good thing for me. I went 2-0 in them today, a 2 team and a 3 team. Will do more of those in the future as well.


But +27 units +17% increase in bankroll on 5-1 was good...

Now on to the weekend. I already have Redskins, the rest of the plays will be posted tomorrow.

[MickeyMan]

ssk, it is so nice to see a capper on here who isn't always saying how great he is and talking down to other people.

[bobbyk1133]

I got it as early as I saw it. I usually 1st check lines on Tuesday. I guess it was too late.

If you aren't checking lines until Tuesday then you have a long way to go as a capper. I'm surprised someone from your team of experts hasn't pointed this out to you yet.

[ScottLocke]

ssk, it is so nice to see a capper on here who isn't always saying how great he is and talking down to other people.

You must be leveling with us or new to this thread.

[ssk13809]

If you aren't checking lines until Tuesday then you have a long way to go as a capper. I'm surprised someone from your team of experts hasn't pointed this out to you yet.

Just don't care about next week till current week is over.

[ssk13809]

I've updated my units & records.

I'm nearly at a 100% increase of my bankroll in about 8 weeks. Was projected to do it this week, and a big Thanksgiving Thursday (big as projected) has pointed me to the right direction. Should finish the job this Sunday.

I have some nice plays. Will post them tomorrow night.




I will also start doing more teasers (and maybe less Parlays), now I've figured out how they work, I must say I really like them. Will keep a separate record for them as well.

[bobbyk1133]

Just don't care about next week till current week is over.

Then you must not care about value. If you add up all of the games you'll lose over the course of a season because of unfavorable line movement you'll realize how big of a dent it makes in your profit margin.

It's hard enough to find an edge ATS, it doesn't make much sense to throw some of it away due to ignorance.

[ssk13809]

Then you must not care about value. If you add up all of the games you'll lose over the course of a season because of unfavorable line movement you'll realize how big of a dent it makes in your profit margin.

It's hard enough to find an edge ATS, it doesn't make much sense to throw some of it away due to ignorance.

Come on bobby. You are talking to SSK. I make so much profits a little loss here and there (once a while) is not hurting me.


Honestly, the real reason I lost was because I didn't buy half a point. I did in real-life, I always do around -3, but here I know my ATS picks go in the contest against ScottLocke, and I don't think it's fair if I buy points on my ATS pick and count that as my record. So I don't even when I do. Granted I still lost a little more juice, and still would've saved going early, but the loss wasn't that bad.


But yeah, as I said earlier, I don't really care about "juice" that much. I win so often it's kind of irrelevant.

[bobbyk1133]

It is a little funny how transparent you are, but I think when you're old enough to buy a beer you'll look back and have a nice laugh.

[ssk13809]

It is a little funny how transparent you are, but I think when you're old enough to buy a beer you'll look back and have a nice laugh.

Excuse me? I'm already old enough. And I really don't see anything funny about what I said. Neither do all the results I've posted. Quite frankly, I could do much better than I have up to this point. I have struggled with parlays primarily, and am working on fixing up these issues. I can only get better imo.

[tad0matic]

can't we all just get along

[ssk13809]

Too many haters these days

[ScottLocke]

Excuse me? I'm already old enough. And I really don't see anything funny about what I said. Neither do all the results I've posted. Quite frankly, I could do much better than I have up to this point. I have struggled with parlays primarily, and am working on fixing up these issues. I can only get better imo.

Well I don't think you've mentioned a "Parlay team" maybe that could be why you're struggling. Maybe you just have to put together a Parlay team to consult everytime before you make a parlay bet and then you will be fine.

[The J-Dizzle]

SSK I'm thinking of a teaser myself. I like Ravens-1 but also thinking about Packers+7 or Steelers ML together with Ravens.

[big0mar]

I think we all know who this is

[ssk13809]

SSK I'm thinking of a teaser myself. I like Ravens-1 but also thinking about Packers+7 or Steelers ML together with Ravens.

Teasing with Ravens -1 is a good idea. The Packers +7 or Steelers ML, has some risk that would not give you a guarantee winner teaser.

[BetterBizness]

Before I call you out on this after the fact... I figured I'd head this all off at the pass... I just wanted to know since you posted your lock then took it back..

"Redskins -2.5
Risk 16.5 to Win 15

And like with all locks,

Redskins -135
Risk 13.5 to Win 10"

Is NOT a play as originally posted?

