Week 5 games that look good

FilletMaster · 10-04-10, 10:17 PM

haven't studied yet. however without doing so I LOVE Green Bay! I see them putting a whooping on the skins on the road, much like the Patriots did the fish tonight

mandude · 10-04-10, 10:20 PM

Yeah I havent dug too much into these either. I like these from what I've seen & where the lines are set. Other than these plays I'm not liking too much more in week 5.

uanl · 10-04-10, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by mandude

Here are some games that stand out to me early.

Den +7: I know Den is on back to back roadies here but with Balty coming off a huge divison win against Pitt has me thinking let down here.

Clev +3: To me this isn't the same pathetic Browns team we've seen the past few years. They could have easily won any of their 3 loses this year. I'm not sold on Atl being a road fav in this spot. I'll take the +3 on the home team here.

GB -2.5: This is probably my least favorite but once again like Balty I don't think Wash will have much left after their upset of division rival Philly.

NYG +3: I like how the G-Men matchup against Hou here & I'm just not a believer in Hou this year. I still think they struggle to make the playoffs. To me I see the Giants having a huge advantage with their D-line in this one.

SF -3.5: To me this is not a good spot for Philly to be in. Coming off an upset to div rival Wash & traveling across country with injuries to Vick & McCoy. I can see SF getting their first W of the season here.

i initially like the browns and 9ers ... not sure about the texans game or the ravens game yet...but in that redskins game, im leaning redskins initially..still a long week to go tho..gotta see line movements, bet percentages, look at some stats, etc.

hitman2010 · 10-04-10, 10:30 PM

Houston won Indy by 10, Indy won Giants by 20+, Houston -3 vs Giants.

mandude · 10-04-10, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by hitman2010

Houston won Indy by 10, Indy won Giants by 20+, Houston -3 vs Giants.

It means nothing to me. The NFL changes weekly based on how teams matchup in my opinion & I like how the Giants match up against the Texans.

uanl · 10-04-10, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by hitman2010

Houston won Indy by 10, Indy won Giants by 20+, Houston -3 vs Giants.

that is not the way to go about handicapping...

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-04-10, 11:07 PM

I think you are way off on about 3-4 of your leans.

Check out my plays for week 5: (I went 10-1 in NFL and NCAA football combined this week.)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/709845-weeks-5-nfl-bets-strong-leans-lines-out.html

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-04-10, 11:09 PM

I do like your 49ers pick however.

GunShard · 10-04-10, 11:25 PM

My plays are a little different than yours.

Balt -7
Clev +3
GB -2.5
Hou -3
Dal -6 (Coming out of a bye week.)

Also, since your planning to bet on the Broncos, you should wait for the lines to go up. I believe most people will be on the Ravens. The line should move up to +8 by the end of the week.

makemerich · 10-04-10, 11:26 PM

I'd take giants ml n gb too

mandude · 10-04-10, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

I think you are way off on about 3-4 of your leans.

Check out my plays for week 5: (I went 10-1 in NFL and NCAA football combined this week.)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...lines-out.html

I noticed that. Congrats. It was a great week for you. I saw that youre on the other side on a majority of these games but I don't like Balty -7 off a very tough game against Pitt & I don't think Atl should be laying -3 on the road against Clev. I'm not saying Balt & Atl will lose, I just don't think they cover. Out of the two I think Clev has a realistic chance at winning outright. I see that game being close & going down to the end.

Bswitz32 · 10-04-10, 11:27 PM

I am leaning GB-3 as well right now. Even thought they dont have a running game Aaron Rodgers is better the McNabb right now and they should take this one by a TD

BOL

jeeves · 10-04-10, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by mandude

GB -2.5: This is probably my least favorite but once again like Balty I don't think Wash will have much left after their upset of division rival Philly.

SF -3.5: To me this is not a good spot for Philly to be in. Coming off an upset to div rival Wash & traveling across country with injuries to Vick & McCoy. I can see SF getting their first W of the season here.

I'll probably ride these like a pony

mandude · 10-04-10, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

My plays are a little different than yours.

