A Da Barber's NFL Best Bets

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  • AdaBarber
    SBR MVP
    • 12-05-08
    • 4424

    #1
    A Da Barber's NFL Best Bets
    Good day to all my fellow gents. I have been getting slaughered by the NFL since the season started. So I decided not to think too deeply into the weekly contests, which I have been doing. And it has been costing me. So I decided to look at the matchups and just go with a play that stands out to me.

    This week:

    New England -14.5 7 Units

    I looked at this matchup last Monday and I said this was the game I was going to be on immediately. Nothing is ever a lock in this hobby or profession but I know Buffalo has some serious problems. They don't have a quaterback. They have one decent receiver in Lee Evans who will be doubled because there isn't anyone else to throw to. The best part of there offense is the running game and that has yet to show up. And it won't because the offensive line is below average. The defense doesn't boast a legitimate pass rusher. The secondary is above average but that won't slow any team down if they can't stop the run. So any team with an explosive offense will dismantle the Bills. And I think NE's is just as dynamic as GB. I figured why not NE with a stud QB, receivers, and a decent running game. NE's defense isn't what it used to be but it doesn't have to be for the Bills. The Bills won't be able to keep up with the Patriots. The Patriots could probably cover this by kicking field goals. This is how bad Buffalo's offense is. Plus, I have never seen an NFL spread this high. I guess Vegas is trying to keep us honest but it won't work. The Bills are just that bad. And it doesn't help that they are on the road where NE happens to play very well all year.

    Is any one ready for a Wes Welker ten catch, 100 yard day? And watch how NE's tight ends look like stud wideouts. And I didn't even mention Randy Moss who is playing for a new contract. I don't see NE running that much because that is not what they do. But they can if they want to. And that makes it just as bad for the Bills. They will be playing from behind all day.

    Go Patriots!
  • AdaBarber
    SBR MVP
    • 12-05-08
    • 4424

    #2
    Anybody on the NE train?
    Comment
    • AdaBarber
      SBR MVP
      • 12-05-08
      • 4424

      #3
      Now I really know New England's defense is nonexistent.

      Peyton -6 5 Units
      Comment
      • AdaBarber
        SBR MVP
        • 12-05-08
        • 4424

        #4
        And New England is no longer elite. Their secondary is juvenile.
        Comment
        • AdaBarber
          SBR MVP
          • 12-05-08
          • 4424

          #5
          Thanks P. Mann for saving my Sunday!
          Comment
          • HoofHearted
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-22-09
            • 155

            #6
            Orton had a good day for stats but lost. That game should have been alot closer then the final result
            Comment
            • AdaBarber
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 4424

              #7
              He did Hoof but sometimes it turns out that way. If we went by that, half the teams that are undefeated would not be undefeated. Look at what Phillip Rivers put up. How about Donovan McNabb?
              Comment
              • AdaBarber
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-08
                • 4424

                #8
                Chicago +3

                Okay. I am trying to go above .500 tonight while my Yankees try to get back into first place. I know I am about to catch a lot of slack for that but I am a homer.

                First let's start with this being a divisional game between rivals. This game is early in the season but it can be of significant importance down the stretch as far as winning the division. GB is the favorite to win this division but no one, including the experts expected Chicago to be 2-0. Me either. But they are. Martz always excels when he has a strong armed QB. Welcome in Jay Cutler (5 TD 1 Int). It seems if the match between coordinator and QB is coming together. Aaron Rodgers is Aaron Rodgers but he is still behind a below average line with a below average running game. That spells trouble for GB with the number 1 rushing defense in the league waiting at home. You can run on Green Bay and yes, Chicago can run. Mostly it has been via long handoffs to Forte who is a bruiser who can run with the best of them in the open field(if they can keep up). Check the first two games. I am pretty sure Aaron Rodgers will get the opportunity to pick apart the Bears secondary but they are no slouches at secondary. The Bears do have some playmakers back there who can make 1 or 2 big plays for their defense. And with Peppers and a healthy Urlacher applying pressure up the middle and on the outside I wouldn't be suprised if those playmakers don't make a big play in the secondary. Chicago has shown that they can adjust to the blitz which is Martz's specialty(hot routes and those long handoffs to Forte). I expect Rodgers to move his offense because he has a stud in Finley and Jennings. That is what the trio do. But it doesn't help Green Bay that they are suffering through some serious injuries on Monday night. And let us not forget that Chicago has an advantage on special teams.

                With that said, I am going with DA BEARS at home with the points and a splash on the money line. And I think the public has had it's share of picking a couple of winners this weekend but not tonight(82% on Green Bay).

                Chicago +3 3.5 Units
                Comment
                • AdaBarber
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-05-08
                  • 4424

                  #9
                  What a way to finish up the weekend. My write up was dead on. Congratulations to the Bear backers!
                  Comment
                  • AdaBarber
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-05-08
                    • 4424

                    #10
                    Okay people! I have been going through the games and only one is standing out as of this moment. I need to go and cap this one but I need to look at the matchups for this one. I am also watching what is going on in Vegas.

                    Arizona vs San Diego

                    San Diego is notoriously known for starting out slow. Arizona is starting to look like one of the worst teams in the NFL. San Diego is one of the publics teams regardless of how slow they start out. Arizona is still talented at the wide receiver positon and the running back position. Beanie Wells should be in the mix in this one and Derrick Anderson is due for a good game. San Diego is susceptible to both passing and running which Arizona can do both of if the good Derrick Anderson shows up.

                    This could be the upset of the week! I am thinking Arizona will play up to San Diego's talent which is a little short without Matthews, V. Jackson, and Merriman.

