[OldBill]

like really KC had easy too

here we go

CHIEFS Sep 11 Week 1 @ ARI W 44-21 W -6 O 54 4 -13 record Sep 15 Week 2 LAC W 27-24 L -4 U 53 10-7 record Sep 25 Week 3 @ IND L 17-20 L -4.5 U 50.5 4-12-1 record eagles played colts too won by 1 Oct 2 Week 4 @ TB W 41-31 W 2 O 47.5 8 - 9 record Oct 10 Week 5 LV W 30-29 L -7.5 O 51 6-11 Oct 16 Week 6 BUF L 20-24 L 2.5 U 54 13-3 Oct 23 Week 7 @ SF W 44-23 W -1 O 48 13-4 ummmmm we drilled em in playoffs Nov 6 Week 9 TEN W 20-17 (OT) L -14 U 45 7-10 eagles drilled em in philly 35-10 Nov 13 Week 10 JAC W 27-17 L -11 U 51.5 9-8 eagles hammered em in philly 29-21 was down 14-0 1st quarter Nov 20 Week 11 @ LAC W 30-27 L -5.5 O 52.5 Nov 27 Week 12 LAR W 26-10 L -16.5 U 41.5 5-12 Dec 4 Week 13 @ CIN L 24-27 L -2.5 U 53 12-4 Dec 11 Week 14 @ DEN W 34-28 L -8.5 O 44.5 5--12 Dec 18 Week 15 @ HOU W 30-24 (OT) L -16.5 O 48.5 eagles won 29-17 lost -14 points @ Houston Dec 24 Week 16 SEA W 24-10 W -10.5 U 50.5 3-13-1 Jan 1 Week 17 DEN W 27-24 L -13.5 O 46.5 Jan 7 Week 18 @ LV W 31-13 W -9 U 51 EAGLES Sep 11 Week 1 @ DET W 38-35 L -6 O 48.5 9-8 Sep 19 Week 2 MIN W 24-7 W -2.5 U 49.5 13-4 Sep 25 Week 3 @ WAS W 24-8 W -6 U 47.5 8-8-1 Oct 2 Week 4 JAC W 29-21 W -6.5 O 44.5 9-8 Oct 9 Week 5 @ ARI W 20-17 L -5.5 U 48.5 4-13 Oct 16 Week 6 DAL W 26-17 W -6.5 O 42.5 12-5 Oct 30 Week 8 PIT W 35-13 W -11 O 43 9-8 Nov 3 Week 9 @ HOU W 29-17 L -14 O 45 3-13-1 Nov 14 Week 10 WAS L 21-32 L -11 O 43 8-8-1 Nov 20 Week 11 @ IND W 17-16 L -6.5 U 45.5 4-12-1 Nov 27 Week 12 GB W 40-33 W -6.5 O 46 8-9 Dec 4 Week 13 TEN W 35-10 W -5 O 44.5 7--10 Dec 11 Week 14 @ NYG W 48-22 W -7.5 O 44.5 9-7-1 Dec 18 Week 15 @ CHI W 25-20 L -8.5 U 48 3--14 comon man this was trap game between div rivals Dec 24 Week 16 @ DAL L 34-40 L 4 O 47.5 Jan 1 Week 17 NO L 10-20 L -5.5 U 41.5 7--10 hurts was out Jan 8 Week 18 NYG W 22-16 L -17 U 43.5 and Eagles had 3 teams in playoffs worst record was wash 8-8-1 key is turnovers for season chiefs - 3 Eagles +8

[agendaman]

OMG-william get a life.

[Foxx]

FFS Bill

[teecee]

I thought football was over. Damnit! There is still one more game.

[klemopixx]

The key to this game is going to be how the KC defense handles that offensive line of Philly. They've pounded out long drives all season long, especially in the first half. If the Eagles get an early lead, it allows that defense to attack more and you'll see Hassan Rediick chasing Mahomes all night. You saw how the Niners shut down Hurts in that game and they continually ran behind Mailata and Dickerson. If the Niners couldn't contain that running game then the Chiefs sure aren't going to shut it down. Chiefs have to open it up early and get a lead.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Billy:

*Are you surprised that people aren't backing the Eagles MORE STRONGLY?

