ScottLocke's LOCKs(ok not quite locks)

bobbyk1133 · 12-13-10, 04:49 AM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

Still haven't impressed me, they are 1 and done in playoffs IMO

Possibly so, but for our purposes they have been a great undervalued favorite all year. Even when their season win total was released the sharps jumped all over it and the $$ train hasn't stopped since.

ScottLocke · 12-13-10, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by bobbyk1133

Possibly so, but for our purposes they have been a great undervalued favorite all year. Even when their season win total was released the sharps jumped all over it and the $$ train hasn't stopped since.

I've bet on them a few times earlier this year, as recently as their Thursday night game vs Baltimore, I agree they were undervalued but not anymore.

drukes1234 · 12-15-10, 09:04 AM

Any picks this wknd?

ssk13809 · 12-15-10, 02:16 PM

Scott I didn't see you update your record last week. What wast that, 2-4 with unit losses?

ScottLocke · 12-16-10, 08:13 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Scott I didn't see you update your record last week. What wast that, 2-4 with unit losses?

Yeah 2-4-1 -4U... Been away, and really, haven't even been on here since Monday morning. Will have some picks for the weekend. Won with Arizona as my POTW last week and really like them again this week, maybe as my POTW again.

Tower · 12-18-10, 08:28 PM

Hey scott any picks for this weekend??

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 10:00 AM

Sorry for them being so late this week, had a very busy week and just stayed up all night capping these games! Luckily, line movement wasn't too bad this week. I am pretty confident in this week so hopefully its a good one!

Week #15 picks

St Louis Rams -3... 2U to win 2.2U(+110 odds!)
Indianapolis Colts -4... 2.2U to win 2U
Arizona Cardinals +3... 3.9U to win 3U
Dallas Cowboys -7... 1.1U to win 1U
Seattle Seahawks +6... 2.2U to win 2U

POTW
NY Jets +4.5... 5.5U to win 5U

6 point teasers
Eagles +9/Cardinals +9... 4.4U to win 4U
Eagles +9/Cowboys -1... 4.4U to win 4U
Cardinals +9/ Cowboys -1... 4.4U to win 4U

Tower · 12-19-10, 12:17 PM

Hey Scott I notice you don't have a +/- units on your POTW, I'm just curious on what that is at??? and BOL this week!

jas19illini · 12-19-10, 12:26 PM

Scott, how confident are you with Arizona? I want to add them to a two team parlay but the line is at +2.5 (cant buy half pt bc its a parlay).

Scully · 12-19-10, 01:01 PM

Why do you not have the POTW included in your teasers Scott?

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Scully

Why do you not have the POTW included in your teasers Scott?

Teasers have better value going between the 3 and 7 IMO, so the Jets even though I am more confident in them does not have as much value going from 4.5 to 10.5

thedon88 · 12-19-10, 05:38 PM

Great job on the teasers scott

bobbyk1133 · 12-19-10, 07:07 PM

Keep betting against ATL.

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by bobbyk1133

Keep betting against ATL.

Yeah no more betting against Atlanta for me til maybe the playoffs. I'm confused tho, are you an Atlanta fan or something, you seem to be majorly in love with them lol.

You also have to admit, it was hard not to like Seattle here, Atlanta traveling across the country, playing Seattle where they are normally very good at home laying 6 points. They laid 7 last week vs Carolina, so basically Vegas was saying Seattle is only 1 point better than Carolina LOL. Didn't make sense. Atlanta also had the Saints to look ahead to next week.

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 07:31 PM

Originally posted by Tower

Hey Scott I notice you don't have a +/- units on your POTW, I'm just curious on what that is at??? and BOL this week!

I just keep track of the units mixed in with all my other plays, makes it easier, i'm sure i'm up a lot on my POTW tho!

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 07:38 PM

10-3 on my POTW now and I've hit 7 in a row! Hopefully I can keep it going next week.

Really disappointed I couldn't get the covers with Arizona and Dallas. But thats why I nver bet more than a unit or 2 on Dallas, its quite amazing and pathetic they gave up 30 points to Rex Grossman and probably the worst surrounding offense in the league.

John Skelton is going to be a solid QB in this league, he played another great game IMO today and its just sick how many balls his WRs have dropped making his stats look ugly. Both weeks he started his WRs must have dropped 10 very catchable balls each week. At least there should be some value in Arizona the next two weeks.

bobbyk1133 · 12-19-10, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

Yeah no more betting against Atlanta for me til maybe the playoffs. I'm confused tho, are you an Atlanta fan or something, you seem to be majorly in love with them lol. You also have to admit, it was hard not to like Seattle here, Atlanta traveling across the country, playing Seattle where they are normally very good at home laying 6 points. They laid 7 last week vs Carolina, so basically Vegas was saying Seattle is only 1 point better than Carolina LOL. Didn't make sense. Atlanta also had the Saints to look ahead to next week.

I'm a fan when they make me major coin all year.

