Monday Football
Drama In New York
Baltimore @ New York Jets
If you want my opinion, and lets face it, you want my opinion I think that Baltimore will take New York at home tomorrow. This team is just way too psychical with way too many weapons. Also here is a fun stat. We know that history repeats itself, and well historically speaking the last time Baltimore was beat by New York Jets was 11/02/1997. That's about thirteen years ago if you're slow in the math department. Leadership in a team is extremely important. Mark Sanchez is trying to settle in, while Joe Flaco has finally found his groove. BALTIMORE is 5-1 against the spread versus NY JETS since 1992. The betting public is all over this line with 91% of people taking Baltimore to win with odds when they were a 3 point dog. The line has moved significantly; Balt moving from a 3 point dog to a 1 point "pick em". This game looks like drama all day. Look for New York to blitz Joe Flacco, and although Baltimore to limit New York's running game (This is their preferred offense) but remember Balt had the nation's #1 D, a strong front 7 and an amazing rushing offense. There may be inexperience in the secondary without Ed Reed but I say they figure it out. If the Jets win, it'll be because of turnovers caused by pass rushing.... and honestly the SMART PLAY would be to take the home favorite with a one point edge. However the stats say to take the Ravens to upset the Jets leading defense at home.
The Pick: Too Close to call, the smart pick value-wise is the home favorite, the Numbers say Balt... I'll take my chances, with Balt. (52%) NYJ (48%)
Projection:
Baltimore: 16 @ New York Jets: 14
ADDITIONAL NOTES:
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A New Look
San Diego @ Kansas City
New look for both teams, and Kansas city has some new minds in the coaching department, but lets face it new minds are not equivalent to talent, and San Diego is just way too talented for this lack luster Kansas City Defense. Game one, as you saw today, is the day where teams work the kinks out. Expect a lot of kink working from the Chiefs. But don't expect this to be a walk in the park either, remember with San Diego's new look offense they may need a few series to figure things out. (although they did look awesome preseason) The Chargers should have a good chance of getting off to a fast start against a Chiefs team they outscored 80-21 in winning both meetings last season. Rivers threw for 585 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions, and tight end Antonio Gates had 173 receiving yards and two TDs. While Gates, who had 79 receptions, a career-best 1,157 receiving yards and eight touchdowns a year ago, will still be Rivers' primary target, Malcom Floyd is expected to get more looks in Jackson's absence. The Chiefs had the fourth worst defense in the nation last year, however they look to improve in that department hiring Romeo Crennel as defensive coordinator. Matt Cassel passed for 2,924 yards with 16 touchdowns and 16 interceptions last season, his first in Kansas City. He had 275 yards with two TDs and four interceptions in the two games against the Chargers. San Diego owns in all departments when it comes to statistics. Offense and Defense, however KC averages more rushing yards with 120.6 rushing, expect that to change. Expect Kansas City to establish the run game first, and to not be so effective in the air. Expect for San Diego to feel out this new offense against a new look Defense. I say it stays close until late second half. and then it gets blown open.
The Pick: San Diego -4.5
Projection:
San Diego 21 @ Kansas City 13
ADDITIONAL NOTES:
There is a STRONG possibility for rain in this game, expect the ball to be wet, and slippery, and for turnovers especially on the Kansas City end.
# Thunderstorm Probability: 91%
# Amount of Precipitation: 0.30 in
# Amount of Rain: 0.30 in
# Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
# Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
# Hours of Precipitation: 2 hrs
# Hours of Rain: 2 hrs