Here's my basic matchup in a nutshell:
*A hobbled Mahomes vs a 70-sack Defensive front.
...No way that Mahomes got that much healthier in two weeks.
...Mahomes looked BAD in the 2h of the game vs the Bengals. No answers.
...Eagle pass-rushers will be relentless. And I'm not sure I see Chief alternatives.

If anyone decides to back the Chiefs here...they have to answer this question (above).

[franz555]

The key to this game is going to be how the KC defense handles that offensive line of Philly. They've pounded out long drives all season long, especially in the first half. If the Eagles get an early lead, it allows that defense to attack more and you'll see Hassan Rediick chasing Mahomes all night. You saw how the Niners shut down Hurts in that game and they continually ran behind Mailata and Dickerson. If the Niners couldn't contain that running game then the Chiefs sure aren't going to shut it down. Chiefs have to open it up early and get a lead.

My thoughts exactly

[manny24]

meh

couple throwaway losses by both teams Chiefs lost to Indy and Philly lost to NO

KC lost to Allen and Burrow

Eagles lost to Heineke and Dak

if Mahomes re-injures or goes down they give the ball to Henne

if Hurts gets hurt Eagles would answer with Minshew

tight ends are nearly even with Kelce and Goedert

Watkins Smith and Brown vs. Schuster, Scantling and Toney also a wash all 6 guys showstoppers

so which conference is stronger overall ?

who has the better coach ?

just more questions

[stake1]

Billy:

*Are you surprised that people aren't backing the Eagles MORE STRONGLY?

Here's my basic matchup in a nutshell:
*A hobbled Mahomes vs a 70-sack Defensive front.
...No way that Mahomes got that much healthier in two weeks.
...Mahomes looked BAD in the 2h of the game vs the Bengals. No answers.
...Eagle pass-rushers will be relentless. And I'm not sure I see Chief alternatives.

If anyone decides to back the Chiefs here...they have to answer this question (above).

some places are getting lots of eagle love:

Eagles move from -1 to -1.5 as the majority of the early cash continues to pour in on Philly. Bet count very close to $$$:

68% $$$ and 66% of tickets on the Birds.#SuperBowl odds> https://t.co/Xd217puzlX

— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) February 3, 2023

[stake1]

Biggest #SuperBowlLVII bets so far:

Spread
$66,000 PHI pk
$38,500 PHI -2
$20,000 KC +2

ML
$52,000 PHI -130
$40,000 KC +112/+115

Total
$11,000 O 49.5
$10,000 O 49.5

Odds> https://t.co/LnxI18p8R3

— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) February 2, 2023

[italianbandit]

Billy:

*Are you surprised that people aren't backing the Eagles MORE STRONGLY?

Here's my basic matchup in a nutshell:
*A hobbled Mahomes vs a 70-sack Defensive front.
...No way that Mahomes got that much healthier in two weeks.
...Mahomes looked BAD in the 2h of the game vs the Bengals. No answers.
...Eagle pass-rushers will be relentless. And I'm not sure I see Chief alternatives.

If anyone decides to back the Chiefs here...they have to answer this question (above).

Sounds reasonable Chucky. Why isn’t the line higher?

[pavyracer]

This is a horrible way to cap games by looking at final scores in regular season.

This is a Superbowl. All you need is have the ball last and kick the winning FG to win. Teams play very conservatively and scared in Superbowls. Wouldn't be surprised if the total is very low

[garygroundwork]

Love your work Bill.

It's always a hard read .

But you get a lot of things right in the end.

[OldBill]

and Eagles had 3 teams in playoffs worst record was wash 8-8-1


key is turnovers for season chiefs - 3 Eagles +8


and 2 games eagles lost hurts didnt play

[OldBill]

This is a horrible way to cap games by looking at final scores in regular season.

