JMathes 2010-2011 NFL System Plays

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Page of 2
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
Previous 1 2 template Next
  • jmathes
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-09
    • 2385
    #1
    JMathes 2010-2011 NFL System Plays
    I will start posting all system plays tonight. This system yields approximately 8-10 picks a week and should hit in the 60% range. I will be flat betting $1,000 per game and should have a nice reward at the end of the season. A good friend shared this with me a couple of years back and it has given great results. We also found a correlation between line movements and the system which have been very beneficial. However, its a small sample size so we will just monitor it for record keeping purposes. I will call those System II plays just to make them clear to everyone.

    This system typically starts out a little slow and gets stronger as the season progresses. Obviously statistics have a great deal to do with that. Week 1 started very well with one more pick tonight.

    Here are yesterday's results:

    GREEN BAY WIN
    CAROLINA LOSS
    NEW ENGLAND WIN
    JACKSONVILLE WIN
    PITT WIN
    CLEVELAND PUSH
    WASHINGTON WIN
    MIAMI WIN
    SAN FRAN LOSS


    Monday Pick:

    San Diego -4


    OVERALL RECORD: 6-2-1 +$,3800






    Good luck to everyone that follows this year!
    Tags: None
    • daneault23
      SBR MVP
      • 09-08-09
      • 3871
      #2
      Looks good man. I think it's going to be very very difficult to finish with about a 60% win rate playing at least 8 games a week, but if you can do it, I'll be here to congratulate ya. Even if it's just 55%, were all here to make money.
        Comment
        • jmathes
          SBR MVP
          • 02-19-09
          • 2385
          #3
          I will release my picks for Sunday's games tomorrow around 3 pm eastern time.





          GREEN BAY WIN
          CAROLINA LOSS
          NEW ENGLAND WIN
          JACKSONVILLE WIN
          PITT WIN
          CLEVELAND PUSH
          WASHINGTON WIN
          MIAMI WIN
          SAN FRAN LOSS


          Monday Pick:

          San Diego -4 LOSS


          OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700
            Comment
            • EDDIE MONEY LINE
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-24-10
              • 6298
              #4
              ya homie, just make sure u put the picks out before the games start going forward here
                Comment
                • jmathes
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-19-09
                  • 2385
                  #5
                  Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                  ya homie, just make sure u put the picks out before the games start going forward here

                  absolutely, they will be posted every saturday night. at the end of the season i may share this system if all goes well. we will see....
                    Comment
                    • vyomguy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-08-09
                      • 5794
                      #6
                      good luck.
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566
                          #7
                          GL.
                            Comment
                            • cant call it
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-29-10
                              • 8817
                              #8
                              bol to you. I look forward to all of us succeeding in winning other peoples money.
                                Comment
                                • jmathes
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-19-09
                                  • 2385
                                  #9
                                  I do have a System II play on Sunday's card which is included below. Remember all bets are flat bet at $1,000 each. Good luck everyone!


                                  CHIGAGO +7.5
                                  NEW ENGLAND -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
                                  JACKSONVILLE +7
                                  DENVER -3
                                  BALTIMORE -2
                                  MINNESOTA -5
                                  ARIZONA +7
                                  PHILLY -6
                                  HOUSTON -3
                                  CLEVELAND -2.5




