Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

[JMobile]

Division game. Home favorite after they shot their wad. Those are sign of an under for me. On the other hand Philip Rivers...well he needs to be talked about a little more. The guy is setting records here. He'll light up the score board. Oakland might keep that close. That'll be a great game to watch.

No opinion on the total. I'd pick Oakland on the spread though, but that isn't a strong opinion either.

good morning Tom.
The line really confuses me a lot. And with the spread being at 13 points and the Over/Under being at 44, doesn't give much room for the Chargers to cover. That's why when the line moved, I got confused. If it went up to 48, I would of easily taken the Chargers spread and the Over.

[Julian9]

you are the man Therber!

[painter10]

new to this forum anyone have toms nfl record / thanks!!!!!

[TonyP]

Way to go Tom with the NCAAF you killed em. Got on board late in the season however still made a little, thanks.

[JMobile]

new to this forum anyone have toms nfl record / thanks!!!!!

His record goes something like this;
win, win, win, loss, win, win, loss, win, win...etc.

[dvb02]

nice job therb

[rolybea]

WOW what a day yesterday !!!! unfortunately I missed it.... Its my fault was not at home... im on today lets win some game !!!!

[painter10]

thanks mobile that clears it up!!!!

[BetterBizness]

Most people complain they don't get enough action on Prime and Primetime games... These 3 are devoted to them...

Maybe I should SIT OUT the morning

[chinoloco]

Good luck to all today. Let get them.

[shaggy3000]

hey just wondering why ram 3 units is to win $40 and the Pats 3 units is to win $60

[dodgerblue]

I'm on the other side of the Pitt game, but with you on the other 2. BOL to you sir!

[Rixsaw]

Hey T. I have not visit ur thread since baseball season. U got some good stuff brewing here. BOL today.

[mebaran]

I'm against you in the Pitt/Balt game, T. That makes me nervous.

[aunty jack]

hope you bag a few birds, tom.

but don't go all dick cheney on us. we need you back next year.

[AndyCapper]

Tomorrow (today), I'll be gone pheasant hunting all day.

Tom

If those pheasants are anything like NCCA Football Lines than you will be feasting on bird for a long, long, long time!! Does it taste like chicken??
Keep up the amazing work Therbsy!!!

[TMoney33]

Hey therber, just found your thread. Nice work! I was planning on going big on PIT tonight. I had planned on splitting my play between the +3 and the ML too. It feels good to see someone with your stats on the same side.

[BetterBizness]

COMON PIT... Lets GEt the HOLD!!!!!!!

2 MIn Left!!!

[BetterBizness]

Unbelievably Quiet in here!!!! The man is trying to go 6-0 in his last 6 picks!!!!!

[BetterBizness]

WHOooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!

The THrow is SHORT!!!!!

Therbagic!!!! 6-0!!!!

[oklahoma]

...that was a close one...spread and the win. great job as always therb.

[ManBearPig]

Wasn't easy...but cash that shi$!!!

[Pap45murF]

Was already on the Steelers, and after cashing that I'm thinking of following up on your Pats pick. But the question is do I just take the -3.5 or do I tease to +3 and Over 38 ?

[collecting_pips]

I had to sign up and say thanks, therber2. I just stumbled onto this thread a week ago and have been following since. Again, I really appreciate the picks.

[pokerwhiz90]

bang bang! its gonna be another back to back sweep! expect nothing less

[Bartmeister]

Nice going!

[Bartmeister]

Keep the winning streak going!

[TMoney33]

Man nice work Therber. I was planning on playing the NYJ+4/NYJ(+175), but now I'm questioning that call seeing you on the other side. At the very least, I'll probably go smaller and just take the points.

Congrats again on an awesome day!

[therber2]

Wow. Lots of comments. Opened my email. Zero donations for helping people go 6-0 right before Christmas...That surprised me a bit.

The Pheasants were fun. It was hard to see who shot who up in the air. It was bitter cold, but we were nailing them down.

Came back in time to catch the Pittsburgh game, and boy was it a GEM. It played out exactly as planned with Pittsburgh covering and winning SU squeaking by Baltimore. I hope those who faded covered their losses.