Because at WORST if you want to reneg the play you should be betting against your posted LOCKS and paying the juice...

I mean your little ssk fanboys are all in for nearly 30 units, and you downgraded suddenly to just 10?

I would say nearly EVERY significant Capper on this forum, when posting a play... Stands by the play.. Or pays the Juice to reverse it... in this case I would argue you should lose 2 Units if you want what little credibility you have to be maintained...

I am partially already calling you out because the fact is that even just posting it and editing it out makes it look fishy... BIG NO NO in "Im the greatest capper" on SBRville...

[ChileCheese]

Teasing with Ravens -1 is a good idea. The Packers +7 or Steelers ML, has some risk that would not give you a guarantee winner teaser.

What risk do you assess?
I think any side of a 7 point teaser with GB and ATL should be safe?
Also, are you predicting a Bills upset?

[big0mar]

Before I call you out on this after the fact... I figured I'd head this all off at the pass... I just wanted to know since you posted your lock then took it back.. "Redskins -2.5 Risk 16.5 to Win 15 And like with all locks, Redskins -135 Risk 13.5 to Win 10" Is NOT a play as originally posted? Because at WORST if you want to reneg the play you should be betting against your posted LOCKS and paying the juice... I mean your little ssk fanboys are all in for nearly 30 units, and you downgraded suddenly to just 10? I would say nearly EVERY significant Capper on this forum, when posting a play... Stands by the play.. Or pays the Juice to reverse it... in this case I would argue you should lose 2 Units if you want what little credibility you have to be maintained... I am partially already calling you out because the fact is that even just posting it and editing it out makes it look fishy... BIG NO NO in "Im the greatest capper" on SBRville...

Too late for him to reverse it. Line has moved

Although nothing these guys try surprises me anymore.

[turkstock]

love the thread, love the picks, keep em comin, keep the confident attitude!

[Full Time Hobo]

releasing your picks today?

[ssk13809]

Before I call you out on this after the fact... I figured I'd head this all off at the pass... I just wanted to know since you posted your lock then took it back..

"Redskins -2.5
Risk 16.5 to Win 15

And like with all locks,

Redskins -135
Risk 13.5 to Win 10"

Is NOT a play as originally posted?

Because at WORST if you want to reneg the play you should be betting against your posted LOCKS and paying the juice...

I mean your little ssk fanboys are all in for nearly 30 units, and you downgraded suddenly to just 10?

I would say nearly EVERY significant Capper on this forum, when posting a play... Stands by the play.. Or pays the Juice to reverse it... in this case I would argue you should lose 2 Units if you want what little credibility you have to be maintained...

I am partially already calling you out because the fact is that even just posting it and editing it out makes it look fishy... BIG NO NO in "Im the greatest capper" on SBRville...

1. I edited that 2min after I posted. Find me 1 who was able to book all that in 1 minute and tailed me.

2. There is no need for me to eat the juice. I already said I booked BOTH the ATS and ML. I did. I booked what I posted. So why would I need to eat juice? The action is just like I posted.

However, it is not a LOCK. And I sign locks by ML + ATS. So just for the sake of the "SBR" label, I took off the ML bet on SBR. Because it's not a lock. So I can't bet ML + ATS. Even though I did in real-life, but just for the sake of SBR, I took that off.


3. You care so much about SUCH a minor issue? 2 minutes? Seriously. Nobody lost a penny on ML because of tailing me whether WAS wins or loses. Once again, no need for me to eat the juice, I've already said I DID bet both ATS and ML in real-life. But just for the sake of the "SBR" Definition I have in a "Lock", I took off the ML.







Make sense? Did I do something wrong? Because it's not a lock.

[ssk13809]

Too late for him to reverse it. Line has moved

Although nothing these guys try surprises me anymore.

What's there to reverse? I booked the action then and there for myself as I already said. Why would I need to eat any juice or anything?


Continue hating. I'll continue winning. Like what has happened the entire thread.

[ssk13809]

So one more time guys lets not waste our time arguing about the most minor possible details


1. I posted a play 3 days ago, and took it off in 2 minutes. The game still hasn't started. No one tailed anything I posted in 2 minutes.

2. I still booked the action for myself. So there is no need for reversals or eating juice. I booked for myself what I posted.