                                  OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700
                                    Comment
                                    • vyomguy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-08-09
                                      • 5794
                                      #10
                                      Originally posted by jmathes
                                      I do have a System II play on Sunday's card which is included below. Remember all bets are flat bet at $1,000 each. Good luck everyone! CHIGAGO +7.5 NEW ENGLAND -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY) JACKSONVILLE +7 DENVER -3 BALTIMORE -2 MINNESOTA -5 ARIZONA +7 PHILLY -6 HOUSTON -3 CLEVELAND -2.5 OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700
                                      Most of them are bad picks...I would be really surprised if you hit 50% this week. Your system must be relying a lot on the week 1 stats which shows the skewness in the system picks.
                                        Comment
                                        • Quake
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 05-27-10
                                          • 267
                                          #11
                                          BOL jmath
                                            Comment
                                            • gmoney45
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-09-09
                                              • 312
                                              #12
                                              Good luck JM
                                                Comment
                                                • JP10
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-21-09
                                                  • 216
                                                  #13
                                                  GL Jmath.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ebbearsfb1
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-07-08
                                                      • 18815
                                                      #14
                                                      Most of them are bad picks...I would be really surprised if you hit 50% this week. Your system must be relying a lot on the week 1 stats which shows the skewness in the system picks.
                                                      you don't really know if its a bad pick, till the game is played.... im guessing thats one of the reasons he said the system starts slow then picks up
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-24-10
                                                          • 6298
                                                          #15
                                                          Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2

                                                          better tweak the system if your gonna hit 60%
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jmathes
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-19-09
                                                              • 2385
                                                              #16
                                                              Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                              Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2

                                                              better tweak the system if your gonna hit 60%

                                                              No need to tweak anything buddy. If you wanna double that bet to 200 points just let me know...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-24-10
                                                                  • 6298
                                                                  #17
                                                                  Originally posted by jmathes
                                                                  No need to tweak anything buddy. If you wanna double that bet to 200 points just let me know...
                                                                  Ya i'm down--200/200...straight up- Good luck!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jmathes
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-19-09
                                                                      • 2385
                                                                      #18
                                                                      Terrible results last week but the good thing is the stats only get stronger as the season goes on. Plays will be posted tomorrow evening...




                                                                      CHIGAGO +7.5 WIN
                                                                      NEW ENGLAND -3 LOSS
                                                                      JACKSONVILLE +7 LOSS
                                                                      DENVER -3 WIN
                                                                      BALTIMORE -2 LOSS
                                                                      MINNESOTA -5 LOSS
                                                                      ARIZONA +7 LOSS
                                                                      PHILLY -6 LOSS
                                                                      HOUSTON -3 PUSH
                                                                      CLEVELAND -2.5 LOSS




                                                                      OVERALL RECORD: 8-10-2 -$3,000
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • JW Cash
                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                          • 12-31-08
                                                                          • 4453
                                                                          #19
                                                                          Just bet Dallas...

                                                                          you will be 1-0 for the week................................just sayin....
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • ssk13809
                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                              • 08-25-10
                                                                              • 2595
                                                                              #20
                                                                              Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                              Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2


                                                                              Can you post picks so people can fade this system?
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • hitman2010
                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                  • 09-03-10
                                                                                  • 1465
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  no plays this week? I wait to see.
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • million2one
                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                      • 03-19-09
                                                                                      • 1290
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      Good luck Jmathes.
                                                                                      If the system usually starts slow, why not wait until week 3 or 4?
                                                                                      I am a big stats and math guy and I am waiting until week 4 to start making picks.
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • jmathes
                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                          • 02-19-09
                                                                                          • 2385
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          Good luck tomorrow guys. The system is only going to keep getting better from here on out.


                                                                                          CINCY -3
                                                                                          OAKLAND +4.5
                                                                                          DALLAS +3
                                                                                          KANSAS CITY +3
                                                                                          ATLANTA +3.5
                                                                                          INDY -5.5
                                                                                          WASHINGTON -4
                                                                                          MIAMI -2
                                                                                          SAN DIEGO -5