Balt -7
Clev +3
GB -2.5
Hou -3
Dal -6 (Coming out of a bye week.)

Also, since your planning to bet on the Broncos, you should wait for the lines to go up. I believe most people will be on the Ravens. The line should move up to +8 by the end of the week.

I thought about Dallas, but I don't feel comfortable laying -6 with them against Tenn. I think that line hits -7 by Sun. It's at -6.5 already & getting all sorts of love. I agree with the Den line. I think it may go higher so I'm gonna wait on that one. I may pull the trigger early on GB because it opened at -1 & it's already at -2.5. It probably will get to a -3 or -3.5 by Sun.

757sFinest · 10-04-10, 11:33 PM

Have to agree on the gb game. Seems like a sold play. Also love the over on rams at lions 42

Chris7mccabe · 10-04-10, 11:39 PM

I too like GB in this one plus the 49ers seem to be due for their first W and matchup relatively well. However, like unal said I want to let the week progress and check out some bet percentages, spread movements, and stats to see where it goes. I wanted to ask some of you guys what sites do you use or where do you go to check out statistics and where exactly the money is moving on strictly NFL games. thanks guys and BOL this week.

mandude · 10-05-10, 12:02 AM

I'm no sharp but I use SBR odds & Sportsinsights.com to track odds. As far as stats & trends I like to look at ESPN, Covers.com & Sportsbook.com. I havent played anything this week but those are the games that I'll be keeping a close eye on.

hitman2010 · 10-05-10, 12:12 AM

some games in my first glance:

Bill , Tampa, Cleveland, Detroit, Indy, GB, Giants, Saints, Oakland, SanFran.

Chris7mccabe · 10-05-10, 12:22 AM

Hey thanks a lot mandude I appreciate it and again good luck this weekend.

2Bdown · 10-05-10, 12:25 AM

Like the broncos and 7 pts

DarkNite · 10-05-10, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by mandude

Here are some games that stand out to me early.

Den +7: I know Den is on back to back roadies here but with Balty coming off a huge divison win against Pitt has me thinking let down here.

Clev +3: To me this isn't the same pathetic Browns team we've seen the past few years. They could have easily won any of their 3 loses this year. I'm not sold on Atl being a road fav in this spot. I'll take the +3 on the home team here.

GB -2.5: This is probably my least favorite but once again like Balty I don't think Wash will have much left after their upset of division rival Philly.

NYG +3: I like how the G-Men matchup against Hou here & I'm just not a believer in Hou this year. I still think they struggle to make the playoffs. To me I see the Giants having a huge advantage with their D-line in this one.

SF -3.5: To me this is not a good spot for Philly to be in. Coming off an upset to div rival Wash & traveling across country with injuries to Vick & McCoy. I can see SF getting their first W of the season here.

NYG: Heard Bradshaw injuries.
GB: Some injuries.
Here, I really like SF.

gshock1 · 10-05-10, 05:45 AM

SF & Detroit

Dark Horse · 10-05-10, 04:21 PM

Looking at the lines, this could be good week to mess around with some teasers.

vboyt · 10-05-10, 04:29 PM

yea atlanta has been keeping it real tight this year

thefuture · 10-05-10, 09:03 PM

This week isnt looking to good so far a lot of tough lines. But the good news is this time last week I thought the samething before I spoted the skins and jets. Greenbay sticks out so far, the skins will be ready for a let down plus they just arent very good. Hopefully the injury and practice reports will help shake things out.

hitman2010 · 10-06-10, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by vboyt

yea atlanta has been keeping it real tight this year

With everything Atlanta played so far and hopefully next week, I do believe ATL get a chance to win SB 2011

Chris7mccabe · 10-06-10, 12:03 PM

I sure as hell hope they can even get to the playoffs let alone the SB but boy would that be great. Go birds

hitman2010 · 10-06-10, 09:06 PM

My girls will get another win this week.

Tatsu · 10-06-10, 09:16 PM

I am with you on the San Fran pick, they are better than they have played and it will show this week.