This is a Superbowl. All you need is have the ball last and kick the winning FG to win. Teams play very conservatively and scared in Superbowls. Wouldn't be surprised if the total is very low

not playing scared 1st half they take shots with different plays just like prize fighters too jab here shot to body here right hook to face etc...

we have 3 players on our team that wear super bowl winners rings Nadmaku suh when with TB vs Chiefs our Center kelce and TOP DE Brandon Graham who stripped sack brady in the superbowl not sure about others but right now betting on eagles or chiefs is tough for me Chiefs biggest $$$ Burner ats 5 -12 Eagles not much better 8-9 ats

but besides matress mack losing Superbowls picks across the street is don juan who only lost 1 out of last 15 sometimes not sides he goes with totals in few

[Jowframs]

World on Eagles
Only capping you need
Chiefs

[Machba]

Great stuff

[trobin31]

meh

couple throwaway losses by both teams Chiefs lost to Indy and Philly lost to NO

KC lost to Allen and Burrow

Eagles lost to Heineke and Dak

if Mahomes re-injures or goes down they give the ball to Henne

if Hurts gets hurt Eagles would answer with Minshew

tight ends are nearly even with Kelce and Goedert

Watkins Smith and Brown vs. Schuster, Scantling and Toney also a wash all 6 guys showstoppers

so which conference is stronger overall ?

who has the better coach ?

just more questions

Manny, crack has lasting damage

[DwightShrute]

Billy:

*Are you surprised that people aren't backing the Eagles MORE STRONGLY?

Here's my basic matchup in a nutshell:
*A hobbled Mahomes vs a 70-sack Defensive front.
...No way that Mahomes got that much healthier in two weeks.
...Mahomes looked BAD in the 2h of the game vs the Bengals. No answers.
...Eagle pass-rushers will be relentless. And I'm not sure I see Chief alternatives.

If anyone decides to back the Chiefs here...they have to answer this question (above).

I feel I need to remind you that Mahomes lost his 3 best WR's for the 2nd half. Imagine if Hurts or any QB lost his best 3 WR's for a half.

[pologq]

why isn't the line higher? i think cause mahomes is getting backed like the superstar he is. he gets bet regardless. i will say this game, to me, is similar to bucs cowboys wildcard. i was blindly on brady and lost thinking it was a gift at plus money. i am not blindly on the chiefs. just my take.

this also reminds me of seahawks broncos. i was blindly on manning then. now i chose the better overall team.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Sounds reasonable Chucky. Why isn’t the line higher?

That's my issue. I really thought this # was headed toward -3.

Chiefs have name-recognition. Feel like the Chiefs got off the hook last game vs the Bengals.

Doing it again? Have to have a solution for how to block the PHI Def Front, when you know the QB is not going to be a threat to scramble.

[Jowframs]

why isn't the line higher? i think cause mahomes is getting backed like the superstar he is. he gets bet regardless. i will say this game, to me, is similar to bucs cowboys wildcard. i was blindly on brady and lost thinking it was a gift at plus money. i am not blindly on the chiefs. just my take.

this also reminds me of seahawks broncos. i was blindly on manning then. now i chose the better overall team.

But the WORLD was on Tampa
there’s a difference

[GunShard]

World on Eagles
Only capping you need
Chiefs

A lot of bad gamblers bet on the Eagles early. Everything is pointing towards the Chiefs when it comes to fading the public.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

A lot of bad gamblers bet on the Eagles early. Everything is pointing towards the Chiefs when it comes to fading the public.

How do you rate the Chief health for this game?

Better than the 2h vs Bengals?

[pologq]

But the WORLD was on Tampa
there’s a difference

there is almost 70% i think on the eagles as of yesterday

[OldBill]

see my recent post thread the technical data for win margin in superbowls

[OldBill]

no way am i backing Chiefs as one team reported on the anylizing the one guy said mahoomes QBR rating low in both SB's 65 and 60 and get this guys only 2 tds thrown with 5 ints

of course the # 1 defense in league spit him out and held them to only 3 fg's

Brady never lost any sb 31-9 even big ben lost by 6 vs Packers