Week 13
Texans +8 (1u) Loss -1.1
jets +3 (1u) (-115) Loss -1.15
Rams +7.5 (1u) (-115) +1
Chiefs -130 (1u) Loss -1.3
Lions +1 (1u) WIN +1u
giants/Washington under 41 (1u) Win +1u
Chargers/raiders under 50 (1u) Win +1u
Week 13 adds props:
Tonyan over 2.5 receptions (0.5u) (-150) Loss
Lockett under 5.5 receptions (0.5) (-145) Loss
Deandre Carter over 2.5 receptions -155 (0.5u) Loss
Baltimore +9 (1u). tough to hit submit on this one and I don't love it but-- this number simply too high in my opinion. Ravens Defense and the ground game should shorten the game giving value to the +9 here in a low total game.
Teaser:
Giants +9/Tampa +8.5 (-120) (1u) (hate the fact everyone loves tampa). Personally, I think this Tampa team is severely overrated —market wise. Dallas coming off a terrible performance scares me even more. Feel more comfortable with the teaser but may come back on Dallas -2.5 and try to middle if Giants +9 can get home today.
Few Player props:
Gabe Davis Alt over 74.5 rec Yards +330 (0.25u). Think he could have a good game here. based on matchup and his big play ability.
gabe davis over 47.5 rec yards -110 (0.5u)
Gesicki Over 15.5 Rec Yards -120 (0.75u). Small Sample size but Thompson @ QB has seemed to utilize his TE more than Tua. One or 2 catches could get us home here think this is a good bet in terms of value and game script considering the dolphins should be trailing most of the game here. also could get some garbage time catches if Buffalo is in prevent w/ a bigger lead late.
Irv Smith Under 16.5 -110 (0.75u). Pretty simple here. Hockenson factor. Could easily see zero catches on a very low route run % today.
Gus Edwards under 30.5 Rush yards -110 (0.75u). Just hasn't seen the workload with Dobbins back. Bengals Defense has been nails stopping the run. Ravens trailing most of game even better chance of this bet winning.
Joe Mixon Under 85.5 Rush+Rec Yards -110 (1u). think we are getting an inflated number here based on the amount of passing game work Mixon has been getting the past few weeks but the fact of the matter is Perine should take away from that here in the playoffs. factor in this Baltimore defense and the idea that they will try to grind clock and shorten the game think we get some great value here in a really good spot.
Baltimore +9 (1u). tough to hit submit on this one and I don't love it but-- this number simply too high in my opinion. Ravens Defense and the ground game should shorten the game giving value to the +9 here in a low total game.✅✅ +1u
Teaser:
Giants +9/Tampa +8.5 (-120) (1u) (hate the fact everyone loves tampa). Personally, I think this Tampa team is severely overrated —market wise. Dallas coming off a terrible performance scares me even more. Feel more comfortable with the teaser but may come back on Dallas -2.5 and try to middle if Giants +9 can get home today.
Few Player props:
Gabe Davis Alt over 74.5 rec Yards +330 (0.25u). Think he could have a good game here. based on matchup and his big play ability.✅✅ +0.825u
gabe davis over 47.5 rec yards -110 (0.5u) ✅ +0.5u
Gesicki Over 15.5 Rec Yards -120 (0.75u). Small Sample size but Thompson @ QB has seemed to utilize his TE more than Tua. One or 2 catches could get us home here think this is a good bet in terms of value and game script considering the dolphins should be trailing most of the game here. also could get some garbage time catches if Buffalo is in prevent w/ a bigger lead late.❌❌ ouch lands 15 -0.9u❌
Irv Smith Under 16.5 -110 (0.75u). Pretty simple here. Hockenson factor. Could easily see zero catches on a very low route run % today.✅ +0.75u
Gus Edwards under 30.5 Rush yards -110 (0.75u). Just hasn't seen the workload with Dobbins back. Bengals Defense has been nails stopping the run. Ravens trailing most of game even better chance of this bet winning.❌❌ -0.825u
Joe Mixon Under 85.5 Rush+Rec Yards -110 (1u). think we are getting an inflated number here based on the amount of passing game work Mixon has been getting the past few weeks but the fact of the matter is Perine should take away from that here in the playoffs. factor in this Baltimore defense and the idea that they will try to grind clock and shorten the game think we get some great value here in a really good spot.✅✅ +1u
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