They've been undervalued all year and I'll let you know when that changes. The travel/SEA home field advantage is completely overrated if they don't match up well against their opponent (ATL, NYG, etc). Also this isn't the middle of the season. ATL wasn't going to overlook SEA especially when they didn't overlook CAR the week before. They have been the most consistent team in the entire NFL and there's not even another team that's been close.

ScottLocke · 12-19-10, 08:16 PM

Carolina was a division game so its a little different. They also didn't have a huge game to look ahead to last week. And in that NYG-Seattle game, Charlie Whitehurst was the QB so I don't think you count that too much. I guess the NFC West is just so LOL bad that they are all overvalued a bit. Its really sad that a 7-9 team is gonna get a home playoff game.

And maybe I just can't get that Eagles-Falcons game out of my head where the Eagles made the Falcons look like a JV team with Kolb at QB and no Desean for most of the game.

ScottLocke · 12-21-10, 03:28 PM

6 point teaser
NY Jets +7/ Chargers -1.5... 7.7U to win 7U

Pap45murF · 12-21-10, 03:34 PM

After a blowout like yesterday, how can you bet against Bears at home? But thanks for drawing my attention to the Chargers game. That's a definite teaser taker.

Sdotbold · 12-21-10, 03:50 PM

great run scott! cant wait to see this weeks picks. GL

ScottLocke · 12-21-10, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by Pap45murF

After a blowout like yesterday, how can you bet against Bears at home? But thanks for drawing my attention to the Chargers game. That's a definite teaser taker.

Don't know what that has to do with this week. Bears just won the division though, so they may not be as motivated and may get a little content. Its also a short week for them and I don't see Cutler doing very well vs the Jets defense.

bobbyk1133 · 12-22-10, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

Don't know what that has to do with this week. Bears just won the division though, so they may not be as motivated and may get a little content. Its also a short week for them and I don't see Cutler doing very well vs the Jets defense.

NY matchup well vs CHI, but put SD in every teaser you can think of this week. NE, DAL, etc.

ScottLocke · 12-25-10, 09:24 AM

Week #16 picks

Arizona Cardinals +7... 4.4U to win 4U
Washington Redskins +7... 4.4U to win 4U
NY Jets... +1... 2.2U to win 2U
Green Bay Packers -3... 2.2U to win 2U

POTW 6 point teaser
NY Jets +7.5/Chargers -1.5... 7.7U to win 7U

bobbyk1133 · 12-26-10, 03:04 AM

No New Orleans +3 this week?

J/K couldn't resist.......GL

ScottLocke · 12-26-10, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by bobbyk1133

No New Orleans +3 this week?

J/K couldn't resist.......GL

I actually do kind of like them, I'm still considering it lol

ScottLocke · 12-26-10, 07:08 PM

LOL Chargers, just pathetic. That was prob the only game I wasn't worried at all out of the whole year. Bengals without TO and Ochocinco just shreds them. I'm just shocked and glad they won't make the playoffs now.

Tower · 12-26-10, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

LOL Chargers, just pathetic. That was prob the only game I wasn't worried at all out of the whole year. Bengals without TO and Ochocinco just shreds them. I'm just shocked and glad they won't make the playoffs now.

The playoffs on the line and they lay an egg, what a joke!!!! Oh well, can't be positive all the time. Any plays tomorrow or tuesday??? I still appreciate the picks by the way.

ScottLocke · 12-26-10, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by Tower

The playoffs on the line and they lay an egg, what a joke!!!! Oh well, can't be positive all the time. Any plays tomorrow or tuesday??? I still appreciate the picks by the way.

I'd lean Saints if you can get +3 but I prob won't touch it. No opinion on the Eagles game, I don't really touch games with that big of spreads.

Just really frustrated bout San Diego! Could have been a great 4-1 week if they came through.

bobbyk1133 · 12-27-10, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by ScottLocke

I'd lean Saints if you can get +3 but I prob won't touch it. No opinion on the Eagles game, I don't really touch games with that big of spreads. Just really frustrated bout San Diego! Could have been a great 4-1 week if they came through.

I used SD in 3 teasers. Wot a crock.

ScottLocke · 12-27-10, 12:58 PM

Yeah I was close to pairing them up with Washington, New England, and New Orleans, I would have been so sick.

ScottLocke · 12-27-10, 01:02 PM

Also, this could be the play of the year, but I don't do those, so it will be the POTW for week #17, it will go down so get on it now, even though I don't think you will need the points.

****Arizona Cardinals +7... 11U to win 10U****

Gatoraider · 12-27-10, 01:18 PM

What do you have for tonight?

ScottLocke · 12-27-10, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by Gatoraider

What do you have for tonight?

No pick tonight, slight lean on the Saints, but i'm staying away.

ScottLocke · 12-27-10, 01:24 PM

And even though my POTW lost this week for the first time in 2 months, I still had a winning week going 3-2 for +0.1 units !!! lol, better than losing I guess.