This game is a classic. You couldn't have asked for a better game. I love these division games fought in the trenches. 1 injury per play. Guys walking them off like they are nothing. These plays showed some real passion (some not so much [IDIOT of the game was McFadden....fvkc him]). So did I call the Troy P. pick off or what? Not a lucky win if I called it. I think the players got a hold of the write-up and used it as their game plan. :-)

Just very surprised that not a single person would send a donation after me helping you bank...I don't get you guys. Anyways...

[therber2]

SUNDAY RESULTS // 6-0 Weekend

NFL 12.5.2010

WEEK #13

(2010-2011 Season):

THOUGHTS: Still the year of the DOG, as favorites went 5-10 once again. For the season, the favorites are now 74-93-6 for a win percentage of 44%. Always be aware of what is mainstream public knowledge though. NFL in general regresses to the mean like a sin wave (most things do actually). We have a few interesting picks here for you all. All three unit bets:

WIN

[367] Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over the Ravens
Take the STEELERS for 2 UNITS (to win $40)
....and

[367] Pittsburgh Steelers ML +153 over the Ravens
Take the MONEY LINE for 1 UNIT ($20 to win $30)

This is our top play, and we are advising that you split up 2 UNITS on the Point Spread, and 1 UNIT on the nice ML. If you want the security, go ahead, and do all three units on +3 here or even get your hook, but I'm marking down how we'll personally do it.

Everybody is on the Baltimore Ravens who can't score against Tampa...today the Ravens face a much tougher defense. Pittsburgh is great at picking off the pass, and Flacco has had problems with that this year...not many explosive games from him this season... just lots of hard times in the Red Zone for Flacco and company.

The press is full of reports that Ben's foot is broken (he's okay). A lot of people are fading the Steelers here because of their injuries, but if you remember...in the early season the Steelers did great without their boy Ben. This week Ben is playing. On the other side of the fence Baltimore is missing McClain; he is their only Fullback. Chester, the right guard, is out too. Even with some injuries, Pittsburgh is LOADED....oh, did you know: Ben, as an underdog is 13-7 ATS?

Flacco has had a terrible year. It is doubtful that he'll be able to overcome the Pittsburgh blitz...in all fairness to him...I do recall a good sense of focus in one game last year vs. the New England Patriots similar to this one (playoff implications, early lead, didn't blow it). This will probably be a close game where the Steelers squeak by the Ravens by a few points. Here are the margins for their last seven games: 3,3,3,9,4,3,6. Not one double digit between these division rivals. Head to head Baltimore is 2-5 ATS to Pittsburgh as a Home Favorite (and in general Pittsburgh has usually had their number from season to season).

Next...

WIN

[365] St. Louis Rams -3.5 over the Cardinals
Take the RAMS for 3 UNITS (to win $40)


Note: If you can get the Rams for -3 watch for how much juice you are laying...you may consider dropping this to 2.5 or 2 units if the juice is heavy. If you have plus odds, and you can buy the hook cheap (less than -130) you might want to do that too, but don't go higher than 2 or 2.5 units.

Since the point spread doesn't matter the majority of the time we'll take some nice plus odds for this one. The Cardinals are a drunken, useless, intermission NFL team. The Rams on the other hand aren't under the radar for us...at least not against this shitty team. Take each play for 3 units.

So we're 6-0 this weekend, and I love the play tomorrow. Going for 7-0, and then I have to think about how I want to issue plays. My personal friends have thanked me (paying for the trip, money tips, game tickets, etc.), but that's it...

[JMobile]

Holy shit Tom, your going on a streak bro.
I'm liking Pats too. Somehow, the Jets have always kept it close. They last faced the Bengals, but they are a joke. So here's hoping!

[therber2]

Holy shit Tom, your going on a streak bro.
I'm liking Pats too. Somehow, the Jets have always kept it close. They last faced the Bengals, but they are a joke. So here's hoping!

Actually it's 7-0 if you count the Pittsburgh situation as two plays. So going for 8-0.

[JMobile]

Actually it's 7-0 if you count the Pittsburgh situation as two plays. So going for 8-0.

Dam Tom, you must be a rich man!

[ManBearPig]

Dam Tom, you must be a rich man!

Not rich enough aparently...these were bound to end sometime. Good luck with ur new pay service.

[STC]

Just wanted to say thanks for the Pittsburgh tip. That was my first NFL tail for the year