icancount2one's STONE COLD PIPE LOCKS OF THE CENTURY...of the week

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  • icancount2one
    SBR MVP
    • 01-05-10
    • 1507

    #1
    icancount2one's STONE COLD PIPE LOCKS OF THE CENTURY...of the week
    I make many plays, use a lot of wong teasers, and hedge with live betting on Matchbook when someone spazzes out over a field goal. So this season, I will be winning money. However, just so that I'm on record posting picks here and am not a chicken, I will post my favorite ATS picks ITT every week. These are only stone cold bona-fide guaranteed* locks.

    My unit size will escalate throughout the season, each week every pick will be to win the same number of units (starting at 1, going to 2 week five and 3u per pick week nine), but I will rate how much I like these picks by using the dancing lock icon. One dancing lock is just barely even a sure thing, five dancing locks means bet the mortgage money**

    So here we go for

    WEEK 1

    New Orleans -5.5 1.1 to win 1


    Dallas Cowboys -3.5 1.1 to win 1


    Miami Dolphins -3 1.2 to win 1


    San Francisco -3 1.1 to win 1


    Also I will be taking the Philadelphia Eagles. I am waiting to see if the line moves to 3.5 in which case it will get otherwise it will be a one pick at +3 I will update you when I lay down the wood on this lock.

    Write-ups are on my blog, but I think these picks speak for themselves.

    *Picks are not guaranteed, play at your own risk
    **Do not bet your mortgage payment, bozo
    Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
  • shipsn2010
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-20-10
    • 121

    #2
    are you going to use the wong system on these or are these straight
    Comment
    • TiTlist
      Restricted User
      • 09-06-10
      • 402

      #3
      i held off on sanfran. but i like miami
      Comment
      • icancount2one
        SBR MVP
        • 01-05-10
        • 1507

        #4
        Originally posted by shipsn2010
        are you going to use the wong system on these or are these straight
        These picks are all straight. I am however Wong/Hedging BAL/NYJ IND/HOU and DEN/JAX (DEN is stil +3, but I'm getting +105 on JAX). I'm also making small ML plays on KC and CIN. I'm just posting my ATS plays for simplicity.

        Originally posted by TiTlist
        i held off on sanfran. but i like miami
        I can understand that. After all, it's only a three dancing lock pick.
        Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
        Comment
        • icancount2one
          SBR MVP
          • 01-05-10
          • 1507

          #5
          Philly +3 1.05 to win 1
          Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
          Comment
          • icancount2one
            SBR MVP
            • 01-05-10
            • 1507

            #6
            YTD: 1-4 -3.35u

            Well, last week we got off to a lousy start. Seems like I was serving up more bagels than lox. So if you lost your mortgage payment last week, take out some loans from your relatives* to win it back in...

            WEEK 2

            HOU -3
            1.05u to win 1u

            JAX +7
            1.1 u to win 1u

            OAK -3.5
            1.1u to win 1u

            PHI -6
            1.1u to win 1u

            PIT +6
            1.2u to win 1u

            GB -14
            .95u to win 1u

            KC +2 5x (So many locks this week that SBR's image limit won't let me post all the dancing locks for your enjoyment.)

            as usual, write ups on the blog.
            Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
            Comment
            • iMax310
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-17-10
              • 10

              #7
              Lol, you sure did have bad Week 1, but I like your 5 lock pick with Oak -2.5. I mean a rookie quarterback making his first road start in the Black hole against a Raider team looking to beat someone up after they got punked last week just doesn't bold to well for the Rams. I like Oakland by at least 2 scores in their home opener, and the under 37.5 as well. Anyways, I definitely dropped some cheddar on this one.
              Comment
              • icancount2one
                SBR MVP
                • 01-05-10
                • 1507

                #8
                [quote=icancount2one;6430265]YTD: 4-7 -3.65u

                Week 2 lox were 3-3-1. I guess the way you get the Lions and Rams to score TDs is to be covering by five points. Between that and Garrett Hartley screwing up for me week 1 I guess the NFL gods are saving the luck for when I up my ante in a couple weeks. Tell the relatives you borrowed money from last week that you'll pay them next Tuesday, cuz here are the early loxx for

                WEEK 3

                GB -3 @ CHI
                1.1 to win 1

                NYJ +1.5 @ MIA
                1.1 to win 1

                HOU -3 vs DAL
                1 to win 1

                DET +10.5 @ MIN
                1.1 to win 1

                More to come later
                Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                Comment
                • icancount2one
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-05-10
                  • 1507

                  #9
                  Last minute loxx

                  PHI -3 @ JAX
                  1u to win 1 u

                  NO -4 vs ATL
                  1.05u to win 1u

                  PIT -3 @ TB
                  .95u to win 1u

                  Too busy/lazy to post write ups this week, but BoL to everyone but the faders.
                  Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                  Comment
                  • icancount2one
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-05-10
                    • 1507

                    #10
                    YTD: 7-11 -4.9u

                    Week 3 lox were 3-4. I'm tempted to raise the stakes to 2 units a week early, but am sticking to the plan in

                    WEEK 4

                    TEN -6.5 vs DEN
                    1.1u to win 1u

                    NYJ -5.5 @ BUF
                    1.1u to win 1u

                    PHI -5.5 vs WAS
                    1.1u to win 1u

                    CHI +4 @ NYG
                    1.1u to win 1u

                    CIN -3 @ CLE
                    1.1u to win 1u
                    Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                    Comment
                    • borednaz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-28-10
                      • 3809

                      #11
                      BOL 2 you on your plays
                      Comment
                      • icancount2one
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-05-10
                        • 1507

                        #12
                        YTD: 8-15 -8.3u

                        So, the first quarter of the season is over. I hasn't been pretty but a first quarter deficit can often be overcome. Stakes go up to 2u in:

                        WEEK 5

                        ATL -3 @ CLE
                        2.3u to win 2u

                        TEN +7 @ DAL
                        2.2 to win 2

                        OAK +6 vs SD
                        2.1 to win 2

                        GB -3 @ WAS
                        2 to win 2

                        JAX -1 @ BUF
                        2.2 to win 2

                        Originally posted by borednaz
                        BOL 2 you on your plays
                        TY, luck hasn't been too great so far.
                        Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                        Comment
                        • icancount2one
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-05-10
                          • 1507

                          #13
                          YTD: 12-16 -2.3u

                          So, it looks like I picked the right week to up the ante, going 4-1 for +6u. Hopefully my luck will continue in

                          WEEK 6

                          GB -3.5 vs ATL
                          2u to win 2u

                          TEN -3 @ JAX
                          2u to win 2u

                          CHI -7 vs SEA
                          1.9u to win 2u

                          NYJ -3 @ DEN
                          2.4 u to win 2u

                          All favorites this week. At least I took the right side of the juice though. NYJ is my play of the week, and I will go back to dancing locks and write ups when I am net positive on the season, which as any poster in a SBR thread will tell you is the only gauge of if you know what you are doing or not.
                          Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                          Comment
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