3. I defined LOCK's in my thread as the games I bet ATS + ML on. That game was not a lock and I realized I made it a ATS + ML bet. So for the sake of the my SBR's Lock definition, I removed the ML. Just for the sake of a definition, and the fact the game hadn't started, and no one had booked action.


Nothing went wrong. Stop making an issue out of nothing.

[ssk13809]

releasing your picks today?

Yes. Later tonight, rest of weekend's picks will be released.

So far I have


Redskins -2.5
Risk 11 to Win 10


You could probably get a better line for it.

[ssk13809]

What risk do you assess?
I think any side of a 7 point teaser with GB and ATL should be safe?
Also, are you predicting a Bills upset?

For me, Teasers have to consist of highly probable bets. That's what my teasers are made of. I think Bills or Atl/GB can surprise. In fact, I would take Falcons +7 in a teaser, but not GB, because ATL can come out very strong at home, and GB can sometimes just look bad. But ATL on the other hand is always playing well at home, so I don't expect them to dissapoint, very low probablity.

[GoCougs!]

Looking forward to your picks.
I'd like to hear your thoughts on the Seahawks as well.

[BetterBizness]

So one more time guys lets not waste our time arguing about the most minor possible details


1. I posted a play 3 days ago, and took it off in 2 minutes. The game still hasn't started. No one tailed anything I posted in 2 minutes.

2. I still booked the action for myself. So there is no need for reversals or eating juice. I booked for myself what I posted.

3. I defined LOCK's in my thread as the games I bet ATS + ML on. That game was not a lock and I realized I made it a ATS + ML bet. So for the sake of the my SBR's Lock definition, I removed the ML. Just for the sake of a definition, and the fact the game hadn't started, and no one had booked action.


Nothing went wrong. Stop making an issue out of nothing.

It's very clear in one of my reply posts the "bet" you made.. It was obviously on for hours, not minutes... you live it... its your thread... You can lie cheat and steal all you like...

[ssk13809]

It's very clear in one of my reply posts the "bet" you made.. It was obviously on for hours, not minutes... you live it... its your thread... You can lie cheat and steal all you like...

Go read again. I posted it at 9:05, informed I was going to change it at 9:13, and you posted at 9:29.

Once again, MINUTES. lol at hours


And once again, it's purely for the SBR Lock label. Which it does not have. Otherwise, I still bet it in real life, but it's just not a lock.


You are acting like I changed it after teh game started

That would be an issue. But its ridiculously sad you are making this in issue. Am I that good? THIS is all you have left to pick on?

[ssk13809]

I mean, I've seen threads of cappers become an issue when a capper tries to change a bet after the game starts, or changes the bet to get a better line or something to his advantage.

But because I posted a bet, and canceled it within minutes without any new information, I lie and cheat?
Did I gain ANY advantage?


And the reason I changed it was just because I said I bet ATS + ML on my locks, and that wasn't a lock, so I took the ML bet off SBR for the the sake of the "label" of the LOCK and consistency. I still admit I am betting it in real life.







I know it's hard to find faults on such a good capper like me, but seriously you have to stoop this low?

[ssk13809]

I already have

Redskins -2.5
Risk 11 to Win 10



The rest of my Weekend Plays:


Seahawks +2
Risk 11 to Win 10


Panthers +400
Risk 4 to Win 16


Rams +170
Risk 8 to Win 13.6


3 Team Teaser (6 points)
Redskins +5
Seahawks +8.5
Chargers +8.5
Risk 5.5 to win 10


2 Team Teaser (7 points)
Buccaneers +14.5
Rams +10.5
Risk 10 to Win 7.5



Panthers +10
Bucs +9
Jaguars +7.5
Rams +4

Risk 3 to Win 31.7




Overall, my analysts don't predict I do as well as I did Thursday. However, the predictions are higher than they were last week, so that's a good sign. Anyways, those are my plays, good luck to you all.

[Full Time Hobo]

Good luck

Youre risking alot so lets hope you cash in this week

[ssk13809]

Good luck

Youre risking alot so lets hope you cash in this week

Well that's mainly because my bankroll is bigger now

[RAVENSFAN]

GL man, I've followed your thread a bit and had a look. Not questioning any of your plays, just curious why you like the Redskins so much? Got em on your teaser and they were your first posted pick so must have been something about them and I'm just curious. Thanks

[wquine]

how can anyone pick the panthers right now? I'm all ears about how they could cover SSK. I think clevland rolls.