1. #1
    imgv94
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    Play The Under In The Bucs/Redskins Game

    Play The Under In The Bucs/Redskins Game Trust Me!!
    Not My Personal Pick But This Pick Is From My Dad's
    Friend in Vegas Who Makes A Living And He is Betting $100,000 on the Under.He has known my dad for 40
    years. He is Italian Also.. Well there's some good inside info for ya..
    Oh yeah he loves Pittsburgh too..

    Also he for some reason loves whoever plays
    Seattle next week. He says Seattle is overrated
    Last edited by imgv94; 01-07-06 at 10:53 AM.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
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    i just wonder how burnell will be against the bucs defense.

  3. #3
    RamblinRoyce
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    and i wonder how they'll perform in good weather and it's the playoffs...

  4. #4
    Razz
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    You know I am with you on this. With these conservative head coaches, who love running the ball, a tight playoff atmosphere, and defenses that are far superior to the offenses, I fully expect a 13-10 type of game.

  5. #5
    imgv94
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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz
    You know I am with you on this. With these conservative head coaches, who love running the ball, a tight playoff atmosphere, and defenses that are far superior to the offenses, I fully expect a 13-10 type of game.

    Thats exactly what I told my friend who i am
    on the phone with right now,he just asked me
    what I think the score will be I said 13-10...
    15 secs later
    I read this post and you write the same score!!!

    Weird!!!!! hey razz when you and i are together
    on a bet i think we are 4-0-1.. I think we will
    win again. good luck bud!!!

  6. #6
    mad
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    Not sure about the under, but give me Brunell, Portis, Moss, Gibbs and points anyday, all day long.

  7. #7
    RamblinRoyce
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    hmmm...yeah, sometimes i wonder...after reviewing posts i can't tell if he's really trying to help others or... ?

    After final review, I'd stake 100k against your dad's buddy and pick OVER 37 if i had the flow... but i don't, so i'll just say 83 units.
    Last edited by RamblinRoyce; 01-07-06 at 12:32 PM.

  8. #8
    isetcap
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    REDSKINS AND THE UNDER.

    This is the easiest mark of the 4 this weekend. I can't visualize a way that Tampa does any better than kick field goals in this game. Both teams need to run and Gibbs wants the game to be short. The line is skewed because of the NFL screwjob in the first matchup, but that was a totally different Redskins team. If you want proof, check out the Razz post breaking down this weekend's action.

    Catch the Redskins moneyline (+105) before it loses its value!

  9. #9
    imgv94
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    Yep Yep. Ramblinroyce you really are a rambler huh?? well i love to help!!!

    I was watching ESPN and they were mentioning how the REDSKINS have
    a depleted secondary and how TB should win.. they made me wonder.

    I still love the under.. not as much as the STEELERS!!! whew STEELERS!!

  10. #10
    mad
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    Not sure about 10-13 fellas, was thinking more along the lines of 21-17. Think they'll score a couple of touchdowns each so i played the over 36.5.

  11. #11
    begolf25
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    Hey IMG, don't put too much stock into what the "experts" on ESPN have to say. I keep hearing about this, beat-up, depleted Washington secondary. The only question mark today is Shawn Springs. The Redskins are actually healthier today then they have been most of the year. As its already been mentioned on the board the skins also have Sean Taylor and Cornelius Griffin in the line up, both missed the first game. Cornelius Griffin could be considered Washingtons MVP on defense this year.

  12. #12
    isetcap
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    If you made a practice of fading espn "experts", you would be flourishing.

  13. #13
    begolf25
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    Quote Originally Posted by isetcap
    If you made a practice of fading espn "experts", you would be flourishing.
    No doubt Isetcap, most of these networks seem to think that if you ever played the game it makes you qualified to be an analyst. They just get worse ever year.

  14. #14
    RamblinRoyce
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    how bout this for a proposition...there's a better chance of the game going OVER 44 than Under 37...over the past 4 years DURING THE PLAYOFFS, only 7 games out of 44 matchups have gone Under 37...go check it out. and 18 games went above 44 points...the rest are somewhere in between...those numbers aren't accurate but you can sort it out and the figures are around there.

    I know this doesn't factor in the teams' skills, but from those stats, it looks to me like teams come out revved up and scoring during playoffs. I don't think the coaches are goona be conservative and rely on their defenses to hold back points... they're gonna wanna be the ones to put up points.

    Points win games...The Best Defense is Offense...

    And being that they are reasonably equal teams, every score is goona have a response which translates to probably at least a 2 field goals per quarter...

    Considering their last matchup, the good weather, and it's a playoff game...I like the Over 37 bets...
    Last edited by RamblinRoyce; 01-07-06 at 02:55 PM.

  15. #15
    Razz
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    If you want a mind-blowing trend, there have been 13 playoff instances since 1993 that the home team has been favored, but by less than three. How many have gone over the total, you ask? Zero.

  16. #16
    RamblinRoyce
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    I have a hard time believing that one. How'd you get that stat? And the totals were not all 37...correct ?

  17. #17
    Razz
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    No, just all games where the home team was favored by 1, 1.5, 2, or 2.5. The thought process behind the trend is that the road team is equal to or slightly superior than the home team, and this combined with the pressure atmosphere, generally results in low scoring games.
    Thanks for questioning my post.

  18. #18
    RamblinRoyce
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    Not questioning you or your judgement. Just wanted to know how you got the data for that stat. Guess you have your own database.

  19. #19
    Illusion
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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz
    If you want a mind-blowing trend, there have been 13 playoff instances since 1993 that the home team has been favored, but by less than three. How many have gone over the total, you ask? Zero.
    Great stat Razz.

  20. #20
    imgv94
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    You were all warned.. congrats on everyone on board..

    I feel another amazing streak coming. stay tuned!!!

  21. #21
    imgv94
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    did anyone hammer this??? I hope..

    Hey you guys were right about the ESPN experts.
    Idiots..

    I bet they like the BENGALS.. idiots

  22. #22
    aje
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    Quote Originally Posted by RamblinRoyce
    I have a hard time believing that one. How'd you get that stat? And the totals were not all 37...correct ?
    http://www.turfnsport.com/guido.html

    NFL PLAYOFF GAMES ONLY SINCE 1985
    TOTALS:
    Play the UNDER if the game line is less than -3 (31-10, 75.6%): The only current qualifier for this week is the Washington/Tampa Bay UNDER as the Buccaneers are currently favored by 2 points. Please note that the Carolina/New York Giants and the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati games are currently on exactly three, meaning that the UNDERS do NOT qualify for now but would if the lines dip below the magical three.

  23. #23
    imgv94
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    hey thanks bro..

    I tried to give royce a lesson he didn't want it.

    He will feel the same way when the $teeler$ win tomorrow..

  24. #24
    BuddyBear
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    good call....also, fading ESPN experts is a good way to make money. Very heavy on favorites and "high scoring games"

  25. #25
    RamblinRoyce
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    Ya sure did teach me IMG - you have all my respect now...

    I bet Pitts too, and it's all cuz you posted such a convincing LOCK...

    I know when you do this, it's S-O-L-I-D cuz of the Rarity of such posts. And I know when you Bet over 83 units, it's S-U-P-E-R S-O-L-I-D ... but i still only bet 3. MAN, I"M STOOPID! I shoulda bet it all!

    Good Pick. Hope to see more.

  26. #26
    Illusion
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    Nice hit im.

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