                    This is a game to keep your eye on!
                    Comment
                    • AdaBarber
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-05-08
                      • 4424

                      #11
                      I need some thoughts. Anybody have any?
                      Comment
                      • Mirrapro
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-21-10
                        • 268

                        #12
                        My thoughts arent credible considering i just made an account here but if the line goes to -8.5 im teasing it to arizona +14.5 and under 52. I dont see chargers winning by more than 2 TD's. Just throwing this out there...
                        Comment
                        • AdaBarber
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-05-08
                          • 4424

                          #13
                          I saw that when the line first opened a 100% was on the Arizona ML and I am thinking the sharps no something. And 98% of the public was on San Diego and the line didn't move. But it has jumped to 9 but not in Vegas.
                          Comment
                          • jgs357
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 08-19-10
                            • 73

                            #14
                            Say what you want about Norv Turner, but he tends to rebound well after losing as a favorite (7-3 against the spread). The Cardinals stink, and a focused Chargers squad should be able to win this game rather easily.
                            Comment
                            • cant call it
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-29-10
                              • 8817

                              #15
                              i like az and the points but gonna stay away from this one
                              Comment
                              • rsnnh12
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-10
                                • 3487

                                #16
                                Heard that Breaston is out for 2 games... that takes out the #2 WR for the Cards, which allows even more focus to go on Fitz and the running game.... just something to keep in mind.

                                I'm staying away from this game, it could go either way
                                Comment
                                • jollyoscars
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-25-10
                                  • 470

                                  #17
                                  i need Tips! and i dont get the betting rules
                                  Comment
                                  • AdaBarber
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-05-08
                                    • 4424

                                    #18
                                    Yeah I changed my mind on that one as well fellas. I am focusing on the Cleveland Browns now.

                                    I am watching the line movements and I will post my plays when I see some movement and a value on a payout.
                                    Comment
                                    • hitman2010
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-03-10
                                      • 1465

                                      #19
                                      Do you have your record so far A Da?
                                      Comment
                                      • AdaBarber
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-05-08
                                        • 4424

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by hitman2010
                                        Do you have your record so far A Da?
                                        Hitman, no I don't have one. I usually post it under my signature. In past years I was a newbie with capping the usual format. I don't do that any more. I am a vet now and I have learned to base my picks on sharp money and the price the books are charging. I have been practicing with that. I feel I am ready now. We will see this Sunday. I pick games that have value per dollar played. I don't just pick a game for the hell of it any more.
                                        Comment
                                        • AdaBarber
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-05-08
                                          • 4424

                                          #21
                                          LEANS

                                          Indianapolis
                                          Atlanta
                                          NY Jets
                                          Cleveland
                                          Washington
                                          Pittsburgh
                                          Detroit
                                          Arizona
                                          Houston
                                          Seattle

                                          I am leaning heavy on the Jets, Arizona, Houston, Cleveland!
                                          Comment
                                          • AdaBarber
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-05-08
                                            • 4424

                                            #22
                                            Best Pick

                                            Seattle-1.5 5 Units loss

                                            Hou-3 2.5 Units win

                                            Indy-6.5 2.5 Units loss
                                            Comment
                                            • AdaBarber
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-05-08
                                              • 4424

                                              #23
                                              Just added

                                              Cleveland+3 6 Units


                                              win
                                              Comment
                                              • AdaBarber
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-05-08
                                                • 4424

                                                #24
                                                I don't know how in the hell Oakland can keep up with Houston but this is the NFL!
                                                Comment
                                                • AdaBarber
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-08
                                                  • 4424

                                                  #25
                                                  Giants -3(bought the hook) 5 Units

                                                  WIN
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hitman2010
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-03-10
                                                    • 1465

                                                    #26
                                                    the best pick did not look like it sound, you should adjust it a little bit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AdaBarber
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-05-08
                                                      • 4424

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by hitman2010
                                                      the best pick did not look like it sound, you should adjust it a little bit.
                                                      Okay.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AdaBarber
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-05-08
                                                        • 4424

                                                        #28
                                                        I don't know why I didn't stay with my heavy leans. I would have went 3-1. Well I am still up a unit. Hope the Giants can take me further. But I had 5 units on LA Angels so I am up 6 units for the day.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AdaBarber
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-05-08
                                                          • 4424

                                                          #29
                                                          I don't even know what made me take Seattle. I should have known better with that bum ass line! They are not even a good team.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AdaBarber
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-05-08
                                                            • 4424

                                                            #30
                                                            Miami+1 5 Units

                                                            I think the line will either be a PK or Miami-1 by tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • AdaBarber
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-05-08
                                                              • 4424

                                                              #31
                                                              Today was a good day. Went 3-2 but money management has me up 6 nice Units. Plus the other 5 from the LA Angels play. A tidy 11 units.

                                                              I hope every one else has had a productive day.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hitman2010
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-03-10
                                                                • 1465

                                                                #32
                                                                nice call on the G men
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Raynor21
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-23-09
                                                                  • 422

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Miami is -1 right now and looks like the play. I was going to tail you but I didn't like the Indy play so I decided not too. But 6 unites on Cleveland AND 5 on the Giants? Should've tailed...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • AdaBarber
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-05-08
                                                                    • 4424

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Thanks Raynor. I got Miami +1 because the lines were already changing in Vegas before the online sites could react. Still good though. I would go ML but it is off right now so I just took the point.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AdaBarber
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-05-08
                                                                      • 4424

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by hitman2010
                                                                      nice call on the G men
                                                                      Thanks Hitman!
                                                                      Comment
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