                                                                                          OVERALL RECORD: 8-10-2 -$3,000
                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                            • solecrazy
                                                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                              • 09-21-10
                                                                                              • 570
                                                                                              #24
                                                                                              BOL jmathes!
                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                • daneault23
                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                  • 09-08-09
                                                                                                  • 3871
                                                                                                  #25
                                                                                                  6-2 with MIA pending
                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                    • daneault23
                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                      • 09-08-09
                                                                                                      • 3871
                                                                                                      #26
                                                                                                      Not to mess with ur system buddy, but I think if your system picks the dog as one of the plays, you should think about playing it on the ML because about 83% of the time, or 5/6 times if the dog covers the spread they will also win the game. Just something to think about, cuz I think the value on the dogs would be great compared to just the basic -110 or -105 line for spreads.
                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                        • JW Cash
                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                          • 12-31-08
                                                                                                          • 4453
                                                                                                          #27
                                                                                                          dont quit your day job buddy........................that is if you have one.....
                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                            • jmathes
                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                              • 02-19-09
                                                                                                              • 2385
                                                                                                              #28
                                                                                                              I went 6-3 yesterday and will take that anyday of the the week. Hopefully we see the same results or better next week.




                                                                                                              CINCY -3 WIN
                                                                                                              OAKLAND +4.5 WIN
                                                                                                              DALLAS +3 WIN
                                                                                                              KANSAS CITY +3 WIN
                                                                                                              ATLANTA +3.5 WIN
                                                                                                              INDY -5.5 WIN
                                                                                                              WASHINGTON -4 LOSS
                                                                                                              MIAMI -2 LOSS
                                                                                                              SAN DIEGO -5 LOSS




                                                                                                              OVERALL RECORD: 14-13-2 -$300
                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                • hitman2010
                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                  • 09-03-10
                                                                                                                  • 1465
                                                                                                                  #29
                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                    • solecrazy
                                                                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                                      • 09-21-10
                                                                                                                      • 570
                                                                                                                      #30
                                                                                                                      looking forward to this weeks plays Jmathes!
                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                        • jmathes
                                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                                          • 02-19-09
                                                                                                                          • 2385
                                                                                                                          #31
                                                                                                                          Originally posted by solecrazy
                                                                                                                          looking forward to this weeks plays Jmathes!
                                                                                                                          I will have the plays posted on here tomorrow afternoon. It should be around 5 pm eastern time at the latest.
                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                            • jmathes
                                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                                              • 02-19-09
                                                                                                                              • 2385
                                                                                                                              #32
                                                                                                                              Here are the picks for week 4. It picked 6 favorites but 4 of those games are less than 3 points, so I will live with that. Hopefully we can get another positive week



                                                                                                                              DENVER +7
                                                                                                                              PITT -1 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
                                                                                                                              CINCY -3
                                                                                                                              SEATTLE -1.5
                                                                                                                              HOUSTON -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
                                                                                                                              NEW ENGLAND -1
                                                                                                                              ATLANTA -7





                                                                                                                              OVERALL RECORD: 14-13-2 -$300
                                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                                • hitman2010
                                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                  • 09-03-10
                                                                                                                                  • 1465
                                                                                                                                  #33
                                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                                    • jmathes
                                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                      • 02-19-09
                                                                                                                                      • 2385
                                                                                                                                      #34
                                                                                                                                      Right now I am 2-4 on the week with one game pending on the Patriots tonight. I really need a victory because a 3-4 record on the week would look much better than a 2-5. I felt like atleast 1 of those losses should of gone our way yesterday but thats how it goes. The best of luck to everyone tonight...
                                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                                        • jmathes
                                                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                          • 02-19-09
                                                                                                                                          • 2385
                                                                                                                                          #35
                                                                                                                                          3-4 for week 4 with plenty of time to get back into the winning way...


                                                                                                                                          Denver +7 win
                                                                                                                                          pitt -1 (system ii play) loss
                                                                                                                                          cincy -3 loss
                                                                                                                                          seattle -1.5 loss
                                                                                                                                          houston -3 (system ii play) win
                                                                                                                                          new england -1 win
                                                                                                                                          atlanta -7 loss





                                                                                                                                          overall record: 17-17-2
                                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                                            Previous 1 2 template Next
                                                                                                                                            Search
                                                                                                                                            Collapse
                                                                                                                                            SBR Contests
                                                                                                                                            Collapse
                                                                                                                                            Contests Home
                                                                                                                                            Beat The Bot
                                                                                                                                            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                                                                                            Collapse
                                                                                                                                            Working...